1) USB3 has a 1 year lead - check out how many products are out already
2) 5Gbps vs 10Gbps. There are just a couple of SSDs that need SATA III (6Gbps) because the 3Gbps isn't enough. You just don't need the speed for disk I/O. What for then? Current DisplayPorts 1.2 has 17Gbps so I don't really see the Thunderbolt replacing it.
also Firewire 800 was substantially faster in theoretical and particularly in practical throughput
The real reason USB "won" is because Intel really pushed it and integrated it into every one of their chipsets. Possibly even licensing it to the other PC chipset makers for cheap/free up front.
Given that Intel is backing Thunderbolt, it stands a good chance at achieving the same widespread usage.
I don't have anything that plugs into thunderbolt.
I couldn't and wouldn't buy a computer without USB. I can live without Thunderbolt.
Does anyone know if Thunderbolt is similar to FireWire in this way?