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Comment by contravariant | Hacker News Reader

At this point the number of cases is slightly less important than the rate. Denmark's numbers are increasing at a rate that's unprecedented amongst all current COVID-19 outbreaks (amongst the data that is available). The past 2 days the numbers in Denmark have tripled twice (and are on track to triple another time today).

You could expect Denmarks numbers to overtake Norway's before the end of today or whenever the new measurements come in.

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Denmark's # of confirmed cases was up 627% from yesterday.

For anyone interested in watching this unfold, I highly recommend the daily posts by /u/Fwoggie2 on /r/supplychain. Every day he posts a status update on the growth of cases per country and supply chain impacts for goods across the globe. Here's the link to today's report. https://new.reddit.com/r/supplychain/comments/fgwbrx/covid19...

It's worth pointing out that he seems to have missed the update on 2020-03-09 where the total was set to 90. But yeah it's pretty worrying. Especially since it almost doubled again today.

Probably more Danes to skiing in northern Italy.

And who knows maybe the authorities have done a good job tracking down infected people -- implying that the number of unknown cases is small.

The reason for these actions are that they can no longer track the infections.

Well, they said that they would continue, but that they don't expect to be able to track everything.

In fact from what I understand that have been able to track most cases.

Honestly, I'm guessing this is the case because they tracked the cases from original sources and then kept following them.

Being good at tracing could also explain why the number jumped so much. Tripling in 3 days, maybe it's easy to find cases if you trace contact :D

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