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Massive upheaval yes, revolution no. I would say there is a reasonable chance that the USA dollar will lose reserve currency status in the next 10 years. When/if this happens then everything will change - for an historical parallel look at Great Britain before and after the Great War.

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What will replace it as the reserve currency? The other options are not particularly strong. In fact, the COVID situation has only made the dollar stronger (as a reserve currency).

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/29/why-the-us-dollar-is-still-c...

If I knew this I wouldn’t be posting in HN :)

China is the obvious answer, but I have this feeling that some sort of synthetic currency (not bitcoin) will be created to fill the void.

Unlikely that the yuan will be the reserve currency unless China makes major reforms. They seem to be headed in the opposite direction, so I don't think this is likely in the near future. Long-term (50-100 years) it definitely could be, though, assuming China democratizes at some point.

I’d guess the Euro in the short term and the Yuan in the longer term.

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