Airbnb’s loss nearly doubles in fourth quarter, before virus
bloomberg.com
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It was enough money for him to cover his mortgage and not have to work if he watched his spending. He's bleeding money now and it started about two months ago. This virus is going to hammer leveraged AirBnb hosts for a while and I think we'll start to see a wave of AirBnb bankruptcies.
That being said, our bookings been hit pretty hard by the coronavirus. We’ve hade multiple cancellations recently, and the month of April is basically wide open. We usually have an occupancy rate for 85%. I think we’ll be lucky to have 50% of the next couple months.
These rentals drive up rents for the people in the community and remove housing stock from the market, making it more expensive and less likely for people to purchase their home and build equity. Rent is non recoverable unlike a mortgage, even if you ultimately take a loss.
Flooding the housing market with units for sale at a bargain would be great for common people trying to build wealth.
Create wealth instead of appropriating it and everyone benefits!
I agree its unfortunate if airbnb units increase rents, even a small amount. Finding good data isn't all that easy, but this study [0] from last year suggests airbnb was responsible for about 20% of total rent increase amounts in the areas studied. But, ignoring other potentially beneficial effects is one sided - if tourism was always bad, people should also be against building or operating hotels that could be apartments instead.
[0] https://phys.org/news/2019-08-airbnb-affect-rents-housing-pr...
https://upgo.lab.mcgill.ca/publication/short-term-cities/sho...
Here is the small pox rash over Montreal:
http://insideairbnb.com/montreal/?neighbourhood=C%C3%B4te-de...
Repeated ad-infinitum across the globe by a company that figured out:
1. how to put pictures on web sites
2. regulatory arbitrage of residential housing
Home ownership is how the system keeps the common man down. It should absolutely not be championed in his favour.
On paper yes. In practice no. Because the common man will buy a new car, or order some trinket from Amazon, or some other splurge.
> Home ownership is how the system keeps the common man down. It should absolutely not be championed in his favour.
Home ownership forces the common man to save because he knows he’ll be kicked to the curb if he doesn’t pay the mortgage.
If people treated their retirement savings like a true mortgage, e.g. putting it before all other monthly expenses, then yes it’d be possible. But they won’t.
A lot of people would love to pump their savings into a diverse portfolio with little debt. Unfortunately we still have to pay rent. Personally if I do the math on it, putting savings into equities to save up for a 20% down payment on a mortgage is by far the most sound plan I can have because it optimizes my returns for my income.
And even without talking about returns, in terms of utility I don't want to raise a family in my expensive and tiny apartment - basically I don't want to save up so I can buy a nice house when I retire, I want to buy a nice house to build my life in then sell it when I retire. You've got the incentives completely flipped in my opinion.
It's like those SROs in the TL where cheap tourists are thrilled to be close to things and think it will be like a hostel. No.
- showing up at night with the key not in the agreed location, and not being able to contact the owner until the next day
- showing up and someone else was already in the unit
- a webcam was plugged in and placed on the bedside table with no warning
- conditions in the unit were significantly worse than those shown in the photos
All these listings had great reviews. Airbnb needs to make some real changes or they will lose further trust among customers.Not sure what you want to do? Pay more so that Airbnb reviews them for you? Are you really up for paying old hotel prices again?
1. AirBnB doesn't care about adjudicating these disputes, so the host won't actually lose their listing.
2. And if the stars align, and enough people get ripped off, and AirBnB actually takes action against the host, they'll just re-open under a new listing 5 minutes later.
I came to a rental apartment which was trashed and uninhabitable and left it after a tiring few hours on the phone with Airbnb to convince them not to charge me and finding a place to stay (hotel) in the meantime (They also tried to find a 'suitable' replacement but nothing was comparable).
The host left me a negative review complaining 'I didn't want to vacate the apartment' (!). I was shocked that the host received invitation to write a review on a guest who hasn't stayed.
After numerous emails with Airbnb they confirmed that the host is able to leave reviews in all cases, as well as a guest, but they deliberately didn't e-mail me an invitation. They claimed they did, but after further investigations I found a proof this was deliberate omittance.
- Had cockroaches and rats scurrying around one my places.
- Another place completely flooded and all the electrical sockets shorted out during a rain storm.
- My host threatened me over WhatsApp because I left a bad review. I showed AirBnB the chat logs and they said they would so something but didn't.
I've stopped using AirBnb.
