London’s rental market is being flooded by bargain Airbnb listings
wired.co.uk
wired.co.uk
Just to think how many of my friends have an incredibly high percentage of their net worth in stocks ...
I can imagine that other countries also have similar products where it's difficult to pause the regular investments unless invested manually.
For me leverage is any kind of a bet that "I'll be able to support this situation". There's no practical difference between a "brokerage margin call" and a "need money in my life call" and "oh shit I'm out call".
The conventional wisdom is based on theoretical returns, not actual performance of investors. Look up how did the average investor do in the legendary Magellan Fund. Much much worse than the fund.
Selling stock because you need money is easy and to be honest, a 20% drop is really not that bad. Stocks are still super liquid right now. Also, investing in corporate bonds, "safe" mortgage REITs, foreign bonds, which are all usually considered to be safer than equities would have caused a much bigger loss. All things considered, equities are holding up quite well. Unless you think they should've been in cash, but it would've been weird to miss years of good returns just because a black swan event could happen
That's why saying leverage isn't just "a technicality" at all. Being leveraged means that you could have lost everything with just a 20% drop. You can't just ride it out if you get liquidated because you couldn't meet your margin calls. See, I don't know how such a "mild" drop would affect most people in the short/medium term unless we are assuming they have to cash out most of their portfolio or are retired. But that's not the case with leverage. There's a big difference between -20% and -100%
Yes, it sucks to sell at a loss. But it's still a smaller loss than the opportunity cost of not investing that money.
So: just because people have had most of their money in stocks doesn't mean they necessarily still have. The beauty of stocks, especially for small private retail investors, is that they are extremely liquid, and not everyone uses a "buy-and-hold" strategy.
Leveraged to the hilt most likely... Lots of fools have discovered how to run their private Ponzi scheme on themselves.
He has more expenses than your average long-term rental. He's probably making more money (thanks to his active management) but it's not crazy profitable, far from it.
One possibility is that he is renting long-term and then subletting on Airbnb. If the bookings stops, then he'll be burning lots of cash rapidly.
Airbnbs have destroyed the housing market here and recently the hosts have had to switch to long term rentals... Bringing relief temporarily, but they will be right back to their old ways as soon as this Pandemic is over.
Reddit threads of this discussion on Toronto:
https://www.reddit.com/r/toronto/comments/fplfke/scumbag_air...
https://www.reddit.com/r/toronto/comments/fpz6yj/update_scum...
“I’ve always been a survivor, in life and in business. This coronavirus epidemic is not going to put me or my companies down,” says one Airbnb influencer on YouTube.
To be fair, it was pretty hard to fathom what might knock out the entire tourism industry of a whole city, let alone the world. I mean it's been written about by various people, but who really considers pandemic risk while doing the rental arbitrage?
And likewise with risk in general, we tend to think of things that can specifically happen to an investment, eg the tenants wreck your place, or the mortgage rate changes. We tend not to think so much about this sort of thing, even though infectious disease is a thing everyone has heard of.
I had to wait two weeks to speak to someone, yet had been immediately notified on the site, twice, that I qualified for a full refund (which I took screenshots of). The wording in their policy also qualifies me. However, they're reneging.
There is a pandemic.
You don't know who stayed there before you
The owner has zero safety/cleanliness standards to comply to
You are putting your trust in a company whose only innovation is a regulatory loophole
The price reflects the good.
In London it's now apparently common for whole blocks of flats to be arbitraged this way. There was an investigation in Wired recently: https://www.wired.co.uk/article/airbnb-scam-london There are bylaws about this in the UK too, but enforcement is very weak to non-existant. In fact the government recently refused to renew powers that some local councils were using to enforce registration and minimum standards on landlords (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-merseyside-51076128).
The company was pretty central in Camden, my fitness center, too. I found it more cheaply and uncomplicated to just rent Airbnbs in the area for 3 weeks, sometimes jumping apartment every second day, then go through the completely hostile long term rental market with substandard flats far away which would have cost me 1h+ in each direction each day.
So yeah, Airbnb was great for me but is prop. toxic for London as a whole.
Also the massive bailouts, the drop in real GDP, may finally lead to inflation and higher interest rates and an end to world wide booming property markets.
But I think Airbnb is just a scapegoat for broken market. You can see similar problems in commercial rental market.
Many peers and locals have emotionally or otherwise fought against the rise of these short term real estate schemes. Something to the effect of "Neighborhoods are for neighbors" as the slogan goes...constantly griping about it one way or the other.
But it's a personal choice to putup, so I just shutup and carryon while appreciating the city that much more. Yes, the trend has caused me financial challenge and the inconvenience of having to relocate around town more often that I'd like, creating stress and sacrifice, but I've always accepted and adapted.
Now here we have the black swan of 2020 and the airbnb money tree has dried up died in the scope of <2 weeks. Properties that typically gross 10-15-20k monthly during peak seasons are suddenly at or approaching ZERO rental income.
The amount of these properties in my area is conservatively 50%, though would some say 75-90%. Tough to know forsure given the 'rougue' players. If you add up the volume, density, and exorbitant prices - this is going to be a massive overdue fallout in residential rental rates.
So let the market correct itself and find a new low/equilibrium. May the highly-leveraged, over-extended, get rich quick get lost quick ... and with that put all these prime properties within reach again for those who do call this city home and hold it down year round.
Clearly, I welcome the chaos ;)
I’m sure that will be a shorted lived occurrence. Opportunity for quick money always brings out the rogues. :|
Banks will only lend at greater than 40% deposit, because that's how much they feel the market might fall.
Not a strong recovery signal in that sector.
It's fantastic for "tourists" (even though you were there 6 months you were essentially a tourist) at the expense of residents.
