Nassim Taleb suggests Musk doesn’t understand risk in complex systems
marketwatch.com
marketwatch.com
I like at least half his hot takes, but am turned off by the attention hunger implicit in his random trolling.
Can't tell if he does this to keep money flowing into universa which is otherwise a poorly run fund or what.
Definition: A sudden, overpowering feeling of fear, often affecting many people at once
The 2% death rate is irrelevant. What matters is the complex systems (and responses) that would be triggered by such death rates. Paranoia makes sense because it will keep us alive as a society. (regardless of individually questionable decisions).
That isn't "all he said"; you could try reading his Tweets on the matter:
"Virality of C19 is overstated due to conflating diagnosis date with contraction date & over-extrapolating exponential growth, which is never what happens in reality. Keep extrapolating & virus will exceed mass of known universe!"
This is just utter nonsense. It's gibberish, coming from a guy who uses the term "exponential growth" all the time when it comes to his factory production. Virality is a social media term for crying out loud.
>Definition: A sudden, overpowering feeling of fear, often affecting many people at once
It's your and Elon's opinion that people are panicking.
It's not even clear if he made any serious money from trading. He seems to be milking some money, however, from books and from some shady mini-certificate that costs $2950 for a couple days[+].
[0] “If the word ‘panic’ means ‘exaggerated’ reaction, could be so at the individual level but NOT at the collective one"
I wish all this energy and attention could somehow be harnessed into testing 100x more people and making a vaccine. And for us regular people, just do what we can to be safe and go on with our lives.
https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/03/06/co...