The trend of all these "regulation arbitrage" startups seems to be to show consumers why the regulation existed in the first place.
This really stems from the regulations on payment processors. In theory there should be the digital equivalent of cash, where the buyer can easily and directly pay the seller without any third party middle man in between them imposing conditions and taking a cut.
But since regulatory requirements make processing payments, to use the technical term, a giant pain in the butt, it takes a sizeable bureaucracy to do it. Then you get a perverse incentive to have the company that handles listings and reviews also do the payment processing -- and get a cut of every transaction -- which is what creates this conflict of interest. The company whose business is reviews should not be turning a profit from filling listings, or they won't want bad reviews even when they're deserved, and then you don't have accurate reviews.
AirBnB gave me a refund and a 10% off coupon for that last one. Overall I've been happy with it; must just be luck.
Nice to have my own apartment again though. The nomad life is fun, I just wanted a home after awhile.
I also had a couple bad experiences with AirBnb years ago and am much more cautious and lean towards a regular hotel more often - despite yearning for the old Bed-n-Breakfast concept.
On the other hand I only stay at Airbnbs when I travel, and have been for as long as I can remember, and I've never had these issues.
My biggest issue is that they lie about the prices per night.
Sleeping in an Airbnb is no more local than a hotel except hotels can't get zoning in those neighborhoods and wouldn't get permits for fire safety with those buildings.
I always look at Airbnb first when traveling because I value options like a kitchen where I can cook my own meals, a washer and dryer where I can wash my clothes, and a sofa to relax on.
I have to say though that I hate that they lie about the price/night.
Also the case in Australia where I live, the hotels are super expensive, easily > 150 a night for pretty low level.
For example we were down in LA last month and picked a hotel for the night because the prices were about the same. However in Bangkok late last year staying at an Airbnb apartment was significantly cheaper than a hotel (roughly 1/3 the cost for the duration).
EDIT: Luxury condos in Bangkok I find to be very nice. Last one I stayed at had gym, roof top infinity pool, movie theatre, library etc. And it was a few minutes to the MRT.
These fake hosts are still active, I can see the green dot indicating they are online if I look into the chat logs.
Airbnb did not pay for the hotel I had to book instead. I also couldn't use the meagre reimbursement I got on top of the full refund (at least...) because it was only valid for a month and I wasn't travelling at that time.
I still like the privacy and cooking my own food, but sometimes it's really terrible.
Croatia is not Somalia, but it doesn't exactly scream "rule of law", either. Airbnb is not inherently safe so should only be used in countries where nobody would even think of breaking a law, like Switzerland or something. I have reservations about using it in America even.
Not sure where you're getting this stuff about "doesn't exactly scream 'rule of law'".
With all of these factors I really need a good deal for it to be worth the hassle
AirBnB was originally about shared rentals in urban destinations. Of course they both grew to overlap in a lot of areas, but AirBnB had a huge advantage in that their business model was much better suited (renters paid a fee for each booking, while VRBO had owners pay a subscription fee) to a Google AdWords dominated world.
Like, I hope the AirBnB trend slows down greatly for all of the reasons you listed, but they exist because people don't have the need or ability to pay for more expensive, temporary lodging.
There are places that is more suitable for renting a private place, but in where there are tourists there are often better offers at hotels.
You really do have to read the reviews, though, both as a guest and as a host.
https://www.businessinsider.com/why-airbnb-reviews-are-a-pro...
The common complaint about insufficient & overpriced hotels stopped being theory and was proved out by an elastic federated supply that _at least initially_ put more money in the hands of private parties.
High cost of entry for building hotels in the urban core & decrepit central planning suppressed the cities growth for years. At first hotel companies and their "advocates" complained, but then after they realized it wasn't going to go away, the cranes showed up and started addressing the real problem.
I don't know if Airbnb will be forever, but things like it should at least be cyclically introduced to reveal infrastructure and planning failures, then local private parties can solve the problem and profit while planning commissions try to keep up.
It's the same story at home in Australia.
The caveat, perhaps, is that as a family of 6 we have trouble finding hotel rooms. We also usually book out full places, and want no interaction with the host unless things go wrong.
Having said that, I really really don't understand the other criticisms against AirBnb here. I travel a lot, for leisure and work, and I constantly stay at AirBnbs and have been for years.
Here is how it compares with hotels for me:
* I usually can't remember any hotel room I've stayed at (unless it's the marina bay sands), whereas I remember every single AirBnB I've stayed at.
