California estimates 25.5M residents will get virus in next 8 weeks

So basically in 10 weeks the economy will be fucked and everybody will have it regardless of what measures they take.

Anyone else seeing the problem?

Most will be asymptomatic or mildly affected. The seriously ill will be treated with the newly approved Chloroquine drug and recover fully in 6 days.

What's the problem again?

There's a great epidemic calculator here -> http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html

Curious what the true parameters are for this outbreak, R0 must be pretty high.

That is quite the estimate. I’d love to see the data behind that number.

Back of the envelope:

California had 18 death last I checked. A good estimate for real infections is 800current-deaths = 14400 infected [1]. If doubling time is 4 days, that's 14 doubling periods. so 14400 (2^14) = 23,5929,600. I'd guess this is worst case, not likely-case but still terrifying.