Showdown looms between Silicon Valley, U.S. states over contact tracing apps
reuters.com
reuters.com
If health authorities want to identify infection hotspots, they can request location histories from infected people and their contacts. That's no more than health authorities have requested in the past. It's just easier to produce, and more accurate.
In fact, every time some tech company involves themselves with this covid situation, it rubs me completely the wrong way. Apple, just go back to making overpriced computers. Twitter, Facebook and Google wants to have the final say of what is and isn't the ultimate truth, like the goddamn thought police. On the whole, people are capable of sniffing out bullshit for themselves, and if they're not, Facebook can't save them from themselves, and convince them that 5G does not cause bat flu. Just stay out of it, and let the medical professionals sort out this mess.
I think the world has broken, and it won't go together again properly.
It might be somewhat the opposite; the classic conspiracy theory meme is that the powers that be are suppressing the truth. It has been well publicised that these sites are cracking down on what these people believe to be the truth, which could easily be taken as evidence that they hold the correct view.
I wish I had some sort of idea of how to prevent this, but as I see it these sorts of actions are possibly worse than doing nothing. The only positive thing I've noticed recently is that YouTube has somewhat mitigated the recommendation algorithm pushing ever-more extreme polarizing content.
[0] https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/is-income-tax-voluntary/
Sorry, not good enough.
There are privacy-preserving cryptographic solutions to contract tracing. Anything less is unacceptable.
Hardly surprising governments can’t stop talking about this once in a lifetime opportunity of peeking inside everyones private lives. Surely this information would never become available to secret services..
This approach is highly practical -- the penetration (location history in Android, Google Maps) is already there, and we've already built out a set of tools around it to deliver insights to first-responders, epidemiologists and doctors, while ensuring individual privacy.
I think the only way to do effective contact tracing while respecting individual privacy and agency is to put the user in control of the data, and make sure that any data transfer is done with consent and deliberation.
The problem is that the government wants to achieve just the opposite. They see the current crisis as a way to extend their power over people, and intend to do that as much as they can get away with.
Right now, everyone in public health is 100% focused on solutions that can deliver results. If we can demonstrate effectiveness with a system that is privacy-first, it'll be all the more difficult to push a system that's collecting data just for the sake of it.
Where is your evidence for this?
While it's always a risk, I see people trying to mitigate a crisis the likes of which none of us have ever seen.
There are literally billions of people locked in their homes and there is no feasible plan to get out. 'Contact tracing' Korea style is the only proven option on the table.
There's no reason to believe reasonable operational elements can't be put in place.
That only works if, like Korea and Taiwan, it is done from the beginning.
We now know that the virus was in the US and moving through the population since Feb and Jan, i.e. the US has inadvertently been on the "herd immunity" path.
It is also the case that the US is geographically diverse with very different infection patterns across regions and clusters. Hence the federal plan is for states to make local decisions.
In US the states are fighting for getting PPE for the doctors (fighting over millions of dollars), while the FED increased the balance sheet by more than 70% (trillions of dollars) to prop up big zombie companies that were already highly overvalued, bailed out Blackrock investments instead of paying salaries for people who they want to stay home.
I'm right now in France, where people are getting their paychecks every month normally, just not from their employer, but the government.
Regarding south Korea, I read an earlier interview where he doesn't understand why the western world doesn't use masks (basically he called us stupid, just didn't say the word).
Masks were working 100 years ago, and everybody had one, I just don't believe that the government couldn't have ramped up production if they really wanted instead of just thinking of their investments potentially losing value.
+ Your comment about US PPE is completely wrong: the issue is not a lack of money, it's the scarcity of the resource.
+ France is teetering on real bankruptcy, and will have vicious unemployment, low wages and not a lot of opportunity while the US will rebound quite well (inequality notwithstanding). PS I lived in France as well. Their socialised medical program is obviously good, but France is broken and poor. I now live in Montreal where there are tons of French citizens flooding in looking for jobs.
+ The masks issue may or may not be relevant - it's certainly not the primary factor. Absolutely without question the aggressive contact-tracing/testing done by the South Korea teams is 'the gold star' in terms of Covid response.
Contact-tracing is the only known solution to the problem and frankly it work well, people have to work together.
As for Hungary ... there are 20 other problems you get to before the problem of 'the government has my location'. First - the government already knows where you already knows where you are if you're there -> you're at home! Second - you need a functional and intelligent governmental apparatus to do the 'contact tracing' system. Lots of people, lots of procedures. Hungary probably doesn't have the capability. FYI they probably don't have the capability to do a whole lot with location data anyhow.
