Japan suspends work at stricken nuclear plant
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Maybe his point was "it could have been a lot worse", but I read it more like "everything went as planned and life went on without missing more than a few beats". The latter certainly doesn't seem to be the case.
But no matter how excessively prepared for a 7.0 or a 7.5, it may not be possible to prepare for the utter destruction of a 9.0 followed immediately by a tsunami.
This all came up from a joke, we were watching the news broadcasts, and my friend said 'you know there is no looting in Japan' and I said 'that is because they don't have a word for it'. I ended up looking it up, and it seems true - can you confirm?
edit: link to definition - http://dictionary.goo.ne.jp/leaf/je2/79721/m1u/%E7%95%A5%E5%...
The nuclear power plant is 160mi from Tokyo. You'd think that there's some difference in the conditions across that distance?
When the 2004 tsunami happened in South India, a town on the coast would be devastated, while a village 2km inland would be completely unaffected.
From this Google Maps link to driving between http://bit.ly/g4hfPm Tokyo & Okuma you can see that the road runs along the coast and might have been hit by the Tsunami, causing lack of supplies.
So most likely explanation
1. On the coast, esp. in the Miyagi province, a lot of things are screwed. It could have been much worse if there was not the Japanese emergency training/response.
2. 5km inside the coast-line, there will be earthquake damage, no tsunami damage, and life will be near normal by now.
[edited for grammar/formatting]
Japan is a relatively small country, but the current atmosphere is considerably different in different locations. My experience near Tokyo has been quite interesting, but it is nothing compared to the disaster that has unfolded north of here. For those close to the big earthquake and tsunami, life has been completely changed if they are lucky enough that it was not ended.
Life is nowhere near back to normal where I live. It is surreal: with trains stopped and few cars on the road, the neighborhood has become very quiet, with the exception of public announcements through loudspeakers and "incoming quake" alerts through mobile phones. The rolling blackouts are likely a significant factor of the atmosphere. Some train lines in my area were stopped completely while others are only stopped when the power is out. The queues of people for trains have been very long, so it is difficult to commute. As a result, most stores in my area are completely closed. Some stores open when electricity is on, but many shelves are empty of goods that are in demand. Other stores have special security to allow small groups of shoppers (at a time) through a fence into the entranceway in order to purchase in-demand goods, while entrance to the actual store is blocked. Most apartments require power to pump water, so our water goes out as well when the power is off. With strong earthquakes continuing to roll in and blackouts scheduled for some time, I do not know how long it will take for things to return to normal here.
I do not have direct experience of what it is like where patio11 is at, but without the rolling blackouts, I am sure that the atmosphere is very different.
I have more that I would like to say, but this comment is long enough already, and my power is scheduled to turn off in five minutes.
Good luck to you.
A lot of people are staying home to help reduce load on the transportation and electrical infrastructure. Once the power plants start to come up (and people stop hoarding groceries), things should start to approach normality in the Tokyo area at least. Areas closer to the epicenter will need more rebuilding, however.
Basically, areas are assigned to one of five groups, and the electric company announces when each group will be without power. A given group may be without power for one or two ~3-hour periods between 6:20am and 10:00pm. The schedule is rotated for fairness, as power outages have significant impact on business. Note that south/west Japan is not part of this because they use 60hz AC while north/east Japan uses 50hz AC and the technology to convert on a large scale is not in place.
The power outage schedule has been a bit frustrating, but we cannot really complain when we think of the larger context and the extreme difficulties that people are going through in other parts of Japan. The electric company said that they would post the schedule for a given day by 18:00 of the day before, but I have yet to see that happen. The schedule often changes, and this afternoon was my second time to wait for a power outage that did not come. Japan uses loudspeakers to give out current information, but I live in between two loudspeakers and am unable to make much sense of either one, particularly with the echoes. When the power did not go out this afternoon, I checked the electric company website again and see that it was updated; my power is now scheduled to be out from 3:20pm to 7:00pm. A chart on a recent newspaper article looks like a sane schedule, and I hope they stick with it! http://mainichi.jp/select/weathernews/20110311/news/20110316...
I have not been to downtown Tokyo lately myself, but stories from friends indicate that the atmosphere is very different there as well, despite the fact that they always have power. I would love to go check it out myself, but I refrain from doing so in fear that it may difficult to return home if something happens while I am out. (I was returning from Tokyo on Friday afternoon and enjoyed a long hike home then, after being evacuated from a train.)
Thank you very much for your wishes. Personally, I was very close to the epicenter of a M7.0 earthquake years ago, and with that experience behind me, I remain quite calm and unworried. I quit my job last year and am bootstrapping a lean startup, so I am working at home and do not even need to worry about commuting. :)
This is a disaster localized to a small portion of a big country. That was certainly not a given: Tokyo could be burning right now, and the situation at the nuclear plant which literally had a tsunami hit it could be the situation at every nuclear and chemical plant in the country. (Or the plant could have suffered immediate, catastrophic failure, rather than immediate work-as-designed followed by a deterioration which gave us enough time to evacuate everyone.
