US Covid-19 Death Toll Nears 100k

nytimes.com

32 points·omarchowdhury··13 comments

A little more than 4% of the world's population and almost 1/3 of the deaths. It didn't have to be that way.

And yet fewer deaths than Europe. Just Italy, Spain, France, and the UK already have 125,000 reported fatalities. This is not a singularly American phenomenon, as implied by these numbers. South America may soon reach these numbers as well.

Very top-heavy on just a few states. New York in particular has the lion's share.

https://healthmetrics.heart.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/C...

Also NYT: Original study forecast 2.2 million deaths.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/world/europe/coronavirus-...

I don't understand what you're saying - did that study not exist?

I'm saying the death count is much lower than originally expected.

Good thing everybody who's going to get this has already gotten it, and all death has stopped, right. /s

I mean seriously it's been like 2.5 months.

We have 2 million confirmed cases nation-wide and that is WITH social distancing. We've never social distanced for the common flu, and the average death is like 40k/year.

If you extrapolate that for every 3 million cases reported/tested positive you get 100k deaths, then when we get to 30 million cases that's 1 million deaths. 60 million cases and it's 2 million deaths.

The second wave of the spanish flu was WAY deadlier and terrible than the first wave. I don't doubt the same will happen this time around.

That's like saying in June, eh we've only had 1 hurricane, the hurricane season for 2020 was great, we only had 1 hurricane...with 3-4 months left in hurricane season.

We've literally got like 2-3 years left in coronavirus 'season' (until there's better treatments/vaccines/plans in place).

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