Avro Arrow – The record-breaking jet which still haunts a country
bbc.com
bbc.com
Though at least the current Swedish fighter, the JAS-39 Gripen, uses a lot of 3rd party components like the engine and most of the armaments. Still, an impressive achievement from such a small country. Will be interesting to see whether they will create a follow-up to the Gripen, or will instead opt to participate in some next-generation common European thing.
Also similar to the Avro Arrow story is the British TSR2.
If a foreign country owns such a major part of your domestic fighter then your fighter is on a very short leash.
I guess that goes some way to explaining the announcement last year that Sweden might join UK/Italy to develop a 'sixth Generation' fighter, the so-called 'Tempest'.
Not knowing any better, I simply assumed it was Brexit-related and we in the UK expected to burn bridges with our French and German industrial partners.
As to why there are two next generation European fighters planned (the Tempest you mention, and then there's another French/German/Spanish(?) effort), no idea. It doesn't make sense.
It makes total sense. Dassault doesn't play well with the other children and Germany won't pay for aircraft that it ordered (Typhoon and Atlas).
> American microchips, Union microchips, all made in Taiwan
It is kind of ridiculous how big of it the part of defence electronics using off the shelf civilian parts these days.
Even Russia who spends god knows how much money to keep its 10μm fab running just to make military electronics, is only said to make them for their strategic level ICBMs to assure absolute secrecy, and nothing else.
[1] https://minimalfab.eu/ and notice the address.
Progress!
[2] https://minimalfab.eu/news/jaxa-aist-paving-pathway-minimal-...
[3] https://global.jaxa.jp/press/2019/05/20190510a.html especially Figure 3
That seems a little…unimpressive?
edit: sorry, first mention on HN (that i can find) was 10 months ago. First blips in the media were a few years ago (which i only learned of because said mention on HN), but not much of them.
Developing all the tech in-house would enable that but procuring a domestic engine was deemed too expensive.
From here:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jan/15/truth-israels-...
"In Dimona, French engineers poured in to help build Israel a nuclear reactor and a far more secret reprocessing plant capable of separating plutonium from spent reactor fuel. This was the real giveaway that Israel's nuclear programme was aimed at producing weapons.
By the end of the 50s, there were 2,500 French citizens living in Dimona, transforming it from a village to a cosmopolitan town, complete with French lycées and streets full of Renaults, and yet the whole endeavour was conducted under a thick veil of secrecy. The American investigative journalist Seymour Hersh wrote in his book The Samson Option: "French workers at Dimona were forbidden to write directly to relatives and friends in France and elsewhere, but sent mail to a phony post-office box in Latin America."
Seymour Hersh's book 'The Sampson Option' goes into more detail.
We had 4 devices by then and developed with help of Israel an intermediate range ballistic missile based on their Jericho-2.
Fortunately sanity prevailed in the end and the bombs and missile program got scrapped when a political settlement was achieved.
At least when Israel was developing its nuclear bomb, its neighbours were not particularly minded to compromise. Contrast, for example, the Freedom Charter (a fifties document!), which was so studiously nonracial that the PAC had to split off:
> South Africa belongs to all who live in it, black and white…that only a democratic state, based on the will of all the people, can secure to all their birthright without distinction of colour, race, sex or belief
At this point the possible threat was clearly domestic blacks, not nearby colonies, and compromise with them was clearly quite possible. CODESA didn't happen earlier because the Broederbond took so long to change its mind—had it, it could have happened decades earlier.
The SA army was also in conventional terms quite sufficient to prevent any foreign invasion. Even Rhodesia with P.K. van der Byl and the other ludicrous types who congregated in Salisbury hotels could manage for over a decade. Armscor on the other hand was world-leading, and none of SA’s neighbours had anything like that.
> soviet supplied cuban troops on our border
They were on the Namibian border, which was from 1966 was no longer really South Africa’s. In any case SA militarily held its own—it inflicted far more casualties than it suffered and maintained control of Namibia. It seems to make much more sense to interpret withdrawal as a political decision to cease the indefensible occupation of Namibia, instead of evidence that a nuclear bomb was strategically necessary.
I know Africa's colonization/imperialism and cold war politics were inseparable, but the fact that South Africa's apartheid government was the sole remaining minority-led government in the region[1] seems material here
> Fortunately sanity prevailed in the end and the bombs and missile program got scrapped when a political settlement was achieved.
Sounds like someone didn't want a black-led government in charge of the nukes[2]. I agree with the end result; but I question the motives.
1. Neighboring nations gained majority rule through armed conflict - excluding Namibia, which was effectively a client state of South Africa after being ceded by Germany in a world war.
2. Which would have been destabilizing, considering the white secessionist sentiment (minorority, but significant). There was a legitimate concern over right-wing separatists who were agitating for an autonomous white homeland/territory.
