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The cited data is from a paper The Validity and Utility of Selection Methods in Personnel Psychology https://www.researchgate.net/publication/232564809_The_Valid... in 1998 as a meta-analysis of other findings, but they are not specific to software development (one account is sourced from 32000 employees in 515 diverse civilian jobs in the 1980s). Maybe software is like any other job (sales, clerical, accounting) but maybe not.

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Oh wow I spent all that time reading with the assumption that this was a novel and relevant investigation over that year of being focused on the specific problem of software inteviews. Interview articles are the hot-button clickbait of Hacker News. Not necessarily the author’s fault, but this topic has a tendency to trend above the contribution of its content.

Why would it not be?

I have some guesses, but even if you take that it is, the authors were not very transparent that they made this assumption, in fact they did not point out that the research was done on all jobs while they spoke only of software. That is a bit misleading.

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