* When I stay in an airbnb for tourism, I feel like I lived a bit in the city, never get that feeling with a hotel.
* Pick up never has lines, and is often pretty straight forward (they have more and more of these locks for self-checkin)
* The location is always better for the price, I've heard people saying otherwise, but I've travelled all over the world with AirBnB and always found a better place for cheaper. The bay area was pretty hard, but I switched to a room at someone's place (instead of the whole place) and I ended up staying in insanely nice places. (I definitely recommend trying this, it's always much nicer and I seldom run into the people living there.)
* AirBnBs have a kitchen
* I overall find hotels to be dirty. There's something about them that I really don't like. Unless the hotel costs a LOT of money (again, Marina bay sands <3) there's often that gross feeling. Especially in Vegas... Maybe I just think of all the people who've done stuff in the hotel room, as opposed to an AirBnB which feels like someone really lived there and respected the place.
So yeah, I don't buy the AirBnB has failed thing, because I'm a heavy user.
I might be wrong, but I hope not because AirBnB going bankrupt would be a real bummer IMO.
Do you mean having to click on "price breakdown" to see the service and cleaning fees?
Do you mean hosts asking for cash payments for things like linens and key deposits? (These have happened to me, but it is against ToS and Airbnb took my side)
My current travel plans are chaos due to cancellations. We have up to 10 flight segments over a month away that we are eating 100% of the cost on due to a cancelled cruise. We are dealing with 3 airlines with multiple hour waits and confusing policies with no success so far.
AirBnB, by comparison has been a total delight. In the app, I push the "cancel" button, and it's like "yea, that's months away, no problem here's 100% to your credit card today"
challenge accepted: https://imgur.com/gallery/6UeavrH
* I've searched for 4 nights in SF some time in May
* the second result is 99$/night
* bill for 4 nights end up being 561$. 150$ magically appeared.
That's a 40% increase at checkout time lol.
Again I love AirBnB but this is scamy.
Then it adds the California taxes on the checkout page. That is what hotels do too.
It is still hidden, and not the fair price (which they could calculate).
> That is what hotels do too
Hotels who do this are scammy IMO. I've only seen this in the US.
I just tried on Marriott and Hilton in SF.
They both did this.
hopefully they stop this anti-consumer practice. I'm hopping AirBnB can lead the way there.
And yes, I know the difference is due to taxes not being included in the sticker price, but why oh god why is it up to me to do weird math to figure out if I actually have enough $$$ to pay for what I'd like to have.
Well, one reason is: to make you aware of the tax burden (and judge if that % is kept at a reasonable level), rather than hiding it in the total price.
But in my opinion it's backward, instead of being up-front about costs, they are HIDING costs. I can still see how much taxes is taken when I get a receipt in France for example, it's just not hidden from you at the beginning of the transaction.
What do you know, such issues can be resolved via proper regulation....
(Btw, you can also change the currency by clicking on the "world icon" at the top right).
AirBnB hasn't failed. It has plenty of users, and over $2bn in revenue. That's not enough though, because the costs of running the business are higher than $2bn and so we see articles about how it made a loss again.
It seems fairly clear to me that a large number of loss-making unicorn companies need to get their costs under control, and the obvious way to do that is to lose some staff, or pay them less. At the moment that's hard because there's enough competition between companies that people can choose where to work but eventually the need to cut costs will outweigh the need for "the best people", and salaries for new jobs will start to fall. The result for many developers will be that they have to either stay in their role for a long time or accept a pay cut to move company. It might be worth considering that possible outcome if you work in dev right now.
> "The company has been spending heavily on marketing ahead of its public debut."
Airbnb doesn't have _that_ big a problem with costs; not like Uber, Wework, etc.
They were profitable in 2017 and 2018, and have been for most of their existence, unlike their fellow unicorns.
I also don't think staff is that big a cost for them; again, they're not like Uber, having to spend gazillions on both a huge on-the-ground workforce and bottomless-pit R&D for autonomous driving.
Unlike their unicorn peers, they're a fundamentally a very strong company, that has temporarily gone into deficit to accelerate growth leading up to their IPO, but they're still in good shape.
The coronavirus is an unexpected hit, but they'll fare much better than the rest of the travel industry.
When you open the door to your 70th floor room and the blinds automatically open to a floor-to-ceiling view of the city...yup, memorable.