That's mostly driven off Sweden's postwar neutrality. Were Sweden a NATO member it's hard to imagine the country deciding to pay the almost prohibitively expensive cost of maintaining an indigenous aircraft industry, instead of buying from a larger ally. The Netherlands and Italy are among those NATO members that once produced their own fighter aircraft but no longer do so, instead joining multinational alliances or buying from elsewhere.
http://bestfighter4canada.blogspot.com/2019/02/a-tale-of-two...
> Still, the biggest difference between the Arrow and the Draken were basic design philosophies. The Arrow was intended to "best in the world"... While the Draken was simply intended to be the "best for Sweden".
> Sometimes "good enough" is more than enough, and "the best" is too damn much.
This a good summary of the TSR2 https://youtu.be/PhXcd-881xA
The F-104 is also a similar story: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_bribery_scandals
It's amusing that the Soviets kept development of the interceptor for their PVO-Strany; coming up with very impressive aircraft which have no equivalence class in the West.
Anyway too bad Canadian aerospace didn't continue, but had they developed the thing, it wouldn't have been very useful.
[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_A-5_Vigilante
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convair_F-106_Delta_Dart
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_XF-108_Rapier
The Arrow was extremely ambitious and many of the technologies it used didn't exist and wouldn't for decades (e.g. fully active missiles, pulse doppler RADAR). The era of high-and-fast bombers was followed by low-level nap-of-the-earth flying and ICBMs, so the Arrow might have been an incredibly expensive white elephant if it had even been finished.
It would have had a critical role for decades.
https://www.bcbusiness.ca/ubcs-particle-accelerator-what-cou...
https://nationalpost.com/news/exclusive-did-huawei-bring-dow...
The US has one too.
Funny part is his English wasn’t very good, so I never even had a full conversation with him. Great guy tho. Makes me want to tell my republican friends, do you want super talented people making things in Asia, or here?
It was pretty cool to see some bits and bobs from the project, like flat braided wire.
I also worked on some relocated houses that were moved off of the track of the SSC. They spent a LOT of money preparing the area.
These engineers and technicians scattered to the wind, becoming leaders in dozens of successful aerospace projects, worldwide.
Canada returned to being hewers of wood an drawers of water. The specific details and capabilities/problems of the Avro Arrow are secondary.
at least Canada canceled theirs before it drove the cost of space access through the roof and killed 17 people.
The idea isn’t to temporarily feed them with some completely uneconomic project. You want to give them reasons to stay long term. So why is Canada such a poor place to build technology companies?
To say this was a “win” for Canada is pretty far-fetched. It certainly was a win for the US military-industrial complex and their lobbyists!
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ibm-shared-services-contrac...
I grew up thinking that my dream would be to move to US one day - nowadays there probably isn't an offer that would make me move there.
Unless you get financial support from your (grand)parents, you can forget about that as houses in the nice areas are closing in on the million euro ballpark and IC salaries there are a joke for such a purchase.
I know people working for instance in Stuttgart - buying a house in the smaller towns nearby is not an issue at all according to them. I personally live in the UK and sure, London prices are insane - but we don't live in London. Me and my wife bought a house after saving just for a few months[0], the prices are very achievable for an average programmer.
[0]mortgaged, obviously. But since the prices are lower it was "easy" to save for a deposit and get a mortgage. We're literally paying £600/month on a mortgage for a 3-bed house with a large garden and double driveway. That's an almost insignificant part of my salary.
And by "nice house" I didn't mean a house in the center of a major city but a house in the suburbs in a quiet, green area with good schools.
If you define average as a FAANG programmer, then yes, the average one could buy a house in SF.
If you define average as a FAANG programmer,
But that would be silly, as the FAANG pool is far from the average. Average SF programmer salaries are still in the low 100s from the last numbers I saw (a few years out of date). Even with two of those in a household, you aren't buying in SF.For example, if I can't work, I get 70% of my salary in long-term disability
I concur. For a start, here in Europe, I don't have to worry each day that someone is going to run amok in my children's school with semi-automatic weapons. You can't place a value on that.
That would be like saying you're afraid of the Islamic terrorism amok on the streets of Europe.
Nearly once a week in 2019 (https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/15/us/2019-us-school-shootin...). March 2020 was the first March since 2002 to pass without a single school shooting thanks to the 'rona lockdowns (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-first-march-without...).
> That would be like saying you're afraid of the Islamic terrorism amok on the streets of Europe.
Whole Europe has had 1 incident in 2019, 7 in 2018 and 10 in 2017/2016. Even with record 17 incidents in 2015, five years of Islamist terror together don't even come close to one average year of school shootings in the US, and are a blip compared to one year of mass shootings in the US.
We included accidental discharge of a firearm...
We included injuries sustained from BB guns...
Neither of those would scenarios would fall under what most people view as a "school shooting".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_th...
Of course, morally the risk is unacceptable. I would consider one school shooting a year too high. Let alone the 17 deaths due to guns in schools in 2019.
And as was pointed out previously, the security theater (shooter drills, etc) are traumatizing. I am appalled at this aspect of America.
But, despite what you see on the news, most Americans are not exposed to guns on any kind of a regular basis.
