My Ordinary Life: Improvements Since the 1990s
gwern.net
gwern.net
* I _feel_ significantly less hopeful than I did in the 1990s. Things _seemed_ to be heading in the right direction in lots of important areas then. Now I feel significant anxiety about whether my kids will live in a dystopia within the next 30 years
* Many of the improvements listed reduce hassle and stress in some ways, and markedly increase stress and anxiety in other ways. I had ZERO concern about my identity being stolen in 1995. My identity has now been stolen 3x in the last 10 years and caused significant anxiety and hassle.
* Many of the improvements to convenience feel like a bad trade. Having information and services a click away has begun to feel almost like a burden. Everything has to happen instantly now. This has been a negative from a psychological perspective for me.
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I know some of this is just that I'm 25 years older and I'm trying to subtract that out.
I understand that objectively this is a good time to be alive in many, many ways but I feel significantly worse than I did then.
If I could return to the 1990s at my current age I would do so in a heartbeat.
I have never been robbed, and I live in a place American suburbanites have told me is “dangerous.” But I have had my ID stolen. And to be honest I’d much rather be hacked or miss an ATM skimmer than having someone sticking a gun in my face demanding my wallet.
Identity theft takes longer to resolve. Physical altercation is usually more immediately resolved, though the adrenaline and residual stress can take a long while to overcome.
I feel you. I recently upgraded to a dumbphone (~1 month), no apps. Basically, I can do calls, even texting is too irritating. Yeah some stuff is harder, but the psychological burden has lessened to a marked degree.
I'd love to hear other ways people have figured out how to reduce the constant low-level anxiety in our daily lives.
Something I've been curious about recently that maybe you (or others) can help clarify:
What do people count as having their "identity stolen"?
I've had probably three times where I've had fraudulent purchases made after someone stole our credit card info. Does that count?
In my mind, identity theft is more people taking out loans in your name or something like that.
Which is it?
Does anyone know if there's a way to basically indicate, "I'm not planning to buy anything on credit" and freeze your credit the way you would freeze a bank account?
Then again, I don't have a great credit score to begin with, so maybe that is enough to keep people from being interested in impersonating me...
I would offer that I think we are more worried about dystopia because we are so much more aware of all of the ways the world can turn into a dystopia, but I don't think that necessarily tracks with the actual likelihood of dystopia.
I read a lot of history, and I occasionally find myself wishing I had lived in a... more "exciting" time, or a more authentic time, but then I remember that I would probably just be a normal person in that exciting or authentic time, possibly not even aware of the exciting-ness because I'd be trying not to starve to death or die of cholera.
We feel like a ton of crazy stuff is happening all the time, but history has always been that way. You'd be hard pressed to live for 80 years (period, ha!) in any historical period anywhere in the world and not end up going through at least one or two of wars, famines, disease-outbreaks, oppressive governments, fires, earthquakes, riots, etc. And maybe it'd be easier to deal with because you wouldn't see it coming on twitter for two months before it killed you... but man, reading history, a lot of people die, all the time, often for no reason or really bad reasons. And fewer people die now, but we're a lot more aware of it.
Unless you live in part of the world that became dystopian in the last 30 years, any optimism you had in the '90s that dystopia was far away was not false confidence. It was borne out by the facts.
If you feel less optimistic now, that might be due to valid concerns, and it might also be borne out by the facts. We'll see.
I also don't think people in the '90s were poorly informed compared to now. Sure they didn't have much of Wikipedia, but on the other hand, nonfiction journalism was in a better state and the internet (although less widespread) was also not as finely tuned to create information bubbles.
Certainly, lots of bad stuff has happened in the meanwhile, but in my opinion, nothing that remotely approaches WW2 or the Great Leap Forward as far as death and destruction, and I think it’s hard to argue that anything like that is more likely to happen in the future than it was in the 90’s (which also gave us attempted genocide in former Yugoslavia and Rwanda). I think people in the 90’s were informed, but they weren’t bombarded with negativity the way people are today. That’s not because there wasn’t negativity around.
I don’t remember where I saw it, but someone had a post about how far the Overton window has shifted in politics, and compared quotes from Bill Clinton on immigration in the 90’s to quotes from modern day Republicans (if I recall, they sound almost identical) to emphasize just how much our sensibilities have changed, which was another illustration for me of how our perception of the nearness of dystopia is not necessarily very accurate.
