U.S. suspending visa services worldwide due to coronavirus
reuters.com
reuters.com
From https://uscis.gov
> As of March 18, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services has suspended routine in-person services until at least April 1 to help slow the spread of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). USCIS staff will continue to perform duties that do not involve contact with the public. However, USCIS will provide emergency services for limited situations. To schedule an emergency appointment contact the USCIS Contact Center.
Honestly I was pretty pissed that I needed to spend so much time waiting and scheduling around a trip to the office for that.
To make matters worse; they prioritize family visas under student visas sometimes so this delay could easily be many more months for us. And could require us having to fetch fresh documents from a corrupt government as some for the marriage visa have expiration dates.
I know some managers at Microsoft are considering remote interns but it will be far from the same experience.
why do you think so? except for free food and the city life of whichever city you were supposed to be in, what's the difference?
I have no idea what to do now.
The current extensions are only to 31 March, but maybe they will increase again after that.
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-immigration-guidance...
Residents on non-immigrant visas are getting a raw deal. The world has got bigger problems but this really sucks.
That's actually quite reasonable as most folks are effectively shelter-in-place. Not a big deal, but would you really want to fly in these conditions? Expired but valid US passport = you can still re-enter the USA.
What happens when we "press unpause"? Do people really believe the virus won't be there afterwards?
Life would come to a halt regardless.
No offense.
No offense.
The Imperial College report finds that in a complete do-nothing scenario, 4 million Americans will die, which is only 1.2% of the population.
With some mitigation (isolation of the elderly, isolation of suspect cases and their families) that number is reduced to 2 million, only 0.6% of the total population. This is the approach we need to be pursuing, and it means reopening all schools and businesses right now, and directing and supporting the elderly to self-isolate. Massively ramping up our healthcare infrastructure and preparing for massive triage is also a good idea.
The alternative of complete suppression requires total shutdown for an estimated period of 18 months, until a vaccine is available. However, its worth nothing that vaccines for influenza (for reference) are only partially (50-70%) effective, and need to be renewed annually. So its likely that even in this total shutdown scenario, we are still looking at 1 million deaths - with immense and unprecedented economic and social impacts.
Keep in mind, that 2.8 million Americans die annually from all causes - 0.8%. Coronavirus might mean for example that a critically ill patient dies from cancer a week earlier than otherwise.
> those that have recovered have problems breathing (can't walk up stairs)
Source?
We will live with the virus for decades.
We are pausing the economy to buy us time until a treatment or vaccine is available.
> slowing down the spread of the virus
This is a whimsical idea that things will remain in stasis until something happens. Explain it to the newly unemployed with expiring healthcare and diminishing prospects.
That's why people have to vote for things in their interests before problems arise. You shouldn't lose your healthcare when you lose your job.
This is exactly where governments need to step in to prevent stuff like this.
> Do people really believe the virus won't be there afterwards?
That's why we're not in charge of it, many smart people are taking what they believe is the best decisions for their country/the world, they probably have more data and knowledge than you, and no, they're probably not as dumb as you're trying to paint them.
> they probably have more data and knowledge than you
Also please appreciate the fact that you don't know me - or my context for having opinions about this.
It's a brace ourselves to prevent a cascading effect from overtaking our healthcare system. After the initial wave breaks over us, we'll still be dealing it - we hopefully just won't be overwhelmed.
I am currently in France and the only measure is social distancing. Police dont wear masks, no hand sanitizer at supermarket entrance. It is simply not available although it is mostly just 70% alcohol. I have masks and I wear them when I go out but people (strangers) even tell me on the street that they are useless. I think Louis Pasteur is agitatedly turning in his grave.
It looks like we'll have to wait until China can supply us with enough masks. Until then pressing "unpause" will start the epidemic all over again - if the confinement is going to halt it.
Of course people believe the virus will be there afterwards, it will almost certainly never go away. Look at how much effort the world put into eradicating Smallpox.
That effort will not be repeated given the current conservative politics in the US, Britain, and Russia. Modern conservatism is financially backed by the kind of capitalists that have enormous amounts of cash to spend on preventing regulation of their industries (like oil, health insurance, for-profit universities, churches).