As far the school deaths, they are appalling but I am sure many more children die each year due to asthma attacks, food allergies, etc. I do not excuse our gun situation but it should be viewed in perspective. Again, I do agree that one gun death is too many.
The sibling commentator mentioned Islamic terrorism which I think is a good analogy. You would probably think it was ludicrous (and I’d agree with you) if someone said they didn’t want to move to Europe because they have to worry about being run down by someone in a truck.
Of the 3 major Canadian cities, only Montreal could be considered affordable to software engineer. Vancouver/Toronto are extremely expensive vs. local pay. Unless you want to sign yourself up for a punishing daily commute or bought your house a long time ago, it's hard to describe the standard of living as "very comfortable" other than compared to lower earners in the local market.
Tellingly, when you look at the data more than 100% of Toronto's population growth comes from international migration. Which makes sense, it's a very welcoming place. But without immigration, the city would have shrunk by 50k people last year (~1.5% of population).
FIFY.
It seems there just wasn't enough graft or cheap political points to be had nurturing anything complex. The payoffs if any aren't quick enough. It's much easier to go after logging, mining, casinos (money laundering for Chinese donors), film or some quick jobs program to appease unions and claim impact for the next election.
Sadly, Canadians don't have the appetite for ambitious projects, whether military, civilian, terrestrial, space etc. Even when costs are reasonable (think of putting up $1billion in prize money to spur private investment X-Prize style) people will not tolerate attempts at risky things.
I'm a big government person (especially for society-wide services like healthcare, public health, education) but in business, I've come to realize that it's not helpful to have the mindset of relying on the government. (exception: defense, which almost always needs government funding. But almost everything else does not.)
I had a friend who was running a nascent high-tech commercial business and he spent a large chunk of his time writing proposals for government grants. Money is money, of course, but it's a little strange to me that even business people in Canada rely so much on the government instead of just going to the capital markets. And what's worse, a lack of government programs in a particular area is interpreted as a constraint. This should not be.
The 2nd largest company in Canada by market cap right now is Shopify, and it succeeded with no significant government support. We need to shift our people's mindset to not default to invoking the government -- instead we need to encourage non-risk-averse capital investment into bluesky projects from private parties. It is true that we are not awash in capital, being a small country and all, but we have enough (we're 16th in the world in GDP/PPP). Much smaller countries in northern Europe with smaller GDPs have done better than we have in establishing global business leaders.
The problem is that said "non-risk-averse capital" usually comes from previously successful founders at least in early stages, and when you look at the startups there, a lot of their founders or key staff have relevant prior startup experience too.
The US has a massive advantage there in networking, which is insanely hard to replicate in other areas or countries.
Global companies in smaller European countries didn't look domestically to grow -- they either have had to have an EU/global business model from day 1 or in the case of older companies, had to evolve in that direction. When you're small, you have no choice.
[1] If you look at YC lists in recent years there are usually a few Canadian companies in there.
[2] Most Canadians have an affinity to Europe because they think the setup similar to ours, but unfortunately Europe is heavy on regulations, not a growth market and not a good bet
The Federal Government wouldn't load a single penny (they maintained for 50 years that these projects were the scope of the Provinces until they bailed out the Muskrat Falls project in Newfoundland) and neither would the Canadian financial elites of the time. So the capital injection came in US dollars straight from Wall Street.
But there are things that only governments can do, that actually are necessary. The Canadian government, as another poster has mentioned, failed to protect Nortel from IP theft from a rival nation-state. The Americans are much more willing to do this (I say willing, not always able).
My point is more about mindset. The government is not responsible for competitiveness and expansion of businesses into new markets — that’s on the business. But I think many people in Canada default to feeling the government ought to take a bigger role in those areas in order for us to have the next Blackberry or Nortel. I’m like, maybe we shouldn’t rely on that (or let lack of government involvement hold us back) and instead take our own risks?
Could you imagine the United-States or the European Union not supporting their respective aerospace industries in that type of situation?
What on earth compelled them to order that? That's just so barbaric. As if they were trying to destroy evidence of a crime.
Surely it makes more sense to preserve them?! You might even try to sell or license the design to recover some of the $250m invested?
To stop someone trying to reverse the decision and restart the program? Guns or butter, it may have not been the worse choice.
https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/20302/were-the-sat...
Same thing happened to the British TSR2; a program that shares a lot in common with the Avro Arrow. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BAC_TSR-2
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatoon/saved-avro-arrow-bl...
EDIT: downvoted for facts. Here's a reference:
But until then his assignment was to become Soboloff so convincingly that nobody would ever suspect he was a Soviet spy. Eventually, he was given responsibility for managing five recruited agents, including a Communist Party of Canada member from Toronto who worked for the company developing the Avro Arrow and provided its engineering schematics to the KGB.
https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/the-spy-named-gideon-bo...
What was bizarre about (aboot) the Arrow program is that the entire company staff were fired, and the Canadian military was sent in to destroy all records, drawings, test data, and of course the destruction of the six flyable aircraft. The program was replaced with US made BOMARC missiles, so there's one clue.