I thought before that Hungary won't be able to implement a survaillance state that fast, because the government doesn't have any IT capability, but what's happening is even scarier: they started outsourcing it to Chinese companies, and I wouldn't be surprised to see that trend continuing.
Of course the funniest thing is that the name of the surveillence software is SkyNet, because the CEO of the company loves Terminator.
The only “capability” required is the ability to pay a Palantir invoice and ship data to them.
The UK is another good example of a western country which has attempted to use the COVID-19 crisis to extend government power - it is naive _in the extreme_ to believe that every other western government is not doing the same when this behaviour has not been demonstrated in the past 20 years.
It's completely irrational to the point wherein the issue of interest really boils down to how people could have such a perspective in the first place.
Though there are 'concerns' obviously, and certainly 'some' impropriety will take place, and 'some' government will behave poorly, it's conspiratorial _in the extreme_ to suggest that 'every other government' is going to turn their country into China and to illegally and inappropriately just turn their countries into Big Brother.
The 'game has changed' - fundamentally and existentially.
For the next few years at least, there is a completely different context for everything. Everything.
People are going to have to adjust their thinking.
Does anyone think that’s actually realistic? I’m not optimistic.
It's not about "privacy" or an "app". It's about core principles upon which countries and states were founded. These principles and laws are not optional. History has many lessons for those who surrender principles. People lost their jobs and much much more.
Because of the asymmetric reach of tech, I think the few like me, have an advantage that most aren't willing to explore the ramifications of.
"Freedom ain't free, especially 'round my way"
I’ve never had one though: what’s the positive story for having urine testing at work?
Jobs where you need a real test for criminality (e.g. working with children) outsource crime detection to the government of course. FBI Criminal Justice Information Service et al.
Fork lift drivers (even the electric ones \wink) get breathalyzed before a shift.
Those seem like the grown up, non-theatre approaches.
I don’t mean “impressive” in a good way, but that’s in the eye of the beholder.
Sweden shows a very similar curve to places that shutdown. Some of their rates are higher as expected, since they are time-shifting contagion. But neither their healthcare nor economy has been devastated to the extent of neighbors.
The volume and velocity of opportunism in this crisis has been a sight to behold. It will take years to catalog what happened and develop a societal immune system to the large-scale manipulation of entire populations with dubious models and data.
Quite the conundrum, once you go down the whole > individual route, where do you stop?
So in short, IANAL, but I doubt the government could ever require such an app be built. However, there’s nothing short of market forces stopping the major tech companies from building the dragnet and deploying it in an OS update to billions of devices completely voluntarily.
...Unless, perhaps, there’s a privacy or data protection framework that might happen to apply but which doesn’t get immediately waived for this application?
Strictly speaking the business would be criminal (like a protection racket or slave market), but noone ever enforces that, so it's a bit of moot point.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Constitution_is_not_a_suic...
> Some public health leaders and infectious disease doctors are questioning the timing of this launch. Galea said contact tracing is usually more effective at the beginning of an epidemic, before a disease like the coronavirus has spread.
> “I don’t know that it’s too late, it’s certainly late,” he says. “Had we had the tests and were we organized enough to do contact tracing right up front, it would have potentially taken us down a very different path in this epidemic.”
While we roll out the red carpet for the most invasive dragnet ever created, do we have any scientific reason to think it will be effective?
> Recent serology studies may be wrong. But if wrong, they‘re all wrong _in the same direction_.
Finnish: 20-50x undercount
Scottish: 27-55x
Stanford: 50-85x
Italian: 30x
Mass: 17x
Germany: 0.37% CFR
Denmark: 0.21%
> If true, COVID19 has much more spread and much lower fatality.So we have consistent data showing that the risk is much lower. Could we update our now-incorrect models that were used to justify contact tracing and Palantir social network analysis?
If we don't trust these expensive studies that all point in the same direction, why should we trust Bluetooth? If we don't trust the tests used in the above studies, how can we use those exact tests to forcibly quarantine not only the people who "test positive" but their entire Palantir contact chain?
It would be helpful if we can pick one mathematical dystopia and stick with it. The math-rhetoric dissonance is deafening.
A good use of contact tracing would be to point Palantir at the social graphs on each "side" defending or attacking specific virus studies, looking for correlations with industry and other ties. Would be a fun project for social network analysts.
