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Eh, I've heard people predicting the end of tech in California for YEARS. Hasn't panned out, and I don't see it changing anytime soon. Kind of reminds me of the people who say that China's economy is a house of cards and is going to implode any day now. They've been saying it for decades and nothing has happened.

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CA won't implode soon. But momentum is hard to change and right now the industry is looking for a ways to not be in CA. It hasn't panned out yet, but once they are unlocked and can leave the region there will be a river of people leaving. Let that run for a decade and then there will be trouble.

If (and that's a big if) the current trend allows CA workers to work remotely from non-CA, I think SV will be a very different place in 15 years. A place not on the trajectory of the last 15.

When I was in college almost 20 years ago there was a lot of discussion about if commerical software would be produced anywhere in the US in the next decade. It was a legitimate concern of mine.

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