It is a backhanded compliment that the material was destroyed.
Sounds like this is a cautionary tale of what happens when you do what some people here suggest; doing everything the 'right/best' way, instead of realising that being engineer means making compromises.
But I'll never forget the way the tour guide described the story of the arrow and the hurt in his voice as he recanted the decision to scrap the plane.
For that generation of Canadian aviation geeks, it was truly a gut punch.
Her YouTube channel and book are recommended.
I don't have references in front of me unfortunately, but if you choose to believe me, a good amount of the American resistance to the Arrow program had to do with direct technology transfer to the Soviet Union via their thorough penetration of the Canadian aerospace program. The Arrow represented a conduit of American aerospace knowledge directly to the Soviets, and had to be stopped.
https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/the-spy-named-gideon-bo...
That said, as noted I don't have references I can share for what I learned. Believe it or not.
Canada Space Arm, Blackberry (RIM), Bombardier aircrafts/subways/streetcars/trains, de Havilland aircrafts as well as other aircrafts (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_aircraft_of_Canada%27s...).
As to why was Avro Arrow scrapped - sure there are explanations and the leading ones tend to indicate external political pressure coming from USA but I am not bitter at the reasons behind it because it is one thing to be cross at the decision but I don't have any clear idea as to actual reasons and the thought process of our leaders at the time.
Arguably, one of the most improtant breakthroughs of recent history, funded by Canadian citizens/taxes. This has much bigger social/economic impact, especially since we can outsource the job of overspending on military to our neighbours, and attempt to build a more socially just society on money saved.
https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=fr&u=https:/...
https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moteur-roue_d%27Hydro-Qu%C3%A9...
It sounds like something like a Prius, but with serial hybrid instead of parallel hybrid like the Prius was.
Wheel motors can also be surprisingly light as they can use the rotation in order to create cooling, and reduce a lot of rotational inertia which can be almost as bad as unsprung weight.
The prototype was also a plug-in hybrid, which was very doable at the time.
There is a reason why hub motors are so amazing in so many applications right now.
There are hub motors+rims right now with which you could build a ~150hp car, that will weigh less or comparably to old-fashioned steel rims, including axles, rotors and superfluous suspension components (around 30-40kg). For example, the QS Motor 273 with a power of 28kw (per wheel) given appropriate cooling, at a mass of 43kg. This is for a mass market, aluminum motor/rim. I assure you that with magnesium wheels and glycol cooling you can get this down under 43kg. These motors have a wholesale price under 2000$, too, and have been run at 180v 600A for short periods of time.
Here is also an actual study with data about the feasibility of hub motors in four-wheel vehicles: https://www.proteanelectric.com/f/2018/04/protean-Services3....
Yes, hub motors will always have a disadvantage as far as unsprung mass as improvements affect both sides of the equation. However, hub motors have very significant handling advantages that you cannot feasibly get any other way, such as per-tire regenerative braking, a perfect fully dynamic differential, perfect torque vectoring, optimal weight distribution, allows far superior suspension design, and so on. As a result, hub motors are still a very serious contender, and as the gaps narrows and investment ramps up we might see very high performance hub motors become a reality.
Another technology that will have to be evaluated is fully active suspension, which eliminates almost all of the disadvantages of hub motors and keep all of their advantages. Indeed, fully active electromagnetic suspension is entering limited mass production right now.
But yes, in the 1990s hub motors could not have made for anything more than an economy car with a top speed around 130-140kph economically. Which is exactly what they were meant for.
Steel wheels on a 112kW car do not weigh near 43 kg. Don't fall for the empty promises.
(Random first hit: 23 lbs for a steel wheel: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01MA3OFTN)
They'll never be cost-effective for freeway-capable cars. I'll make a long term bet on it with anybody.
EDIT: your linked study says you can add features to somewhat make up for the excessive unsprung weight. Sure, which is why I'm pointing out not that it can't be done, but that it costs more for the same performance and always will (at Earth gravity and freeway speeds).
A very important distinction is also that the moment of inertia of a hub motor is not much bigger because the weight is concentrated in the center vs the extremities.
In-board motors, one per wheel, have the issues of still needing all of the weighty unsprung mass of a car but adding additional mechanical complexity in the transfer mechanism as well as just adding mass and taking up space in general, plus needing more cooling. I am willing to bet that the braking system alone in the average car is more than 28kg.
Besides, cars with hub motors that have less unsprung weight that the original car they were based one have been built, for example this one : https://web.archive.org/web/20090318173319/http://www.causec...
It had comparable of not superior acceleration to it's original combustion engine.
Also, the handling characteristics were really not as bad as claimed from most all experiments conducted.
Is it just me or was this photo not included in the article? I tried a quick search but didn't see anything obviously it, either.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/aecl-sold-for-15m-to-snc-la...
Was it easier for non US citizens to work in Aerospace in those days? e.g. I hear people gripe SpaceX can't hire internationally.
...that was just before people started launching communications satellites.
