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We hear from 50+ tech people fairly often around here. For the most part, they don't seem to have careers that are all that different from the 30+ crowd. After all, they saw the same technological changes from 44 to 54 as people in their 30s saw from 24 to 34.

computers have been taking over the world for decades. so over the past several decades the demand for programmers has increased a great deal. this means that older programmers are going to remain in the minority for as long as computers keep taking over everything, because as the demand keeps increasing, every new generation of programmers will be larger than the one before.

I think most people in SWE jobs by the time they hit their late 20s move to engineering management, product management, or burn out.

While I agree that many switch onto adjacent roles, most SWEs do not do it by late 20s.

Do you have any citations for that?