https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/27/upshot/corona...
https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1252616296891465729
The level of deaths/week we are seeing is like nothing that has occurred in decades of recorded vital statistics. (The 1968 flu pandemic shows on the 2nd chart, but is small beans compared to COVID).
I am in the end the lockdown camp; but even if we allow businesses to open, many people will still be legitimately worried or scared and stay home even when it is something important like medical care.
And on the flip side, there are people who might have died of things like car accidents if the pandemic and subsequent lockdown had not taken place.
No amount of Hacker News Mental Gymnastics(tm) is going to explain that away.
No amount of Hacker News Mental Gymnastics(tm) is going to explain that away.
[1]:https://twitter.com/BraveTheWorld/status/1254232498122428416
But this is what happens for flu too. You want to count them using the same methodology. You either use confirmed cases (Covid-19 kills more people than a bad flu year, and yes we do test for flu); or you use confirmed and suspected cases (again, covid-19 kills more than a bad flu year); or you use excess mortality (and this year we have huge increase in excess mortality).
There's no way to look at the data and come up with anything other than "covid-19 kills a lot of people".