Food distribution and trains got a hiccup in Tokyo -- they're now operating normally. (They're decidedly not normal in the towns destroyed in Miyagi, obviously. 500,000 people were displaced at least temporarily.)
People do not live in Apple stores. They stayed there one night while waiting for train service to be restored. If you're worried about displaced folks, look to the evacuation sites like e.g. schools in Miyagi, which is where folks who don't have a home to go back to are staying temporarily.
My brother lives in Auckland. We had a lot of people asking if he was OK after the quake in Christchurch. They are ~700 miles away on different islands, so he wasn't affected at all by the quake there, but we patiently explained this. It seems silly to get so haughty when people are expressing genuine concern for your well-being.
I'm going to agree here. I went to high school in Tokyo and I hadn't heard of Gifu until patio11 mentioned it. This is not really a problem due to the availability of these things called "maps", however.
Oh, how I wish this were the case. (The lady from the New York Times excepted, this has been a repeated issue when speaking with reporters. I have been falling back to my "If Japan were the United States..." explanation quite a lot.)
And the availability of this thing called 'the periodic table' means everyone knows and understands basic chemistry.
You can't really expect professional TV reporters to be any better informed than my 80year old grandmother.
Sometimes when people write from a contrarian or polemical viewpoint, overstatement occurs in the effort to create balance. I can certainly understand if Patrick's case was slightly overstated. The situation has evolved since his article was posted, but his overall point of the success of Japan's preparedness remains true and still under-reported.
Remember, this earthquake was one of the most powerful in history[1]. I think for many it's difficult to imagine just how much worse the devastation could have been from this compound disaster. I shudder to think of the physical destruction and social chaos that would ensue should such an earthquake and tsunami strike my beloved Bay Area; compared to Japan in this context our social fabric is a very loose weave.
According to http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/latest-updates-o...:
11:13 P.M. (EST) Core Group of Workers Remain at Plant The Times’s Hiroko Tabuchi reports that a small group of workers remains at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, contrary to what an English translation of the chief cabinet secretary’s remarks had implied.
Edit: http://live.reuters.com/Event/Japan_earthquake2 is also reporting that workers are (back) in. Also NHK is clearly reporting that the chief secretary misspoke radiation levels and used milli instead of micro.
Edano's translator on the tape said (loosely, I typed quickly): "All the workers there have suspended operations there. Even the minimum ones. So we have evacuated them in a safe area."
The even the minimum ones is interesting. Edano himself promised more details on the suspension later, which is worrying in itself.
Edit: Video of Edano's remarks here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12755739
I however heard micro on my translation and was a little bit confused during the correcting.
I'm pretty certain that anytime "600 to 800" was mentioned, it was supposed to be in uSv, and that those measurements were taken at the plant's gates.
Takeaway for me from this: units for radiation exposure suck, and don't communicate well to the lay.
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv
EDIT: They indeed did so, but shortened and dumbed it down with only 2 figures being provided by 'WLJG'--2.3 and 6.4 mSv 'near the plant', with the latter being the peak at the time of 'leak.'
http://www.tepco.co.jp/tepconews/index-j.html
Here are the latest ones for Fukushima-daiichi:
http://www.tepco.co.jp/cc/press/betu11_j/images/110316c.pdf
The columns are, in order, date, time, location (often 正門, the main gate), gamma rays, neutron radiation, wind direction, wind speed. The latest peak seems to be 10.85 mSv/hr at 12:30PM on the 16th, down to 2.5 mSv/hr less than one hour later.
Edit: Anderson Cooper called this "hard to believe" on-air, and he's being careful about how to word it.
Edit 2: BBC just finished a writethru with more details on the full suspension (thanks paul): http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12755739
Also, the Wikipedia "Timeline of Fukushima nuclear accidents" has been reliable for the latest updates - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_Fukushima_nucle...
One of the problems with most "regular" news reporting is that it's very context sensitive. It's a tiny diff of info that assumes that you have already applied all of the previous diffs. If you want to understand a situation well this process can be infuriating. Wikipedia however actually distills down all the info into a complete and coherent whole making it a far more useful overall source of information.
However, there are some caveats. Wikipedia isn't well optimized for breaking news, so the hiccups in the process can cause more problems there than for other articles. Case in point, the wiki article for the Sendai quake/tsunami had very early on listed the number of casualties at an astonishing 6 million.
I imagine that was fixed pretty quickly. Things like that tend not to last very long.
In the end you get the classic "purple monkey dishwasher" problem of too many questionably reliable nodes on an information route, and then amplified by the prejudices and predilections of everyone involved plus the needs of the news organization to drive traffic in order to maximize revenue.
Quite a lot of "current event" incidents are badly covered on WP until some time after the fact.
Facts and figures could well be very wrong; with lengthy discussion on the talk page ironing it out. There is also a strong western bias in the writing/sources, especially (as it happens) with regards to Japan. Finally; people will tend to write their own interpretations and comment on such events; some of which hangs around longer than it should.
Use with care :)
Conjuring the language of war, Mr Kan is reported as saying: "Retreat is unthinkable."
They have not abandoned it, they said in the press conference just passed that they had suspended operations due to a radiation peak but they expected to resume again without much delay.