This might be more palatable if it were approached in an "old school" fashion. Start by clarifying your customer is not any public health authority; it's individual users. I could walk around with a notebook and keep track of everyone I interact with - even if some strangers aren't recorded by name (e.g. Cashier working aisle 6 at 3pm on Thursday). Design the app to mimic that task and make it easier for me.
I keep sovereignty over my records. If some agency wants them, they have to request them through me. Bake in meaningful, plausible deniability so I can simply say "sorry, I don't have any" if I don't like the name of the agency.
Better yet, use encryption such that both parties need to consent before any particular contact link can be inferred.
Make it so secure that you could broadcast the scrambled bits on a blockchain which any user can view through the lens of their private keys to check if they might have had contact. In a sense, this problem shares some characteristics with zero-knowledge proofs or anonymized financial transactions (all I need to know is I might have been exposed; not any details of how Covid found its way to me). Consider lessons learned hardening against crypto tracing efforts.
If people feel it's safe, effective and anonymous, enough may even opt-in organically of their own accord.
> It is one thing to agree on a few best practices for contact tracing and force app providers to adhere to those standards. It is quite another to bake that standard into the operating system layer, active in the background, ready to be deployed. We have to trust Apple and Google to diligently perform this strict vetting of apps, to resist any coercion by governments
There are countless attacks on Bluetooth. GPS is not accurate enough for contact tracing. The data will not be reliable.
Imagine the lawsuits when dozens of people are required to mandatory quarantine away from home when someone (who they may not know) tests positive?
Proposal for MA use of contact tracing data (MIT is in MA and they have contributed to protocol design), https://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2020/04/03/contact-tracing...
> then there’s the question of how to keep people who test positive isolated so that they don’t transmit the coronavirus. Some people will have room to isolate at home. But others who share bathrooms, kitchens and bedrooms, or who live with someone at increased risk for a severe case of COVID-19, will be given some options. The Baker administration is looking at setting up isolation units in dormitories and hotels. People in isolation will need food delivery, possibly child care and lots of additional help so that they don’t interact with others.
Don't most homes share kitchens? Where are the dual-kitchen homes and apartments? This means virtually everyone who was within six feet of a positive contact would be isolated away from their home/family. So that can't scale, because there aren't enough quarantine hotels/dorms to house the entire population.
Every other pandemic in the history of pandemics focused on isolating high-risk groups. That is more practical than Tracing Theatre.
As a silver lining, if Apple/Google surrender location privacy on their platforms, it might finally give Purism and the other "libre" phones a chance in the marketplace. And those $1000 flagship "mobile" phones can be replaced by a $300 iPad without a GPS.
As for the "kids" who "don't care" about privacy? Ask them that question after their first unnecessary 2 week quarantine-in-isolation-hotel due to glitchy bluetooth.
People don’t revolt against the tyranny of the state just because it starts affecting their peers. Western democracies all over the world lock up thousands of innocent people every year. It happens all the time, it could happen to you, me, or anybody reading this comment. Very few people care. If it did happen to you, and you wanted to complain about it, you’re unlikely to convince many additional people to care.
Unless there are walls between states, top talent can and will move.
After the first human ran a four-minute mile, that feat was repeated by other humans. Don't underestimate the lessons learned by the non-winners of the last two months.
More than a few HN readers could work from home and people in some states are about to make very different choices from their neighbors in other states. Time will tell who wins. If you listen to the rhetoric, it is claimed that some will literally die because of the policy choices of their governor.
It is true that past behavior does not support the migration theory, but the near future does not (sadly) look much like the past.
There has been speculation that if some European countries make a contact-tracing app obligatory for everyone or for some subset of people, saying “My phone doesn’t run Android apps” will be no excuse. If you don't have a smartphone that can run the required app, then you will be given a Bluetooth fob instead and told to carry that around.
https://montanadailygazette.com/2020/04/14/montana-county-de...
> In what might be one of the most over-the-top and draconian responses to coronavirus yet seen in Montana, Valley County is mandating that people wear government-issued pink arm bands in under to purchase products inside of stores. The measure, enforced by the Valley County Health Department, insists that store-owners keep customers out unless they have the pink arm-bands, which denote the customer has been in the area more than 14 days and submitted to quarantine protocol.
So its a trade off, would you want to trade privacy rights to right to live and right to move? For me, it is yes.