But I actually remember a lot of the hotels I've stayed at. It's the Sheratons and Marriotts that blur together. They're perfectly fine hotels, they're just all the same.
for me it was the harbor with a bunch of boats! Indeed memorable.
The pictures and description never matches what I find when I arrive and by that time, it's too late and Airbnb has rarely stepped in to help.
I know what I can expect at hotels, with Airbnb, I never fully know until I show up.
When I travel, the place I stay needs as few liabilities as possible, and airbnb cannot provide that.
I still use the for the experience listings sometimes, but never for lodging.
This is bubble valuation, and with WeWork blowing up and now COVID hitting everything, the stock market in freefall - and that COVID will be materially damaging specifically to AirnBnB - not just indirectly ... the party is over.
This is the inflection point at which AirBnB becomes a 'real company' and has to live within the confines of 'non-bubble-valuations'.
Which is fine, think they will survive but not without changes.
If they skimp on salary it'll be extremely difficult to attract the kind of people they need.
Regarding the loss - airbnb is already mature and still generating so much loss? What a bad way to run a business. Would not invest.
Edit - Examples pulled from the notes from 2019:
Paris - AirBNB $650 a night, 3rd story walk-up ~1900 sq feet apartment with a balcony. Hotel price for something similar? $12,442.00/night. Hotel for a basic room ( ~300sq feet) ? $220/night.
Barcelona - 2nd floor apartment in El Born. ~1500 sq feet. $590/night. 1500 sq feet room in a hotel? There were two in the entire city. Price? ~8k/night. Basic room in a hotel? $180/night. King room in a hotel ( ~370 sq feet! Amazing! ) $440.
I can go on and on.
At below hotel prices AirBnb competes with cockroach infested motels.
I always choose Airbnb because it is cheaper than an ok hotel but almost always better, never worse.
Outliers: gut feeling says less than 5% over 6 years.
I feel like a snob but I can't stand staying in hotels any more when I'm travelling for fun.
I’ve done the latter with big groups of friends and renting a nice house for a week is a great experience. But I think vacation rental homes of this sort existed well before airbnb
On the other end some hotel brands are pioneering smaller "pod" units to be more competitive with shared rooms/tiny apartments.
I'd generally assume that the economics of maintaining a 10-100 unit hotel are universally better than managing 3 single-family homes if you can maintain "feature-parity".
So many hotel rooms don't feature microwaves. Sure, full kitchens are a fire hazard but a microwave?? Maybe because some has room service and want to push that instead? Or maybe they had room service it ceased but the lack of microwaves stayed like bugs in legacy codebases.
The times we rented houses as a group were the best and most memorable.
My experience may be a bit atypical in that I don't care for the services a hotel provides, but I greatly value having a bit more space than a typical hotel room.
After about 1 hour of time, we decided to call it quits and go book a hotel because it was 10pm at night and our kids needed to sleep. We were just hoping for a refund with Airbnb. What's their policy? "it's up to the host to decide if they want to give a refund". What did the host say? "i have great reviews and i haven't heard of anyone not being able to find the place." What about the fact that you didn't answer your calls? WTF
Similar situation when we booked a place in Tokyo. We asked the host whether it would be okay since we have two young children who are known to be playful/wild/loud. He assured it was okay and assured us the place was big enough to handle all four of us. We arrive in tokyo and and the place is tiny. The bathroom is literally a 3x3 box with a shower right on top of the toilet. The entire room is taken up by 2 beds with no place to move around, let alone space for luggage and two kids. On top of that, the host's apartment is in a building where the walls are paper thin and the neighbors are super sensitive to noise. We did the hosts' neighbors a favor and went and got a hotel room. Refund from airbnb? Maybe a partial refund? NOPE.
Seriously, I'm never booking anything on airbnb again.
Your example of Tokyo feels absolutely tone deaf to me as someone who has been there multiple times. That's just the reality of the Tokyo rent market. The places are tiny and that's how the culture is there.
As a solo traveler. Nowhere I stayed was remotely suitable for a family of four.
Small, yes. But comfortable, and nothing like what the top of this thread describes.
He ended up having a blast. The hosts had two pre-school age kids, and he was fascinated watching them ride their bikes around the courtyard. He was quiet enough that the hosts didn't even notice him, and he slept through the night for the first time.