Edit: The workers have returned http://roound.com/redalert
Edano said "1,000 milli-Sieverts" had been measured last night, but that it was down to under 800 now, and that at the gate the measurements were now in the milli- range as well (hence the evacuation).
TEPCO is not exactly being forthcoming about Dai-ichi, but they're being really proactive in telling us the same exact thing about Daini every hour: http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/press/corp-com/release/index-e.htm...
^ 1:20 in the video. Milli. Not micro.
Those are Edano's words, not the BBC's. I was told above that he was corrected by another person and that various translations have it as a different figure, but that isn't in the linked video.
The 1000mSv figure is most likely a misreporting of the transient 1008 or 1080uSv (I recall it had an 8 in it) measurement reported over the weekend, or some subsequent measurement... there have been lots in and around the plant that have been on the order of 1000uSv.
I really wish everyone in the media speaking about the nuclear crisis would timestamp their comments accurately, ideally in GMT. People all around the world are trying to follow events, and it's nearly impossible to know when some reporter says something about an event whether they're using Japanese time, their local time, or GMT.
[1] http://www.facebook.com/notes/international-atomic-energy-ag...
The AP article seems to have been written prior to this conference.
EDIT: Ah, NHK is providing the translation and stream. http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv
EDIT 2: Apparently they've been ordered back now. http://roound.com/redalert
EDIT 3: Or not, no-one else is confirming.
Pumping of seawater at reactors at No. 1, 2 and 3 was proceeding smoothly, it said.
(Reuters)"
http://www.abc.net.au/news/events/japan-quake-2011/#entry-6a...
"S. Korea to ship boric acid to help Japan stabilize nuclear reactors."
http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2011/03/15/japan-quake-live-blog-f... (scroll down or search for "control" in the postings)
They can't drop boric acid and water on the half-melted reactors from helicopters for fear of rupturing them further, the control systems are no longer effective, and pumping in seawater hasn't worked too well so far.
Time.
Readings at the gates were 800uSv 30 or so minutes ago when the suspension was announced.
Seems to me like they have a long way to go until 100mSv - millisieverts
Sounds like reactor #3 may have suffered damage similar to #2 causing the increase in radiation.
also, reuters has a very good real time blog, I think it's best source of up to date, level headed info. They curate commentary from other into their stream, and have experts, such as nuclear expert do live Q and A in the stream.
I'm collecting the factual links that do not contain the hysteria, on a post on my blog. No, there is no adsense on that blog.
http://bnpcs.blogspot.com/2011/03/links-about-situation-in-j...
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/15/japan.nuclear.re...
Source:
http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/latest-updates-o...
Or does "earthquake" get them out of any responsibility?
Any GE Mark I's on the west coast on the USA?
I was just in the middle of this. I'm at about 4 minutes, and the people have gas masks around their necks that they're not even bothering to use. Seems like they're oblivious.
I was a small kid at the time, but I have heard a family story a few times how my father stayed out of work and home not to be included into the list of "volunteers".
There were people asking for him at work. The reasons for choosing him? He was an engineer and young enough.
He got notified by a coworker and got himself a certificate from a doctor to stay out of work.
A lot of other young guys didn't get a warning in advance and now suffer the illnesses they got from "volunteering".
Apparently those guys were treated as heroes, got benefits like higher pensions and being able to go to the front of any line (cool!).
Nobody volunteered, this was soviet russia. The 'bio-robots'[1] were all culled from reservist regiments and most of them were absolutely scarred shit of going in and cleaning up.
Even the miners who worked to re-support the foundation were never 'asked' - they were simply bought onto the site and dumped there.
The full time military units never went anywhere near the reactor - that was for the reservists. They needed the military units to keep everybody else inline.
As a person who's family survived eastern euro communism, I can tell you that your view of it is greatly, greatly skewed and straight out of what they wanted people to believe.
there was no 'please' or 'thank you' or 'yes' or 'no' - there was say nothing, or be missing.
checkout this excellent doco about the biorobots and the cleanup: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4vMTdSAm1w
[1] Why they were called biorobots is chilling. The roof of and surroundings of the reactor had to be cleaned up. They bought in robots, but they would break down due to the high radiation exposure. It is estimated that on the roof it only took 40 seconds of exposure to receive a lethal dose. When the robots broke down, the army response command bought in reservists who they dubbed the 'bio-robots'. These guys were given sheets of lead to stick to themselves to provide some protection, and then sent up to the roof holding a shovel in 1 minute intervals. Some of the bio-robots made 5 or more trips - there were almost 200,000 of them in total, and it is estimated that over 25,000 died right afterwards, and the majority are now disabled or dead. All of the official reports were downplayed and the incidents covered up until after the wall fell.
My Estonian father-in-law was given 5 minutes notice to pack his bags at 5am, and taken to Chernobyl along with many other Estonians. He had no choice. He was not told where they were going.
Thankfully, his task was to be a driver for the Russian officals (who wisely stayed some distance away from the reactor), rather than clearing up the power station.
4200 people who "volunteered" in a similar manner currently reside in Estonia. Many of those who were taken have since died.