This same argument process--that to "flatten the curve" in the way all the cutesy diagrams show isn't going to be sufficient to avoid chaos unless we maintain social distancing for years, and that we are deluding everyone into thinking this is "the solution" and that life is somehow going to go back to normal in a couple months (which is where most of the people I know--normal people, not all of my super paranoid friends ;P--are with their mental timelines) to the point where we are not concentrating any effort on anything else (to the point where believing "flattening the curve" is some panacea is maybe even a "dangerous delusion"), including capacity expansion and explicit tracing--was made by someone in an article on medium a few days ago. The prior article had the same little modified graphs showing the true problem, but had actual math to back up their back of the envelope calculations for why it will take years. FWIW, that article was shat on... hard... by people here on Hacker News, and was even flagged, because people even here are apparently so bought into the narrative that they take arguments that it isn't sufficient as somehow "so don't do it: social distancing is bad" (which is bullshit, and not what either of these arguments were/are saying). It is absolutely frustrating how much of an uphill battle it is to even get people to analyze this stuff quickly: we keep having to wait until things get notably worse and then we are willing to look at something only slightly more drastic. I have had friends making this same argument for like a month now and everyone just treats them as if they were literally insane or something :(.