>'recent studies show you guys are the second largest cloud provider by number of server instances, second only to Amazon'
It is just like any theory of economics. You can have a huge number of $5 Droplet ( aka Instances ), but limited number of high end. Imagine of you have a Million instances and 90% of those are $5, that is only $4.5M monthly revenue.
Having said that, I seriously doubt that studies to be correct. Because there is no way of knowing AWS's true number of instances. And that sentence actually said "serve out", which means they could be counting instances or Address that serve directly to the internet. i.e Excluding instances that are not served on Internet, or background instances. You can spin whatever way you want, by the only single source of truth ( At least at this point in my life and current knowledge tells me, ) Revenue dont lie. You can muddle around with Margin, Net Income etc. But Raw Revenue speaks volume.
Another point worth mentioning is these sentences are often without context, much like the recent headline "Dow has the largest drop in history", ( or a slightly better headline would be) "Dow has the largest point drop in history". It is irrelevant without knowing the percentage. Dropping 10,000 point when Dow is 1 million would only equate to 1%.
Not to mention A16z is a board member of DO, so a clear conflict of interest and remember to read it with cautious, as they are designed to trick its reader into thinking, for this instances ( no pun intended ), DO is the 2nd Cloud Provider. So they could market themselves as big enough for many other customer.
> i can accept this. but are all "new cloud startups" doomed this way? (I work at Netlify so I have a vested interest in this haha). At some point there's some sort of Glass Ceiling where you run out of everyone willing to Not Buy IBM.. and then the Big 3 clouds just clone you and run away with it? seems pretty bleak for the risk/reward of innovation/VC money.
Absolutely not. History has been clear most big companies fail to innovate. I will point you to a tweet from the same A16z BE [1], "Zoom, Shopify and Stripe are three fun examples of companies that were obviously impossible because the 'tech giants can easily expand into new areas and squash competition'. And Zoom wasn't even doing anything 'new'. Combined value of $123bn."
And for DO, they are still doing great. They are growing, just not as fast as they were, they are not aiming to be AWS or Azure, they are perfectly happy within the 2nd Tier in Cloud Hosting. They are expanding SaaS model with Managed Database. The market itself is still growing, there are plenty of space for everybody, including Netifly. Which in its own niche is possibly the best there is.
No one has even reached or seen the ceiling yet. Not for another 5+ years at least. And when that point is reach, you pivot into other relevant thing. Apple didn't start by making a Phone.
[1] https://twitter.com/benedictevans/status/1234622648363163649...