I don’t think there’s any merit to the idea the Fed will be able to unwind this support in the future, if that’s as far as they got in one of the longest expansionary periods in history.
EDIT: /u/adventured has an excellent comment [2] down thread you must read that explains the situation succintly; TLDR The Fed is incinerating 1-3% of total wealth (through devaluation) to keep the economy pilot light on until we can start the economic engine back up, monetary policy be damned. Whether these efforts can be "unwound" seems to be immaterial.
> monetary policy be damned.
No, this is monetary policy, aimed directly at what the Fed is chartered to aim monetary policy at.
When the Fed started unwinding a little over a year ago, they had to suddenly stop when markets tanked—hard. After the Fed ceased, stability returned.
I'm not sure there will ever be an unwinding, at least in the traditional sense.
Topping it off, starting last September, the Fed began emergency "not-QE" liquidity injections, which have unexpectedly grown over time.
And now, this black swan event. Nobody knows what's going on.
What were those "not-QE" liquidity injections exactly? What other lever were they pushing on a year ago?
That was the idea at least.