I still maintain the gist of my point though -- we don't have sufficient evidence for widespread quarantine. New York and Italy are outliers, and should be understood as such. Even if the results are 5x or 10x instead of 50x -- it still means decisions were made on grossly inflated worst case data.
https://toronto.citynews.ca/2020/04/20/new-modelling-shows-p...
Ontario is largely a rural province.
> New modelling predictions show that the wave of new, community spread cases of coronavirus in Ontario appears to have peaked, but the spread in long-term care homes and other group settings is still growing.
> Earlier models predicted the peak would be hit in May, however according to data released by the province’s Ministry of Health, public health measures and social distancing have brought it forward.
In spite of this we are not yet moving to reopen, rather deciding not to cut the parachute just because it started to slow our fall.