All of the Starscreams I remember have prominent horzontal tail surfaces (the one I owned as a kid was very F-15ish but he's also been patterned after the Su-35, the F-16 and the F-22.
That's no exaggeration. For English Canada, the destruction of those planes was a trauma that lasts to this day because the Arrow represented the height of national pride, and their destruction the deepest low.
Similar but lesser feelings for the A220, sold by Bombardier for $1 to Airbus because Boeing lobbied for a 219.63% tariff on it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A220
https://money.cnn.com/2017/09/26/news/companies/bombardier-b...
Canadians are polite, but they can kick ass when they want to.
The first was the A300, and at that point the number was supposed to mean the passenger number, though as it turned out there wasn't much demand for a 300 passenger wide body at the time and it was scaled down. After that, the numbers became more or less random.
It was too large for regionals, too small for mainline. For example many airline union scoping contracts require planes with more than 70 or 100 pax go to mainline which means it will cost more to operate. Airlines don't want to do that. If it's going mainline, they want more seats (think 737/a320 ranges) which the A220 doesn't have.
There's a somewhat famous post from a Bombardier product manager on the internet detailing the history of the aircrafts evolution that played out like the Bradley Fighting Vehicle in The Pentagon Wars. Despite marketing data and customer feedback saying don't build this they kept pushing ahead and the Quebec tax payer footing some of that bill.
These aren't significant outside of the US market. And okay, the US market is a significant market for aircraft, but by way of comparison most of the major orders of the larger E-Jets have been non-US airlines.
The A220 has a very big order book for an aircraft of its size.
For English Canada, the destruction of those
planes was a trauma that lasts to this day because
the Arrow represented the height of national pride,
and their destruction the deepest low.
I'm neither Canadian nor Japanese, but there may be parallels to how Japanese felt about the loss of the battleship Yamato (and her sister ship, Musashi) in WWII.An underdog nation, with pride in "punching above its weight class", placed a lot of hope and pride in a single piece of military hardware.
It was the largest battleship ever built, key to the Japanese strategy in WWII. American battleships' guns and armor were limited by the need for American battleships to fit through the Panama Canal. Knowing this, Japan built the much larger Yamato class with armor impervious to the 16" guns on American battleships. Her 18" guns could cut through any American battleship with ease. The Yamato was really a marvel.
Of course, it was utterly useless in battle against the American navy. Its WWI-era fire control systems were decades behind those of American battleships, especially the Iowa class, and of course more importantly WWII showed the world that battleships were helpless against naval air superiority. The Yamato was sunk by American planes, having never fired a shot against an opposing battleship.
The Yamato has remained in Japanese imagination, though, most notably in the long-running anime Uchu Senkan Yamato / Space Battleship Yamato / "Star Blazers".
Followed by using the barely understood jump drive, resulting in SDF-1, two nearby aircraft carriers and the entire island being transported behind the orbit of Pluto. :D
I also really liked the part where a couple of the main characters got stranded in an isolated part of the humongous ship right after the jump & had to fish for a frozen tuna floating in front of airlock to get some food while waiting to be rescued. :)
It was useless with the overly-complicated battle plans and bad luck of the IJN. (Yamamoto dictated such complex maneuvers that the captains lost track of the objective at both Midway and Leyte Gulf.)
Had the Yamato and Musashi not been distracted and just turned into Leyte Gulf as planned, the American landing craft were sitting ducks. Instead, the Yamato went home, and the Musashi was swarmed and sunk.
That's overstating it a bit.
Six battleships, seven cruisers, and 21 destroyers were prepared to meet the Japanese force, and they'd have been under air attack either way.
I would say that causality is backwards. Radar existed in the 1930s but was never seriously developed. But imagine a world where it had been and that battleships had radar-directed AA guns, perfectly do-able in the 1940s. It would very early on in WW2 have been "proven" that aircraft couldn't touch a battleship at sea and so noone would have bothered to invent carriers. Air superiority became a thing because battleships were helpless against it, not the other way round.
Carriers were invented well before this. And would have been invented regardless, as they were useful for more than just sinking battleships. The fact that they could sink battleships resulted in them becoming the preeminent surface combatant.
But carriers were useful for scouting, for land attack, for defense against enemy aircraft, for anti-submarine warfare, for killing smaller surface combatants (like destroyers).
If they weren't qualified the industry wouldn't have been poached. Rather, this suggests that at least at some point they were significantly more qualified than those in the US.
[1]https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/city-of-vancouver-criti...
Fairchild Semiconductor fathered a thousand companies. How many did BlackBerry?
Don’t rely on a committee of bureaucrats shuffling tax money to their idea of the best companies (The ones that their brother works at or the ones that best wine and fined them).
Take the money from those government schmoes and use it to cut taxes on and barriers to investment. Make it easier for entrepreneurs to stay and build, and to raise money.
Buy your weapons in the open market, and save.
See e.g. https://steveblank.com/secret-history/ for a nice overview.
They absolutely would not still be flown today.
