Lyft to use only electric cars by 2030
lyft.com
lyft.com
Most of the comments in this thread are ignoring how preference cascades work: this kind of purely symbolic action sends a signal.
CEOs of car companies see something like this and think "hmm, will it actually be socially acceptable to sell ICE cars in ten years?", and this affects their planning no matter what conclusion they draw from it.
This is the real news hidden in the press release, and it's actually quite sad :(
In that case it would be good. Offsets are just rearranging the deck chairs, or to be as charitable as possible to the strategy, making renewables a cost center rather than a profit center for the business.
The presser does outright state that this is what they're doing, so I'll choose to be optimistic, at the risk of being disappointed if it's all talk.
I don't think that's how high capital, low margin businesses make decisions.
Maybe it should be something like "202[3-9]"?
10 Years is a long lead time, but I can imagine that some Lyft drivers might not be very happy with this news.
Lyft and Uber have always had requirements on the maximum age of a vehicle too. I don't think any car on the road today will be eligible in 10 years anyway.
Drivers need to make money by driving, and for an EV they face several hurdles:
- Cost of the cars themselves - Range - Availability of charging stations - Time it takes to charge
My understanding is that the TCO of EVs will cross with ICE in ~2025. All of the above will get better over time.
I think it's great that Lyft is signalling this but its mostly out of their direct control. In one world, this happens by default because the market has switched. In one it won't happen because the infrastructure still isn't there.
I personally think most cars sold in 2030 will be EVs because they are a classic disruptive change product. They gain share due to some attributes that are better then one day the whole market flips because it's clear they're on balance better. For urban usage, I think we aren't too far from that.
A plug-in hybrid is essentially an EV for most people's daily commute, but still has an ICE to relieve range anxiety on road trips. And since the batteries are small, they can be recharged overnight easily without installing a charging port. You can charge from a standard household 120v outlet.
Now if only more manufacturers making EVs and hybrids would stop putting the batteries in the @#$%ing trunk and follow Tesla's lead in putting them in the floor of the car.
Of course, EV range can improve, and Lyft could make logistical changes to allow for charging, but I'm curious if, overnight, Lyft drivers all switched to EVs, would that work?
The average Uber/Lyft ride is ~6 miles. The average driver makes ~30 trips per week according to Uber. The gas + maintenance savings would be significant especially if they charge at home overnight.
I can't speak for the Bolt or Leaf, but I can tell you that the stated range of my Model 3 Performance (299 miles) is not accurate.
Sure, I can probably go 299 miles on a full charge if I'm going 55 mph with the climate controls off, but if I'm going 75 mph with the heat running because it's 35F outside, the actual range is closer to 230 miles.
I imagine the Model 3 SR+ is the same way. Probably only really ~200-220 miles in real-world conditions.
In the more advanced countries, things are further along. Shenzhen has 100% electric taxis now.
> This includes cars in the Express Drive rental car partner program for rideshare drivers, our consumer rental car program for riders, our autonomous vehicle program, and drivers’ personal cars used on the Lyft platform.
It is not as well positioned as Uber on some important fronts such as diversifying its product offerings into food, prescription drugs etc... and it really needs to have an answer there.
I’m more concerned with if lyft will be able to attract enough capital to stay afloat rather than what kind of cars it will have in 10 years.
This seems like a way for the CEO to plant anchoring bias to me, where by displaying it thinks long term, gives the impression that there is nothing to worry about in the short run.
The EVs currently hitting the market are probably getting there in terms of ASP but the availability is pretty limited, especially in the more affordable segment. Around ~30K (for a decent sized vehicle with leg room in the back) is pretty expensive but if you look at the total cost of ownership for a vehicle that is likely to be used intensively, it's probably not bad. As these prices come down in the next few years, it's only going to get more attractive.
I think also, many cities (especially in Europe) will be keen to get ICE cars out of the city and I expect there will be advantages to operating EVs in the form of subsidies, easier to get permits, charging infrastructure, etc.
So 2030, seems a long way off. Why wait that long?
If I understand it correctly, Uber and Lyft currently have a problem where the customers are unhappy with high costs, drivers are unhappy with their amount of compensation, and yet the margins are too small or negative to achieve company profitability
...srs, this is The Michael Scott Foundation. Admire the balls but everyone knows that Lyft have no control over this (I am sure they would do this today if they could, but the issue is that no-one has electric cars...not Lyft's failure to make this pledge).
Back in 2009 I was expecting this to be available before 2019, and I didn’t have in mind anything as limited as either the “motorways only” autopilot of Tesla nor the (single?) heavily mapped city system of Waymo.
Seems like it might be hard to manage charging to live a normal life, drive for one of these companies and still have your car available when you need it?
