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I agree Fuchsia should prevail. My reasoning is that, presuming it succeeds technically, it could only be killed politically if both Android and ChromeOS prevented Fuchsia from being used on first party devices. This seems unlikely.

Google projects that get killed are either retail products that gain insufficient traction (for Google) or expensive projects that stall for technical or logistical reasons.

Fuchsia is not a current revenue generator for Google. If they needed to cut headcount, fuchsia could see reduced headcount.

> I can't put my finger on it, but Google's approach and tone around Fuchsia feels really different from how they talked about / marketed Reader, or even Wave, or other things they shut down.

Different marketers?

Maybe - but are the marketers even in charge of the open source decisions? It's possible I guess. But to name an example, the open source code and developer-focused nature of the work just makes it seem completely different to me.

It’s the feeling that Google will be able to use it to implement more Apple-like iron fist control over hardware vendors and tie-ins that makes it seem more permanent.

...or Google+

Oh, wait

Google+ was screwed out of the gate. It was invite-only, which did not work for Google+ or Wave nearly as well as it did for Gmail (logically). It also helps that Fuchsia is open-source and sees very active development.