Really you would think today we shouldn’t have to be worried about wars with Russia or China, and having endless, escalating conflicts in the Middle East. Not to mention the environmental crisis.
Runaway oligarchism in another concern, ever since the 70’s income inequality has gotten significantly worse.
In today’s climate, I don’t. It becomes just another menacing signal where I don’t have the time, energy, or even ability, to untangle whatever web of alliances is motivating them to scare me.
(How to design a contract to evaluate the possibility that the world and thus the economy will be blown up is a bit of a puzzle. But it's totally doable.)
And I’m not worried at all about war with China or Russia, or at least not more worried than I would have been in the 90’s. I don’t think the events of the past 20 years are evidence that war is more likely now than it was then.
The environmental crisis I think rises to the level of something that has gotten worse, but I think we also should at least consider that environmentalism in the 90’s was mostly about pollution, which basically doesn’t exist in the West anymore the way it did for most of the 20th century. So like, mission accomplished! (/s)
Now we’re dealing with climate change, which a lot of people in the 90’s thought was going to be a giant problem, but which wasn’t the subject of huge media panic the way it is now. That’s not to say the panic isn’t appropriate, just that if it is, the sense of peace that everyone is saying pervaded the 90’s was definitely unwarranted.
Also (though it is lumped in with smartphone's "too much to list"): if I reply to someone's text message, I can actually read that message while I'm typing up the reply.
Pre-smartphone, I had immense trouble taking public transport in a place I'm familiar with. Usability seems like the last concern of the people who design most bus systems, at least in the US.
That didn't last long, but the panic it provoked in the bureaucracy was hilarious.
Took a bus in my home town recently and the upcoming stop was labeled with an LED board like on a train. I couldn't imagine something like that 20 years ago. I agree it makes travel 1000% better and I would have gone to less familiar places if it were available back then.
Yeah, the method you had to use where I'm from is to know where you had to get off, then ask the bus driver when you hop in whether they're actually going there - then they'd call out your stop, usually.
Not the greatest, especially not for a shy kid like I was.
Adulting in 2020 is child's play.
Hinted at with:
> we no longer have to worry about our car windows being smashed to steal our radios, or our GPSes
Which I took partly to mean that a Garmin gadget is not considered worth anything. Sure as hell can't fence it. Everyone's got GPS!
(But also yeah, lower crime rates.)
Ask me how I updated my old standalone GPS using a virtual machine + USB. Bonus points: when the update starts the USB device ID changes.
As a fairly new adult in 2020, :(
There are facebook to show you that your "friends" have a much nicer house than you, they have vacations in warm countries, they eat at expencive restaurants and their kids are wonderful geniuses and certainly don't watch TV all day or eat any sugar. And so on.
The mental stress is grinding our young down and we do see the results of it already. The modern sickness is the burnout of youth.
But fuck. I'm bisexual. I literally knew no one like me. I did get shunned by folks deciding I was lesbian. I was pressured into being girly, into fitting in, into simply going to church and acting like everyone else.
I've been turned down for a job because I'm female - in the 90's, long after this should be a thing. It was another female that did it.
I could have, with the internet, found a couple of folks more like me. (It still does this: My spouse and I met over the internet). The internet brings all sorts of resources (some toxic, some wonderful). I'd argue that it is us that are failing the children because we aren't teaching others how to harness this good for, well, good.
Stress is just different now. Luckily, the trend isn't "Suck it up and go on with life" for the most part now - so we actually know about these stresses.
I agree with you that a lot of the discrimination and pressures you faced are marginally better now in the aggregate but the fundamental change I'm seeing is the always present, ubiquitous social media pressures. Kids cannot get away from it.
When I was bullied in middle school I looked forward to getting home and especially weekends so I could escape my tormentors for a few days. That respite is gone now. Every kid 12+ is attached to a phone during their waking hours and even when they are not present their online persona is at risk of being bullied & pressured, waiting their for the next time they check updates, messages or really just glance at their screen.
I'm also not convinced we've lost the "suck it up" attitude. Perhaps for major "events" or transgressions, but a lot of this is now standard operating procedure and we completely accept it, the same as previous issues in the past. Just check the comments here on HN; this is a relatively civil group yet I've never needed a moderator to remind me of a relatively obvious code of conduct when talking with strangers or associates in real life.
I also would not say that relying on being able to escape your physical tormentors on the weekends is a good solution either. Dealing with bullying has always been a challenge.
