https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1251943418860728320
I'm saying that lengthy lockdowns, shelter-in-place, and shutting down non-storefront businesses did not provide much value, if any, and possibly had a negative effect.
The IHME trended into 95%+ CI territory over half the time. So when posters here say "well the variance was high," that's accounted for in the confidence intervals, which they also missed on wildly.
The models justified harsh authoritarian action, and the actual data way, way undershot it. Popular sentiment is "oh well, it saved lives at least" but few, if any, are looking at the acute - and more importantly, chronic - economic costs of these policies that may or may not have even helped beyond just telling people what the risks were.
>> How does one evaluate the OpenTable data and feed it into the model they were using to estimate the amount of social distancing?
Pretty simple; it was clear that news of COVID-19 alone was enough to cause people to stop going to restaurants and start basic social distancing protocols on their own without government mandating it.
EDIT: Shockingly, a bunch of downvotes without explanation are forthcoming.