That has led to a massive anti-science, anti-social safety net, anti-vaxx backlash. It will be impossible to get the entire world to coöperate and get eradicate it as we did with Smallpox.
But.
By buying time and saving lives now, we give ourselves a chance to develop vaccines. In functioning developed countries, we will build herd immunity through vaccination.
Meanwhile, countries like the USA will have regular COVID-19 outbreaks in pockets where somebody decides not to vaccinate their children, just as we do with Measles and other entirely preventable diseases.
Sorry to be so gloom-and-doom, but connect the dots between "YOLO, I'm young, I'm healthy, I'm off to Spring Break in Florida and Hawaii during a pandemic, sucks to be anybody who gets it from me," and, "Vaccines? We don't need any of that elitist Liberal malarky."
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p.s. You got a lot of downvotes. Nobody can explain exactly why any comment gets downvoted, but my suggestion is that your questions are good, but leading off with a statement that you are struggling to see how this will help may be perceived as jumping to a conclusion without paying attention to any of the knowledge about this that is readily available, and then expressing absolute confidence in your evaluation of what will happen.
I cannot read your mind, but others may perceive it as being a bit Dunning-Kruger, like you have jumped to a conclusion without doing even cursory research, and assuming that you know enough that you don't need to listen to any of the many experts who are saying the opposite of what you are saying.
Again, I don't purport to tell you what you're thinking, just sharing a (quite possibly wrong) conjecture for why your otherwise good question gets a negative response.
Edit: I am specifically referring to the Imperial College report which outlines this scenario. Here is the original report: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
And here is a summary: https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239975682643357696
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
Full suppression will require total shutdown for ~18 months.
Mitigation, specifically requiring the sick and elderly to self-isolate and quarantinging COIVD-19 cases and their families, will result in 2-4 million dead (depending on its effectiveness), with the situation over in 3 months.
We can still greatly expand our reach beyond what many people do today through technology, without having bankers and executives commuting by plane every week.
At least during a regular economic downturn, you can go to a bar, drink out your sorrows, join a construction crew. Now, during Coronavirus panic, which of these options even remain? It is completely unprecedented to have everything shut.
Those who will perish already have existing health conditions, and would have died at some point anyway:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-tho...
Show a little fortitude, we will get through this.
In a car crash? Need some surgical repair? Too bad, we’re not open for business because we’re trying to keep critically ill patients alive and need the gowns and equipment for healthcare workers.
2.8m Americans die annually, basically we are just seeing 1-2 years of deaths brought forward into a 3 month window. It will be harrowing to triage those patients but it can be managed.
I would prefer that situation to living through a great depression. Healthcare is irrelevant without a job or any income whatsoever, with huge sections of the economy closed and extensive restrictions on what individuals can and can't do.
I have parents in their late 60s who are looking at their entire retirement portfolio evaporating.
I have a terminally ill sister and aunt who are faced with spending their final weeks/months in lockdown, with people unable to visit them or attend their funerals. They are struggling to access regular supplies due to hoarding.
Go have the courage of your convictions and go talk to some elderly people and explain that to them, see what they think about that.
I know what I think about that.
It could even be yours.
Will you be ok with that?
I am sorely tempted to answer this honestly.
Depending on the duration, of course, the lockdowns seem to have the potential to be much crueler and sadder than an earlier death.
What if the only sick thing in the first place was our economy ? At least all BS start-ups with no useful products/service living on investors money will start to drop like flies, and if you ask me I'm feeling much better about that than having to burry my parents or grandparents.
[1]https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/18/health/coronavirus-young-...
% of ICU patients in ages 20-44 is just 2-4%.
% of ICU patients under 60 is going to be, eyeballing it, maybe 25-30% with most of concentrated in people in their 50s.
If you’re young and would be hospitalized (not ICU), I think it’s pretty unlikely you would die from this even if just left at home.
This is a serious concern. It is not apocalyptic. If you’re young and healthy, you are still vastly likely to come out of this just fine even if infected regardless of hospitals.