A Coronavirus Vaccine Is Coming, and It Will Work

Can't vouch for the science in the post, but he did an excellent job describing it to non-scientists.

Remember there was a vaccine candidate for SARS. It was not further developed for financial reasons. In a different world we could have started into this crisis with a working vaccine delivery system for corona viruses. That had been clinically tested already, maybe us a massive head start like we have on the seasonal flu every year.

> We’re now inventing new vaccines from scratch and could plausibly go from nothing to a marketed vaccine in about a year.

The fastest vaccine development timeline to market in human history was for Ebola. That took 5 years.

A Zika vaccine was started in 2015 and still has candidates in phase III trials. Why is everyone so optimistic in this case?

Imagine if we improved our vaccine capability to generate a new vaccine in less than a year?

That would be something amazing if that emerged from all of this.

Peter runs the investment firm RA Capital Management, which could stand to make a pretty penny with the introduction of an effective vaccine. Not saying he's wrong, but he may have a conflict of interest here.

What's the actual evidence presented here? He explains the problem space and technology, but that's not the same as evidence that we're certain a vaccine will work for SARS-CoV-2

Great but if the vaccine takes a year before it can be used it’s too little too late. You can’t keep these lockdowns up for a year so they’ll have to be lifted and then everyone will get infected and either die or become immune anyway.