In addition, we know that we can reduce the risk of privacy infringement by designing the system properly, as they are doing it here. We could also use block chain technology to implement the database so that no central authority can know which exact individual has been to where. The database could also not store personally identifiable information. We could use cryptographic computing techniques so that no one, not even the software engineers working the project can know which person has been to where.
I know people are scared about the potential privacy infringement here. But if we don't try to come up with effective ways to stop the spread of the virus, there are people dying due to getting sick. And there are families who could not feed themselves because we shut down the economy.
They need to tie these w/ an UBI at least then people are getting something for their privacy unlike FB which basically steals your data and sells it.
So i expect this location data likely tracked either way, so might as well go to help the greater good.
2010: "It's just a private company doing it for advertising, why not?"
2020: "Eh, private companies are already doing it, might as well let government have access for contact tracing, just temporarily."
2022: "The government has had access to my location data for the past 2 years, nothing bad has happened to me yet, and they say it's necessary to continue fighting future outbreaks. Might as well keep giving them access".
Nonetheless, people will be forced to use it because social and work pressure let’s them do so.
Infections will rise again though because people and politicians assume it is safe enough.
So it’s only use is for the Big Brother watching you.
If Apple and Google can’t manage to keep their platform privacy conscious, this may even set an the end to the smartphone era. An old Nokia is waiting in the drawer already.
Funny, when you tell young people that by the time they leave the food court, descend the escalator and exit the mall, 100 companies know what, where and when they bought dinner, they stop using digital payments.
If the kids are alright, it’s in an ignorance is bliss kinda way.
For those who don't know what I'm talking about, retailers sell their purchases info to Google, Facebook, Amazon, etc. who can then combine your email inbox and browing history with your purchase data.
About as "1984" as you can get.
Motion, Light, Vibration (3-axis, up to 800 hz), Magnetometer, Temperature -13° to +149° F (-25° to +65° C)
I’m guessing for the Google program we are part of, we got the BVBLN5W-IDT. It’s available for $31.20 USD in quantities of 20 or less direct from the vendor HID, “for demo purposes only,” of course. Here’s some info I found about it and the Google programs.
FCC info
Datasheet
https://www.hidglobal.com/sites/default/files/resource_files...
Google Project Beacon info related to the My Business program
https://developers.google.com/beacons/place-visits
Google My Business program beacon setup guide
https://support.google.com/google-ads/answer/7577917?hl=en
A video that goes over the pack-in documents and the beacon and what it does
https://youtube.com/watch?v=tm2Qr0e_JV8
Who made the beacon we got
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20161201005500/en/HID...
this if false when it comes to Gmail. they do not check your emails.
Google can't imprison me, Google can't take my rights away, Google can't force me to flee the country.
By equating the rights of the US Gov with the rights of a Corp. your are creating a dangerous narrative.
The state is the entity we should all be warning about. Corporations on the other hand are innocent little puppies compared with the power of the US Gov.
the US Gov can literally kill you and walk away.
If the draft can exist, so can contract-tracing, it's a matter of context and proportionality. Right now the greater good favours contact tracing though probably not after the pandemic dies down.
I can understand why you might immediately think that because we are so concerned about 'privacy' these days, but just consider what is going on for a moment.
'Stay at home' -> OK 'You must wear a mask in public' -> OK 'Contact tracing' -> Controversy!
No, the fact we are in a la-la land existential crisis changes everything.
If universal contact-tracing is a viable solution to get things moving, then it's exceedingly rational to require it.
And without a vaccine, it's absolutely viable - we know this because it works in S. Korea.
Everyone gest the app, or something approximating it, testing should be relatively widespread and effectively focused on 'contacts' - and we can keep Covid at bay so long as we follow the rules and a bunch of other precautions are taken.
It's been demonstrated to work.
Don’t forget that the airflow provides a major infection vector, which can’t be traced via Bluetooth or location.
How does contact tracing help?
'Contract tracing' and essentially 'contact testing' are the tools that winning countries are using.
In Taiwan, they basically abolished Covid, there are so few cases, they have a handle on all of them.
More generally Korea, where the disease is 'out there' but more minimally, they use the strategy more agressively.
Yes - it's possible for people who are 'pre-symptomatic' to spread the disease, but we're not sure of those parameters yet, and now symptomatic they are.
If people who have any flu or Corona-like symptoms isolate themselves immediately, and then go for a test - this is a good starting point. If they test positive, then the 'contact tracing' can identify other people who need to have precautionary testing or isolation.