The Arrow was a relic of the pre-ICBM cold war. When the USSR was expected to field fleets of nuclear bombers over the north pole. The Arrow was designed to go fast, launch an unguided nuclear air to air rocket, turn around and fly home. It was great at this, but in the ensuing years, the Soviet Union put a lot more effort into its ICBM capability than its intercontinental nuclear bomber capability. It would have had difficulty adapting to other roles. As a delta wing, its energy management was likely terrible. Its thin, delicate wings would be ill suited to hanging a heavy bomb load from.
It is comparable (though slightly worse) in era, role, configuration, and performance to the F-106, which was retired in the '80s. The Arrow was designed to do something that was simply unnecessary.
If the program had been completed, it still would have been replaced in the '70s or '80s. The only difference is that it would have likely been replaced by an Avro Canada designed aircraft rather than an American one.
There is a lot of randomness and counter factuals to be considered in these stories.
It's arguably worst. The Avro was a cool paper project (it is ultimately unknown if it could even achieve the projected performance since no flights were performed anywhere close to the claimed speeds), while the A220 was a complete airliner project with a production line. The Avro didn't serve any purpose, it was rendered obsolete by ICBMs and 50's soviet technology, while the A220 has $52 billion dollars worth of orders as of 2020.
While there was very little the Canadian government could do to save the Arrow, other than maybe building it as a training aircraft, it was 100% possible for the Government to save Bombardier and the A220 program. Of course, the company being headquartered in Quebec made it politically impossible.
Yes, totally. Delta alone had ordered 75 CS100's [1] and were deeply involved in the tariff dispute as a result. It's a unique plane -- in size class, in passenger comfort and in fuel economy. Airlines realized that and were buying it up like hotcakes. Neither Airbus nor Boeing had competitive aircraft, and neither really did Embraer. It's closer to the Sukhoi SuperJet and some of the Comacs, but reliable [2], and domestic.
The only reason Airbus got it was they offered up their Mobile, Alabama assembly plant as a way of skirting the tariffs that never materialized.
> The program was clearly in trouble when Airbus took over, which may have discouraged airlines from taking a chance on a great aircraft, but whose manufacturer ran the risk of running out of money to keep the program going.
The program wasn't itself in any trouble except for the later-ruled-illegal tariffs the US tried to impose at Boeing's request.
[1] https://news.delta.com/tags/bombardier-cs100
[2] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-18/mexico-s-...
Of course not! But that's not seeing the bigger picture: It's always safe to buy from Boeing/Airbus because you know that these two companies are backed by their respective governments. Same thing goes for Embraer.
Google "bombardier bailout"
The US ended up backing off the tariffs because they were garbage and totally unfounded.
No further bailouts were needed. And in fact, in Canada, only Bombardier really lost. Investissement Québec retains a 25% stake in the A220 [1].
Globally, Boeing ended up the biggest loser for their inane meddling, as they don't have an aircraft that competes with the A220 -- and they gave one to Airbus free of charge. They then tried to cover their bumbling by trying to buy the regional jet arm of Embraer -- which fell through due to the COVID crisis.
Losers: Bombardier, Boeing.
Winners: Airbus, Investissment Quebec.
[1] https://www.investquebec.com/international/en/press-releases...
Canada will be left out as a sub-contractor. It has about 650 total orders, and Airbus estimates 6'000 planes throughout the plane's 20 years lifecycle. All that because the federal government simply wouldn't intervene.
And anyway, Bombardier was doing some operations outside Canada, like the wing in Northern Ireland.
I'm afraid it might stop being the case.
The aerospace sector has a long history of getting subsidized through either government help or military contracts. That's been true for Airbus, Boeing, Lockheed, Embraer. It's a strategic choice and investment that the Canadian government simply wasn't willing to make.
Obviously not when it comes to Arrow, Bombardier, and getting salary parity with US workers.
I say this unsarcastically as a Canadian.
I, on the other hand, think that high taxes end up benefitting everyone through greater services for those down on their luck which seems to translate to less desperation, less resentment, less classism, less crime. Basically overall far better peace of mind for all involved even though getting filthy rich isn't as much a thing. It's totally possible there are other circumstances at play here like the relative homogeneity of Scandinavian countries relative to the US so this is just a working hypothesis at the moment.
That's a perfectly reasonable decision.
That said, far more Scandinavians have calculated that they would rather have the US approach than the other way around. Whether on an absolute or (especially) per capita basis, far more Swedes and Norwegians move to the US than follow your lead and move to Scandinavia.
[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/todayilearned/comments/4rcl0o/til_a...
There are also career issues - there are just very, very few places in Canada where you can go on to earn 'mid/late career big bucks' in tech.
In Canada, all the expensive stuff is cheap but the cheap stuff is expensive.
I think you are possibly massively underestimating how much it is possible to get paid as even an average software developer in the US. Like literally off by an entire order of magnitude.
I would guess it's more like 100%-400% more for equivalent jobs, and many people at. Plus your US job covers your healthcare etc.
