There is nothing to be gained from your perspective and prediction of future events.
Trump has taken MANY actions that defy conventional logic about Gain/Loss and Future Predictions.
I think a lot of people view the his primary job to be inspiring confidence in our leadership, and avoiding hysteria and mass panic over the virus. If the person who is supposed to be telling us everything is ok, is actually not ok themselves, the panic could grow very quickly.
I agree with you that it would be stupid to lie. But that doesn't mean they wouldn't be tempted to do it anyway. Especially because we could just have messages about everyone being quarantined for safety and they could get away with hiding the President for awhile.