> My assumptions are indeed, given the body of data we have gathered so far, that what lies ahead will fit into what we already know - as opposed to being something extraordinary that invalidates most of our current understanding.
Would this describe the world of physics prior to Einstein and Quantum Mechanics? I'm not a physicist, but my impressions is that it absolutely was "something extraordinary that invalidates most of our current understanding."
> Whenever there are unknowns in our scientific understanding (and I'm sure we'll have more than enough of those for aeons to come), it has so far not been fruitful to offer magical external influences as the explanation.
Sure, offering magical solutions is not any better, and explanations based on current scientific understanding are likely more correct than magical explanation, but - that doesn't mean that the scientific explanation is the truth, but rather that it's simply a more useful theory.
This is also not mentioning the problem of induction, which is an entirely different and deeper conversation.
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/induction-problem/
> By contrast I am making the claim that whatever gaps we have in our theory about minds will eventually turn out to be an extension of what we already know, as opposed to some revolutionary but as of yet unseen aspect of the universe. My claim is small, yours is quite large and also seems vague to me.
Again, the history of science would show otherwise. Did anyone in 1800 predict quantum mechanics? It seems naive to assume that science will never upend our fundamental view of the world.
My claim is simply that of the scientific method itself: observational knowledge is useful for constructing our current best view of the world, but it is simply that: our current best. Extrapolating that into statements about reality itself is a non-scientific act and is only common because agnosticism is such a nebulous difficult position for humans to hold.