Unfortunately see it every day as I'm based in New Orleans which is a tourism-dependent city and ABNB has just been devastating for locals who can't afford to buy property.
Why you don't blame city hall that refuses to build new housing, and d milks tourism for everything at expenses of locals?
How many apartments are on Airbnb? 10%? And probably only in centre.
And some people like me actually stay in airbnbs long term. It is easy to negotiate reasonable price outside of tourist season. Normal landlord is way too expensive and does not bother with basic maintenance.
It is xenophobia, because many cities are blaming their problems on 'tourists'. But those are often foreign workers and students.
With an assured shorthold tenancy in England it's quite difficult to evict tenants in the first six months; deposits must be protected and held by an independent organisation; there are some legally mandated safety checks, etc etc.
It might even that they are planning to put those owners that they are renting from into so much financial trouble that they could buy up properties at a discount.
I don't have much sympathy for property speculators etc., however I have even less sympathy for big corporations abusing systems not meant for the to concentrate even more wealth onto themselves
The landlords of these shops don't have any incentive to throw these merchants out because of a few months of missing rent during a time in which most retailers are forced to close. Where should they find any alternative tenants for these properties? Nobody could even move in right now, much less sell anything there. The first time at which they could potentially find someone to market these properties to is when the restrictions on the already-existing tenants are most likely being lifted as well, which means they will start paying rent again.
The only risk for the merchants is that the landlords might take them to court in order to make them pay the missing rent. But that is a rather calculable risk, these big merchants all have legal departments able to handle this risk, and even in the worst case (they are made to pay the full sum) these court decisions will take months until they come into effect, so the primary goal of conserving liquidity during the forced business shutdown time has already been achieved.
Imagine that in places in Czechia and Poland where I was renting long term, the landlords were returning the full deposit in cash, in exchange for the apartment keys.
[1] https://www.resilience.org/stories/2017-08-03/book-day-corru...
[2] https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2019/sep/10/push-fi...
[3] https://www.theguardian.com/money/2019/apr/17/who-owns-engla...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troubled_Asset_Relief_Program
For my 3 properties that covers maybe 50% of the shortfall I'll see this summer.
(I'm not saying it's right, but it's happened)
It has ruined housing for the neady, and broken the diversity within cities.
Someone please tell me one benefit of Airbnb for society? Not the individual, and I will eat my words.
Thanks.
Here's how it worked before the internet: You the property owner would engage a local estate agent [realtor] and they would find tenants for your property. There were both short and long term rentals. Most of the time it would be rented out to someone local. But if someone from another country wanted to do a short term rental, they would contract a company who would have a presence in the foreign country and would in turn be able to contact local estate agents by telephone, get particulars sent through the mail or fax (or if it was really urgent, read out on the phone), and these would find their way back to the prospective tenant.
Sure it's not as smooth as clicking on a website, but it was still a thing that was done.
(In fact these intermediary companies still exist and are still used especially by businesses that want a full service and don't want to deal with the randomness of Airbnb. I knew someone who worked in a Japan-England company back in the 90s http://www.redacstrattons.com/)
You couldn't misrepresent the effect on regular working people more.
It has been an enormous benefit to travelers of all kinds. It has made a huge variety of properties available for short-term rental, and because these rentals are often less expensive than alternatives, it has made travel possible for many who previously couldn't afford it.
The benefits are greatest for those who want to travel to expensive places, and to places that have few hotels -- that is, for travelers interested in most of the world's destinations.
Airbnb has also helped ordinary people to fight back against the powerful hotel lobbies. Perhaps this isn't a problem in some countries. But it is a grave problem in the United States, where the hotels fight hard to prevent any competition. See especially New York: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/16/technology/inside-the-hot....
(I've used Airbnb a few times but otherwise have no connection to it.)
At the expense of the local populations, especially the working-class and lower socioeconomic classes. Not to mention they've basically become hotels without any regulations. I wouldn't call this a good thing, and certainly don't think travellers should benefit over locals.
Airbnb is just taking advantage of a more ugly situation ( sure you have witnessed displeasant adventures encountered in buying house, going to holiday or move out from a flat). However I wouldn't be surprised if they have speeded up the process you blamed.
Please note that I do not work nor ever used Airbnb before.
Is your question one of corporate citizenship, or legal obligations?
If the former, yes.
If the latter, then some countries have legal requirements, like https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/company-repo... regarding reporting requirements about certain social practices, for large companies in the EU, or https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=f2e36590-95bd... which suggests that Germany may "require businesses to establish a sophisticated compliance management system to protect human rights in their global supply chains."
> Airbnb seems to provide a service where their clients are fine with. .. Airbnb is just the consequence of ..
I don't understand your statement. Surely there's any number of organizations which provide illegal and/or immoral services, which their clients are fine with. That doesn't mean those services should be allowed to continue, does it?
In US history, the Pinkertons were a private detective agency/security force. Its clients hired them (among other things) as strikebreakers. Their anti-union activities included using machine guns, tear gas bombs, and clubs to break up union meetings.
Their clients were "fine with" their services, which were "just a consequence of a number of decisions made in the past" and which met "the current needs" of their clients.
I don't think these actions of the Pinks were beneficial to society, or morally correct, or something that should be allowed to continue.
While, if I understand it, your argument seems to accept that anything which happened (and was legal, and of benefit to its customers), should be allowed to happen in the future, rather than recognizing that some behaviors are so detrimental that they should be made illegal, even when they benefit some.
It's even worse many of these don't even have sustainable business models it's all about growth and increasing stock prises while leaving a trail of burned soil in their wake. Prime example uber or all the bike and scooter rental companies.