In Lyft's case, they can acquire capital cheaper than individuals for mobility assets, at a lower cost ("green bonds"). For example, this was very much the Solar City model: They were not a solar install company, they were a financial engineering company that could go to the capital markets to finance your rooftop solar to make it affordable until the price of solar came down to where purchase is now the superior option. Lyft can encourage, finance, and work with local jurisdictions to install EV charging stations where the data shows drivers need them. They can sign a PPA (power purchase agreement) for those charging stations to purchase renewable energy for the EV fleet keeping costs under control (versus volatile petroleum costs). And most importantly, this halves the per mile costs of a vehicle (versus internal combustion), allowing Lyft and a driver to capture more revenue than they already are.
Do I think Uber and Lyft are viable businesses? Absolutely not, but I'm not going to throw shade on legitimate climate change mitigation efforts. That doesn't respect the people who are championing these efforts, or their leadership above who have to take the leap to get buy in from the business and push them forward. There is real work and hard conversations behind these efforts.
It's good they've got an ambition, a plan, and a realistic chance of doing it. You're just sitting there being nasty about it.
A 10 years plan to go electric is engaging only the people who believes in it.
By the way to give a scale, Lyft is 8 years old. The Nissan Leaf is 10 years old. Today you have tons of different eletric cars on the market. They could go electric a lot sooner if they were forced.
Well that's specifically against the site rules here so please don't post snarky things.
Just seems like fluff to get them into the news cycle.
They commit(whatever that means) to using only electric cars in 10 years.
This is a big fat nothingburger.
Commitments are how companies orient themselves to the future while leaving open the possibility that things might change. They give people a frame to be critical of or complementary towards future actions. I see many comments on HN saying we should not critique company Y for thing A because company Y is in the business of doing B, not A.
This is Lyft saying they are in the business of doing electric cars. It's ambiguous and uncertain what that means now, but is a theme to compare future actions against.
To look back to a previous instance: when Google set "don't be evil" as their slogan, they suggested that they were interested in ethical critiques. I think experience has shown them to both consistently fall short of that slogan and also be more responsive to ethical critiques than, say, Palantir or Facebook. I would expect this Lyft statement to play out similarly.
I'm not excited by this statement, but it's not nothing.
Corporate action on climate is needed. Also I don't see _any_ excitement in this thread, mostly negativity and lukewarm reaction, sarcasm, etc.
> Just seems like fluff to get them into the news cycle.
Not to me, do you have anything to back this up? Why would Lyft care about the news cycle?
> They commit(whatever that means) to using only electric cars in 10 years.
The meaning is pretty clear.
> This is a big fat nothingburger.
This kind of namecalling and negative attitude really doesn't belong on HN.
You have copy+pasted this comment all over the thread, why? I've flagged and downvoted
Corporate action in 10 years by a company that encourages the disuse of public transport.
News cycle: Uber/Lyft volume is very low. Get in the news and get folks to start using Lyft as restrictions end. "we are good, we are saving the climate"
What's the meaning? Is it binding? Is it legal? Or is it just words that they can walk back at any moment for any reason or just forget the made this claim.
It's not name calling; I'm pointing out this is fluff and pretty much does not mean anything.
Thanks for your input and vote.
I don't understand your point here. Lyft also discourages car ownership. What should any of this matter? Why does it matter what their customers incentives might be when discussing their corporate climate action? Are you stating that lyft is bad for the environment and climate change overall, and would still be bad after this change? I just don't get how these things are related.
> News cycle: Uber/Lyft volume is very low. Get in the news and get folks to start using Lyft as restrictions end. "we are good, we are saving the climate"
People are just desperate to get out and do things. I don't think that lyft making headlines online or on TV is going to matter much for that and I don't think their marketing department would think so either. This sounds like a conspiracy theory that Lyft does not operate in good faith and is rather trying to trick everyone all the time. It just seems unfounded and weird.
> What's the meaning? Is it binding? Is it legal? Or is it just words that they can walk back at any moment for any reason or just forget the made this claim.
I'm sure it is binding. If they do not make strong efforts towards meeting these goals, surely the shareholders would sue? I would!
> It's not name calling; I'm pointing out this is fluff and pretty much does not mean anything.
"big fat nothingburger" is the definition of name calling and rude behavior. It just doesn't belong here.
You also didn't address that there is literally 0 excitement here. There are 0 comments that I would rank as any level of "excited". I don't want to accuse you of lying, but, can you source what you mean by "excitement here"? It just doesn't seem real to me.
It is expected that more than half of new cars sold will be EV by 2030. This will by federal incentives no doubt, and also by the further disruption of the car industry by the pandemic. Still, it seems low to me. And, I would expect by 2030 it will be the better choice to go electric for Lyft/Uber drivers due to decreased maintenance and overall cost per mile compared to ICE.
The problem right now is availability of reasonably priced options, but that will be solved in the next 10 years almost certainly. So, without the proclamation of a mandate my gut says 90%+ of Lyft/Uber drivers would go electric because it's the better business choice for them. So I don't think it's "Big", I think it's a calculated risk with good intentions to grab some news headlines. But that's ok, maybe it will encourage others to make bolder bets, which would be good. Not quite "Big" in my opinion.
They commit(whatever that means) to using only electric cars in 10 years.
This is a big fat nothingburger.