Korea has been doing this to great effects.
Everyone is clamouring on about their 'freedoms' while locked at home - when they could be out and about using a contact tracing strategy as in Korea.
The US would have to get down to a smaller number of cases first, but it's absolutely a 'get the economy going' strategy, we know it works because we have the Korean example.
Not only do we know it works, it's the only example of a strategy that enables freedom of mobility and relative association while 'living with' the Coronva virus.
For a common discussion ground, it maybe helps to give links to the following articles, which describe the asymptomatic transmission, and the airflow transmission.
"Asymptomatic transmission, Achilles’ heel of current strategies to control Covid" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22971691
"Covid-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22955779
Obviously that information would help.
Irrespective of how Covid spreads - we know for sure that:
a) Total lockdown works. b) Contact tracing works. c) If you have 0 cases and you have good borders (like Taiwan), you can keep it out. d) Nothing else works.
Option B is our only way to stay alive.
Those 'superspreader' references you pointed out will help us refine the terms of 'contact tracing' solution, but probably not abnegate it entirely.
Just 'wearing masks in public' is obviously not a solution or else we'd be doing it, or someone else would and we'd have evidence that it works, but just the opposite.
Without a vaccine, our options are extremely limited.
'Universal Contact Tracing' with testing follow up is employed in Korea and it's the only solution that has been shown to work (other than total eradication like Taiwan, but you need very strong borders for that).
So 'right now' if we had our act together, we could probably start to loosen up, so long as we had contact tracing - and teams ready to follow up on those 'positive tested' so that their contacts can be traced etc..
Just like with everything, there are winners and losers.
It wouldn't cost much to get granny a SIM+cheap mobile, and let her know all she has to do is 'keep it on' for her own safety. She can do that with some help.
Meanwhile HN-ers in an uproar over the government 'possibly knowing their location' (but probably not really) literally as they are hunkered down at home, the most severe form of de-facto emergency law in the nation history ...
The Koreans have effectively managed Coronavirus and their government isn't going to throw them all in jail any time soon, it's entirely reasonable and rational to have a tracking policy in place that's proportional and effective.
Consider that this radically new environment requires a totally different social calculus.
>>>>>>>>> You are denied access to your family right now i.e. 'civil liberties' are already exceedingly curtailed.
How are all these arguments against 'contact tracing' holding up against the fact you are literally, right now, practically locked in your home.
In most places if you see your family right now you can be fined. There are police out there right now checking to make sure you either going to the grocery store or some other important thing.
Right now you are living under the most serious curtailment of civil liberties in American history. So why are you not screaming against it?
The reason is that here on HN people care about 'government information'. It's a 'hot button issue' so people react with concern.
>>>>>>>> You could make the same argument you are making now to justify requiring everyone to be tracked during a regular flu season.
No, absolutely not!
The 'flu' is not existentially destructive to civilization, it's not requiring you to be locked in your home right now.
COVID is pandemic, which we have 'controlled' by locking down in our homes. Obviously, this cannot last, so we need a 'solution' to get going.
Masks are not enough and neither will be general social distancing. Absent a vaccine there are only 2 proven solutions:
1) Eradication (like Taiwan) where nobody but incoming people might have it, and they keep a very close eye on people coming in.
2) Contact Tracing (like Korea). People can generally move freely, but they have to have contact tracing and if the gov. requires them to get a test, or requires them to show their 'social contact history' they have to.
These are the only solution that has proven to work.
The 'lifting' of social measures over the next few months is in the US is going to be very dangerous because COVID will just come right back again.
The US economy is like an airplane without an engine heading straight for the ground, like a person who's heart has been stopped. It's going to come apart at the seams unless something can be done.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> The Choice
So the choice is:
1) Open up and have the pandemic come back 2) Stay in your home, the economy tailspins, it falls apart, the country falls apart 3) Vaccine 4) An aggressive social policy that works, the only one on the table seems to be Korea.
Obviously there are problems with 'social tracing' and government involvement, but in light of the existential problem we face, they are small.
Edit: The C virus is a deadly disease and the flu is a deadly disease. Google and Apple must be sure that it's useful to have this tracking in this situation. If it was not useful in this situation the 2 companies would lose trust. From [1], which is a good article again and again because it demands decisions based on data:
If we decide to jump off the cliff, we need some data to inform us about the rationale of such an action and the chances of landing somewhere safe.
[1] https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...