Long time ago I worked in the US company based out of the Toronto area that ended up with IT ops people in call centers all over the US and Canada. It worked really well -- the Canadian developers were awesome, and IT type people are easy to train. They seemed to be able to attract well educated graduates with locally competitive salaries that were below average by US standards. Over the years I've dealt with a few smaller Canadian consultancies and they always seemed to punch above their weight.
If you can provide good work, there is alot of Canadian talent that wants to work in Canada.
The weird thing is that all of the players have significant people investments outside of the US. These often start as support and maintenance operations but often grow into more over time.
It's legitimately surprising to me that companies don't "offshore" to Cincinnati, Minneapolis or Tampa. IBM used to have success doing that, for example. Defense contractors too, although obviously there is a political and a "be close to the customer" element to having engineers next to an air force base.
I live in one of the less wealthy EU countries. Almost everybody have 26 days of paid leave a year here. If I'm sick it's additional paid leave. University education and healthcare is free. Retirement is handled as well (but you got to save something yourself additionally if you want quality time on retirement).
There's a combined year of paid maternity/paternity leave for each kid. Cities are clean and safe, police shoots like 100 bullets a year nationally and usually it's warning shots. There were no mass shootings, ever. Last time police killed someone without obvious explanation it was a huge scandal and it's still discussed 4 years later on national level.
I use a car once a month at most, usually I ride a bike or just walk everywhere. There's also public transport that's cheap, clean and dependable (not so great during the pandemic though). There's no social stigma associated with walking/biking or using public transport.
Property tax is almost nonexistent, if you work as a senior developer you can buy several flats in a big city, rent them, and live from that, if you wish.
You can buy a flat in a big city for about 5 years of average developer's salary. All the costs of living are set for people who earn less than 1/5th of what you earn. You have all the interesting countries right there, you can visit them by bike, car, train, or fly (if you are flexible with the date usually you can find 2-way flights for less than $100 between any 2 places in EU).
I mean it would be nice to have millions of USD but if I have to deal with the paperwork, no holidays to speak of, spend hours in traffic every day, and afterwards the only significant difference in quality of life is a few more 0s on my bank account - nah, I'll pass.
It would probably be different if I wanted to start a global business.
That's about what I was making in a medium (~100k) midwestern city over a decade ago and less than the average software developer there makes now.
I'm pretty surprised by how big of a difference it is honestly. Even companies like Amazon and Microsoft in Vancouver were only averaging 100k CAD salaries. (Stock helps, but that would be an extremely low salary just a few hours away in Seattle)
There's a much greater spread of wages in the US than in other comparable countries, so it's attractive for those of us towards the higher end of the scale. Coming from the UK though I do miss the feeling of freedom from being able to take a long break between jobs and not having to worry about healthcare.
Why?
Those are what you generally need to be able to consider working in other countries.
Those are largely what the readership of a software VC firm forum are going to have.
Pax hate turboprops because of the noise and a misconception that they're not jet engines.
There's no inherent safety difference, except that there used to be regional airlines flying with inexperienced pilots like cough Colgan.
They can provide fine-controlled reverse thrust, so they have that going for them. And they’re less complicated (and lighter) than a traditional piston engine, making them a win over normal engines in mid-sized aircraft.
EDIT: "Jets" in the above is a poor reference to turbofans, as pointed out by replies. Thanks for the clarification.
A Turbofan still has a turbine being powered by a jet engine, similar to a turboprop, but it does not have the complexity associated with being able to change the pitch of the props.
Combat jets often have very low-bypass ratio turbofan engines though. A true turbojet has a 0 bypass-ratio; a lot of turbofan fighter jets have bypass-ratios under 1, while the engines on a 787 have a bypass-ratio of 10.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bypass_ratio#Engine_bypass_rat...
Related to turboprops are turboshaft engines, which turn a power transmission shaft instead of a propeller directly. In some cases, like the V-22 Osprey, the line between a turboprop and a turboshaft is blurred. But some clear examples of turboshaft engines are in modern helicopters and Abrams tanks.
There are some kinds of jet engines that don't use turbines. Ramjets and scramjets don't use turbines, but have 'jet' in the name because they produce their thrust using a jet of hot exhaust gas. Rocket engines produce jets of hot exhaust gas, but aren't called jet engines because.. reasons.
> jet: A collimated stream, spurt or flow of liquid or gas from a pressurized container, an engine, etc.
(Note that this makes turboprop engines not jet engines, but turbojet and turboprop engines are both gas turbine engines.)
If they are so simple can you explain to me how interlaced rows of stator and rotor blades turn pressure into gas speed? That one always stumped me. Or how do I make monocrystalline blades, and how can I QA them? Or what exactly a FADEC do during startup, and how do the controlled parameters change depending on atmospheric conditions? Also I heard that the injectors and the air flow in the combustion chambers is designed such that there is an outside layer of incomplete combustion creating a colder laminar gasflow to protect the chamber wall itself. How do I go about designing that? How do I cool the bearings? How does one get the rotational energy out from the centre shaft to drive an oil pump on the side of the engine?
