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Comment by klipt | Hacker News Reader

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klipt·

I assume the 25 million number is assuming we don't stay at home and go about business as normal.

81k is what China got after instituting lockdown as soon as they saw 400 new cases in one day.

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81k is what they reported. The CCP isn’t trustworthy.

Do you think they're likely to have _over_ reported the number of cases they had?

No, they probably under reported the numbers. Do you think they locked down wuhan with only 600 confirmed cases or were they way further along the curve?

The world was shocked when they started to build the new hospitals that the numbers didn’t seem to justify. Maybe the numbers were right and they understood what they were in for, which would be a real feather in their hat for their country’s model.

A lot of CCP members are trained in STEM fields. Possibly a much higher proportion of people in China’s government understood and foresaw exponential growth.

> The world was shocked when they started to build the new hospitals that the numbers didn’t seem to justify.

Only those parts of the world who don't understand exponential growth.

You should brush up.

I understand exponential growth thanks. If China was able to take the measures they did on January 23 with only 500 cases in wuhan, nothing amiss in the rest of the world, based on their understanding of exponential growth of the disease that is impressive. Every other government had China as a warning and all of them except three have waited to react.

The governments that have acted effectively have all had prior experience with SARS.

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