Weirdly taking care of kids is not substantially more convenient nowadays. It's hard to compare, because most of us haven't had kids with a 25 year gap, but I do know a guy who has done just that.
Tech is a double edged sword with kids. You can throw a tablet at them to placate them for a while, but often it leads to the kid being difficult when you take it away.
You still need to sit with them to put them to sleep, nobody seems to have made an app that buys back that time. Again, tech sort of looks like it will work ("I'll put on a soothing melody from YouTube") but often it backfires somehow.
Kids misbehaving? Where's the app to fix that?
And then there's the whole education side of things, where tech promises a lot more than it delivers. The only things I find useful are Khan Academy and various times table type apps. They're just straight replacements for a person, which is great. Anything more complex, I'm very sceptical of.
I am much more relaxed then 30 years ago. Some things have settled in terms of economic circumstances, own ambitions etc. Some work against (health), but if not extreme, the positive factors outweigh the negative. Also, dealing with technology is probably more mature. We have a 10-year old boy and a 4-year old daughter without smartphone, devices are our own and are only used together with us. It causes no problems. Probably it helps to have the separation between an offline world before and an online world afterwards in one's own history, as well as the strategies to lead a life under both premises.
The dream is a sleepbox. You know, close the lid and kids are asleep.
Though I suspect shushing in their ear is based on a similar phenomenon.
I don't know why anyone would want to buy back that time. I might even pay to be able to do that again.
'Heart Surgery' used to be a really big, scary ordeal. Now they do much of it on an 'outpatient' basis - home the next day.
Putting the brakes hard on a car from the 1970's might mean you slide the thing into whatever you were driving towards. The sensitivity and intelligence of car control these days makes old cars seem like horse and buggy.
A woman doing a more classically male job in the 1980's was a big deal, a statement, and they would be told constantly 'they didn't belong'. My younger nieces doing research have never met with any such resistance, just the opposite (They're still younger though, this will change a little later).
Vinyl, CD's, tapes, whatever: you had to collect them and physically go to stores to get music, video or any content. The content revolution is mind-boggling.
You generally did not know or communicate with people from other countries. What you know about Russia came from books in the library or a few scenes on TV, or maybe a ridiculous Hollywood film.
Clothing was something you bought for 'durability'. It was expensive and unfashionable.
And this since the late 20th century.
Those who have been alive for a long time, say Queen Elizabeth who's 1st Prime Minister was literally Churchill ... it's almost impossible to fathom the change they've seen in their time.
And 'fashionable' writing on cheap disposable clothes is an improvement?
That's the one thing I don't think is a real improvement. Fast fashion is wasteful and has lead to actually quality clothing being really hard to find. There's this old fruit of the loom t shirt I have that will probably survive all my current ones.
In the UK, I recently saw a TV advertisement encouraging people to not be so wasteful with their clothing, and to wash it less frequently so it lasts longer and we use less resources.
I thought this was interesting to see, and I was reminded of some friends who spend hundreds of dollars on clothing every single month.
Fast fashion and quality probably don't go together, but the quality of more expensive clothing has become ridiculously good. $20-30 t-shirts last >5 years and "outdoors" clothing is so much better than anything even 10 years ago.
Lol, you should really look at pictures from 30+ years ago; people dressed much better than they do now, and were more obviously physically fit to boot.
Almost all North American men in suits looked like fools wearing brown paper bags because suits were never fitted tailored properly. Even less expensive suits nowadays can at least have a decent cut and fit close to reasonable, even if there is still a huge variety of 'weird stuff' that people invariably buy anyhow.
Now there are more ways to look crazy but at least if you want to dress kind of properly, it's within grasp for most people.
I used to sit by the radio, ready to hit record if a song I liked came on. Now, nearly every song is available to me, on demand, for free. (I actually pay ~$8 a month for it, but I don't have to.)
I used to watch episodes of Star Trek when they aired, and if I missed it, I just had to wait a few months until it aired again. (Often, football aired immediately before and it would run overtime, so they'd just start Star Trek partway through the episode.) Also, if the signal was super-staticy, you could play with the antenna for a while, but most likely, you just lived with it.
Now, I can go watch whichever episode I want at any point, static-free. It's not free (unless I pirate it), but it's included in an annual subscription I already had for other purposes (free shipping).
We (my family) used to spend hours hunting through used bookstores. There were various books by my favorite authors I never found, despite dozens (hundreds?) of hours searching through dozens (hundreds?) of used book stores.