I mean these are just the first questions which pop up in my mind when I think about jet engines. And I'm not even a jet mechanic. If you truly think that jet engines are simple, then I envy your intellect.
Jet engines are used on some older oil pumps because they can run for decades with minimal maintenance.
This Genius Invention Could Transform Jet Engines, 2015, 3m51s, Bloomberg QuickTake Originals
[2] https://www.youtube.com./watch?v=8aPIEsnKb6o
Rolls-Royce UltraFan technology, 3 shaft geared turbofan jet engine, 2018, 2m29s, MDx media
The 'jet' engines used on oil pumps etc. are actually not jet engines: they are gas turbines in which an additional turbine or turbine stage is used to extract rotational power - in other words, they are more like turboprop engines than jet engines.
Nevertheless, I do disagree with the suggestion that turboprops are much less safe than turbojets, and I suspect that the author of that comment was confusing them with piston engines, which also (almost always) use propellers (increasingly, we are seeing turboprop singles replacing piston twins.) Finally, piston engines themselves have become much more reliable since the days when they were the only option.
Pedant.
There is every reason to anticipate China taking a big share of that industry away from Boeing and Airbus. They only need to buy their own supply (which they will) to do that.
Further, Japan is also very obviously about to successfully unleash the Mitsubishi SpaceJet.
It's like people that were still pointing out up to the last moments in May that the US had no human space launch capability, trying to wring that last bit of satisfaction from the context.
They then built the factory for the C919 in Shanghai, and there went most of the people who previously worked at the Airbus factory. :)
not certified, a decade late
> about to successfully unleash the Mitsubishi SpaceJet.
wasn't that cancelled last week?
https://www.avweb.com/aviation-news/mitsubishi-pulls-back-sp...
https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/city-of-vancouver-criti...
It's likely my mother would have died, for different shortcomings of the medical system if she had still lived in Canada. Fortunately she's in the developing world now and received affordable, correct, and timely care.
If you need additional imagery or specialist study, you then do have to schedule these things. I've gone through this process in the last year and had multiple kinds of medical imagery done, as well as a procedure by a specialist in response to a doctor's initial findings. The appointments for imagery and specialist work were completed within the week following my initial appointment. In the past for far less urgent issues, I've had to wait up to a month.
All of this was comfortable, timely, and safe, and I did not ever have to wonder what expenses might arise. In the United States, this would have certainly destroyed all of my savings.
I'm glad your mother received the care she needed and is well, and I don't have personal experience dealing with cancer diagnosis and treatment here, so it may of course be different! But my own small issues could have destroyed me financially in America, or I would have more likely just never had them dealt with, and I am ostensibly in the relative financial elite as a decently paid tech worker with some actual savings.
Please, don't snidely smear this system, in a post about airplanes for god's sake! And certainly not on the basis of "death lists", and certainly not in comparison to America, because the United States has plain old deaths at home to far outweigh them, where no one was even waiting for anything.
The health care system here has issues, sure. Big issues! But in comparison to the American system it is an unmitigated good, at the absolute least for everyone with less than say, a million dollars in liquid savings.
If you want a sleep study and it's not life threatening, 1 year. If you want a consult with an orthopedic surgeon, 6-12 months followed by a surgury in 6-12 months. If you want a liver specialist consult, 6-12 months.
Sure, living in the US without insurance is definitely hazardous but I wouldn't compare having insurance in the US with healthcare in Canada.
edit: clarifying to add, not for a life-threatening issue.
Both Canada and the US have suboptimal systems that are dysfunctional in different ways. I'd rather the Canadian system if those are the only two options. It's a false dichotomy of course.
This is a little bombastic, and your anecdote is just a data point, not a reflection of the 'system'.
The US system is very expensive, but if someone is covered it's generally much better. I'm not quite sure if it's a very good deal, but the quality is high.
The Canadian system is highly rationed for many things. While in the US you might wait a few weeks for an operation, in Canada it could be months, years - or never.
In Ontario and Quebec - you literally cannot get a 'doctor' anymore, they are forcing people into clinics because it's more economical, meaning one's medical history may be not be integrated into diagnosis. When people have 'serious things' obviously they get care, but I personally had a 'difficult to diagnose problem' and the doctors at the clinics just didn't care - I had to go to the 'Cleveland Clinic' in Toronto, a 'private practice back door' to get someone to pay attention.
Almost nobody in the US has a 'million dollars in liquidity' and so this statement is really unfair.
The US system has 'major pitfalls' that regular people can fall into when they are not covered, and of course, a ton of people that are not insured.
It's a more existential problem than mere private/public discussions can address, that said, the lack of real private practice in Canada severely limits how much people can spend if they want to in the area, and it means an otherwise huge chunk of the economy lives in the socialized system, which means money doesn't get into so many things we might like it to. Canada and other nations end up depending heavily on the US for a lot of medical innovation.
I'm well acquainted with the effect that the Avro Arrow has on Canadian feelings, especially Canadian engineering feelings. But let's not go overboard.