Kids are pretty resilient, and if you never stretch into the unknown, you never find out what you can do. We've taken him on another (international this time) AirBnB trip, when he was 16 months, and he had a blast again. Though he did give us a minor heart attack when he woke up from his nap, evaded the baby monitor we'd set up, climbed off the bed, walked across the basement, and ascended a full flight of stairs by himself, only making his presence known by scratching at the kitchen/stair door.
I am talking about taking children into an insecure situation in a foreign country to the point where you have to scramble to find housing for the night.
That said, I have a friend who’s mom had a need to travel frequently when she was young. She’s been all over the world. When I asked her whether it was worth it for her her, she said that it wasn’t. She just wanted to be home sometimes. She just wanted her mom to be happy so she went along, smiling.
Once the person you're transacting with ripped you off, why on Earth would you try to keep engaging with them?
I mean, maybe if you want to waste your time on vacation, by all means, go ahead. I imagine most other travelers have better shit to do.
So you can survive getting second-guesses by random internet people.
Kyoto, Hiroshima, etc. are a different story. But Tokyo is pretty much the most cramped place I've ever visited, both indoors and out.
I suspect summer is their big quarter. I wouldn't be surprised if they made their fiscal year start in March so that they can get that strong quarter at the beginning of the year, like how Apple starts their in September so they get Christmas at the beginning of the fiscal year instead of the end.
"The world's biggest home-sharing company reported a loss of $276.4 million excluding interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, compared with a loss of $143.7 million a year earlier"
The loss increased by almost 100% versus the same time last year--and that's before COVID-19. This really makes me wonder how their planned IPO this year will perform.
EBITDA is basically "how profitable would the business be if they had no debt and their existing assets never lost value?". For companies with factories, airplanes, etc. the physical plant deterioration matters a lot. For biotech companies with patents that expire after 20 years, asset value loss matters a lot too. But tech companies have neither physical capital nor TTL'ed intellectual property, so EBITDA is a good approximation.
What happened here is that the whole travel industry is falling apart, not accounting gimmicks.
https://www.airdna.co/blog/coronavirus-impact-on-global-shor...
Consider the flipside. What would be a good home for a family of five, is now taken off the market.
Both the app and website UX are horrid though.
In the long run I prefer this over hotels. Not only the price is better, but you also usually have access to amenities like a kitchen or washing machine.
As such companies grow and see huge market in front of them, it makes sense to take on loses to grab bigger market share.
Consider a company that makes widgets, profitably on a unit-basis. If margins are thin and it costs a lot to make said widgets, then they need something called 'working capital' which is the money to pay suppliers etc. before they, themselves get paid by their customers. This 'working capital' is kind of like a permanent need for some kind of debt, and weirdly, it grows as the company grows! So in a similar way, a 'high growth' company can have an ever-increasing need for debt as long as it's growing. Without access to this working capital, it can starve and die. It seems like it's a paradox, but it's not.
COVID will hit AirBnB pretty hard.
Not sure what your experience was like, but I’d be surprised if the host has good reviews.
As a host, I use the strict one because I can’t always schedule a last minute cleaning, and I find that people who plan ahead and don’t need to change are more respectful guests.
That said, I've never actually stayed in a room booked through AirBnB (although I've stayed at B&Bs which also list there).
Now we get to have really cool experiences - staying on a couple farms and watching our hosts go to work milking cows or feeding horses, staying in a really old Mexican woman's huge mansion and looking at pictures on the wall of her and her family with presidents, popes, all sorts of other really cool art, then having her cook us a delicious breakfast. That kinda thing.
If we wanna stay in a hotel and just have eachother to keep ourselves company, Airbnb can't compete. But for a really cool side-experience to the main vacation, that's something a hotel can't offer.
When traveling alone or with just one other person (with whom I'm sharing a room), I agree, hotels are hard to beat.
Another example why, often the facilities which are advertised making an apartment seem on par with a hotel, often end up being some poorly maintained "home" version.
We always use Superhosts, and have never had an issue.
The only odd thing we had once was a host telling us that if anyone asks we are his "friends from America".
I think the key is sticking to superhosts. Also read all the reviews for the juicy nuggets. Sometimes there are some big red (or green) flags in the reviews.
But yea, it was funny. Luckily it never came up. We were only there for a few hours to sleep before moving on.
They dont provide infrastructure or subsidies it should be okay
The number of bookings is decreasing, and they are refunding their cut from bookings made months ago.
BTW Airbnb charge both the guest and the host, they make a commission from both parties.