1. The Ioannidis article is published here. It's a quick read.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...

2. Quite frankly, his argument makes little to no sense to me. He throws out numbers that are exceptionally low.

Italy or Iran seems to be obvious experiments showing that no mitigation is a real issue. And we have alternative real world experiments. I worry that in our attempt to make sure we have validate models, we need critical thinking, not just "nobody knows."

Ioannidis wrote:

"If we assume that case fatality rate among individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2 is 0.3% in the general population — a mid-range guess from my Diamond Princess analysis — and that 1% of the U.S. population gets infected (about 3.3 million people), this would translate to about 10,000 deaths."