Now I can go buy them online and have them in a couple days, or if they're available as ebooks, a few seconds. A few years ago, I was waiting at a bus stop, and decided I wanted to re-read one of my favorite books. I promptly downloaded it and was reading it before the bus arrived.
My parents had (actually...have) a large cabinet to store their records and tapes. And then another smaller one to store VHS tapes. And then couple more to store DVDs. And a closet full of floppies. Digital media saves me a room worth of space in my house. (Books are an order of magnitude more space -- they have literally tens of thousands.)
Bigger difference - you didn't know what you were getting until after you'd gotten home, unwrapped and listened to it. Maybe you'd heard one song from the album on the radio, maybe you had heard other stuff by the band, or maybe you just bought it because the cover artwork looked cool or you'd heard the name of the band somewhere. $20 for a CD, and you just hoped it'd turn out to be something you liked because that would be the only new music you heard until you bought another one.
Movies were similar. On TV, there was a blurb in TV guide, at the rental store, a blurb on the back of the box, and at the theater, just a poster. That's all you knew about it until you watched it, which could be awhile. Now, you hear of a potentially interesting movie and you can instantly read cast, summary, reviews, and links to related movies. If you're still interested, you can be watching it inside of 5 minutes, with subtitles.
Also mobile connectivity consisted of your beeper going off, then you stopping whatever you were doing, going to find a payphone, calling the number and hoping whoever beeped you was still waiting for you to call in and that you could get through the call before you ran out of quarters.
We had internet then, but mostly used local BBSes, and it was still dialup at 1200 or 2400 bps, all text mode. You watched the text scroll onto your screen as it downloaded.
And big difference - no multitasking. If you were chatting on IRC, that's all you were doing. You didn't have other windows, so there was no chatting about something you were doing in another window. You weren't talking on the phone and couldn't get calls because the modem was using the line. You wouldn't get emails until you closed IRC and opened your email client.
But that leads into the negatives.
No anticipation. Hinted at above, you looked forward to getting a new CD on payday, or getting home to see that movie that you'd rented, or your favorite show that came on on Fridays, or hanging out with friends on the weekend. Now that you can access any of that any time, there's not much to look forward to.
Related, time has lost much of its flavor. Back then you could tell time by whatever theme song you'd heard most recently, or the type of show playing on the TV in the background. Different days had different lineups, so family sitcom night had a different flavor than back-to-back horror movie night. 24-hour on-demand makes all time equal and flavorless in that sense. Modern connectivity also means you can work from home in the middle of the night, find people to talk to online, shop online for anything, so even the difference between night and day has lost some flavor.
And most of all, we've lost downtime. It takes a conscious effort now to unplug, have nothing to do, and get bored. In the past, that was when we would hang out with friends, read long-form books, go for a walk and explore, observe the world around us, strike up a conversation with strangers, learn new things or try new hobbies, be creative and imaginative. But now that we're drinking from the firehose, it takes real effort to get bored, or to relax. We do a lot less of all those things now, and it has a psychological and social impact.
Permanently moored as I am in my bubble though I can't help feeling that this type of article more an attempt to balance the narratives that I and my peers are fixated on, rather than paint a complete picture: so what about the trajectories of climate change, wealth inequality, opioid crisis, debt crisis, nuclear warfare threat, pandemic vulnerability, soil depletion etc?
I guess this is the nature of human discourse: we don't typically try to provide complete pictures, we tend to paint alternate pictures (aiming to support different courses of action?) in contrast to other narratives.
In the best of worlds all perspectives are based in reality, painted in earnest, and readily available, enabling a rational discourse. In reality that's obviously not always the case, filter bubbles being a case in point.
not watching crummy VHS tapes: the decline in ownership and reduction in ability to record / remix media.
playing phone tag: now that normal humans have access to broadcast media, the easy to avoid 'holiday slide show' or gossip sessions have become almost impossible to avoid in whatsapp groups, etc.
