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>Oracle, for example, has moved its yearly conference to Las Vegas.

This is kind of a bad example to show that San Francisco is losing its place as the US's premier tech city, as Vegas is a huge conference city and already hosts tech oriented conferences like CES and Defcon.

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I think it actually is a good example, I think your argument would make sense if they were moving to a new growing location, but the fact that they're moving to a place they could have moved all along exactly shows that now there is some incentive that didn't exist before

Not really. They just outgrew the conference space in SF. They don't fit in Moscone anymore.

I think that the Schwab example is much better, as they could stay if they wanted (they have the money), but decided to leave anyways.

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