Ethos Capital is comprised of ex ICANN staff, and have tight commercials relationships with people actively running PIR.
Coincidentely the price caps disappear by ICANN ruling and suddenly Ethos Capital is formed to buy a property from PIR - an organisation that was specifically set up to care for .org.
You seem to be confused about this whole situation. We arent talking about a registrar - we are talking about the registry. There is no market pressure affecting the price of a .org from the registry, so there is no "price cap". PIR is an NGO and they are happily cash-positive, so there is no direct reason for them to increase the prices.
It is only in Ethos interests that the price would be increased. Its literally a license to print money. They have even just announced that they would cap price increases to 10% a year for 8 years. That means that within 8 years the price would be over 2x what it is now, and after that, they can set it to whatever they like.
I dont get your rant about NGOs pissing money away. If you mean PIR, I already mentioned that they are happily cash-positive, and certainly waste money on stuff outside their remit.
No-one really cares about $10 vs $15 - which is kind of the whole point. This whole situation has come into existence for Ethos to be able to make a "generous-looking" 1 billion investment with guaranteed return within 6-7 years without even increasing the number of domains sold.
So yeah, its clearly corruption. There is no viable reason for PIR to sell .org. If they want 1 billion they should just raise the price caps 10% a year and in 6-7 years they will have it by doing nothing, and still have .org.