Lockdown Lunacy: the thinking person's guide | Hacker News Reader

Lockdown Lunacy: the thinking person's guide

jbhandleyblog.com

6 pointsseibelj5 comments

Yes, the fatality rate is the same as normal flu if we assume every single person in the northeastern US has been infected.

The author (and poster) is an idiot.

80,000 deaths in 8 weeks in the US was more than each year of annual deaths of flu and pneumonia (not always caused by influenza) for the past decade.

We’re at 110,000+ deaths 4 months in and states that returned to business as usual are now facing more per capita infections than New York City at its peak (Arizona of all places - it’s 115 degrees outside with the highest UV index of any populated region and below 20% humidity —- inhospitable to viruses but now worse than NYC per capita and possibly worse in raw numbers in 2 weeks).

The flu has vaccines, and is 10-50 times less deadly. Stop spreading this nonsense.

to be fair he is merely quoting recent studies done by Stanford, Oxford, the CDC and elsewhere. the CFR is looking more and more like it will shake out to be similar to a bad seasonal flu with a skew toward the elderly and leaving children basically unaffected.

he didn't write the papers he is quoting them.

By the time he wrote this blog post the information available already demonstrated it was an order of magnitude worse than a seasonal flu. People are picking and choosing the narrative they want based on the data they find to match it.

Everyone in the biosciences knew the CFR would be 10-30x (or more) seasonal flu by March. It’s not going to look more like a seasonal flu because it crosses that threshold 2 months ago.

Unlike the flu, it appears you can get reinfected (3-4 months limited immunity), and while it’s unknown if additional infections are as deadly, it’s also unknown if a vaccine will work.

The blogger’s conclusions are based on old data, and they were the day he wrote this blog spam.

There’s a ton of bad coverage of the reality of this pandemic because people who have never stepped foot in a BSL 2+ lab are writing horrible analysis of an unknown problem. My state pretended to shut down, ended the closure order in may, and is at 80% icu bed capacity this week and highest per capita infections.

Arizona didn’t listen and were on track to be worse then NYC’s worst weak in the next 10 days if the infection rate continues unabated.

Viruses don’t like strong UV light, high temperatures, and low humidity, but somehow we’ve gone exponential.

And china didnt lock down hubei province? Sigh..

And they're doing what in beijing now...

Reply on news.ycombinator.com