USB cables: Physically different connectors for different functions is a good thing. I have usb cables that can carry data (at I think 4 different speeds), usb cables that can only carry power, usb cables that can fast charge, usb cables that can power delivery charge, usb cables that can carry thunderbolt. I have lots of these cables and I have no idea which are which. I do very much like that some of these cables can act as power and screen and input now, but usb is pretty frustrating. It's great that almost everything charges with the same cable these days - for which I credit the EU rules about phones rather than innovation, (but usb-c vs usb-micro, and even a few hold out usb-minis mean it's still not perfect), and the usb micro cable has been much less reliable than things like the old nokia power jacks, with many of my tablets developing problems with charging and connectivity because of the usb port.
search engines: Search engine quality goes in waves. I've definitely had some years where google returned me worse results for my searches than I used to get in the good old days.
batteries: the power tools I have with batteries are less powerful, go wrong more often and have to be charged (and never are, because I don't use them enough).
Frankly I miss the days when the online racist death threats were posted by xXBoner420Xx to his Xanga page instead of posted on Facebook by Ted Smith from your company's accounting department.
what do you mean by this exactly? I can agree it's sort of sad that people don't usually own a physical/local copy of whatever movies/music they enjoy, but you can still buy physical copies of most media if you really want. I'm pretty the inflation-adjusted price is lower than it was in the early '00s. you could certainly argue that streaming is so convenient/cheap that it precludes this kind of ownership for most people.
the reduction in ability to record/remix media I completely disagree with. the shittiest smartphone camera records better quality video than a good consumer camcorder from the '90s, and you can edit the footage with free software on any computer.
I don't like this trend at all. I've thrown out so many perfectly good products because the bespoke built in battery couldn't keep a charge anymore.
With good ol' rechargable AA/AAA batteries, you typically get a way higher capacity than the cheap built-in batteries in small electronics, and the product lifespan is years longer.
Counteracting this though is my personal favorite innovation of our times, secondary markets for everything! eBay, Postmark, Amazon, surplus resellers like Marshals and Ross etc have made it so much more possible to connect a good with its buyer rather than hording or junking it.
I'm not happy with the way things are going on that front. And things may be considerably worse than they were in the 1990s. They're far better than they were in the 1980s, though.
Wealth inequality is an immensely less serious menace than at any time since at least Columbus. If it doesn't look like it, that's because you aren't looking at China and India 8, 16, 32, 64, and 128 years ago.
The opioid crisis is a big problem. A lot of people who need opioids can't get them because of laws, or they can get them but without reasonable guarantees of quality (again because of laws), and so they die of fentanyl overdoses. Hopefully we can solve that problem, but it's been a century and a half, so it probably won't be soon.
I don't know about the debt crisis. What's the crisis? People (and imaginary people) owe each other money, which is also imaginary. Sometimes they can't pay it and go bankrupt. This is kind of stupid but it's relatively harmless most of the time.
Nuclear warfare continues to be a threat, but it's much less of one than at any time since, say, 1959. There's no Cold War, the massive nuclear arsenals have been mostly scrapped, and really what you need to worry about there are drones.
Pandemic vulnerability is a big deal. Especially in March and April of this year. But the situation will improve rapidly after that.
Soil depletion is potentially a big deal, and it's an incentives problem with a lot of interests vested in the status quo ante. The Netherlands may be showing a solution.
We still have poverty in north america, but it's not a lack of conveniences, food, or material goods. It's something else. It's not just money, because lots of poor people earn money. Even people with mobile homes often own their homes. It's something else, like hope, mobility, culture or something.
It's still nutrition and food insecurity are still an issue. Calories are plenty but large number of poor still suffer from malnutrition because healthy food is very expensive and neighborhood deprivation creates food deserts.
> Even people with mobile homes often own their homes
Mobile home business in US are huge predatory business model that keeps people poor. Private equity companies buy and own many mobile home parks and the loans for mobile homes are expensive, plus the homes are bad investment. They lose value just like a car. John Oliver made an episode about this.
>It's something else,
Relative poverty is real poverty. It goes against all evidence to claim that only absolute poverty is real poverty and only thing that should be addressed. Just being poor hurts even cognitive functionality and causes stress. People who have less options, less time to make decisions, are forced to long term of short decisions that are non-optimal.
There has been a great natural experiment testing the culture theory and direction of causal link.
In the 80's when drug epidemic ravaged black neighborhoods there were two theories. One theory was that poverty causes desperation, destroys culture and brings drugs and destroys neighborhoods. Another theory was that culture causes poverty and drug use and creates bad neighborhoods.
Opioid crisis provides great second data point and natural experience. It turns out that when poverty and financial insecurity hits white middle class neighborhoods, they are just as susceptible to drug epidemics, destruction of cultural values as black neighborhoods.
It seems that relative poverty and decreasing options and loss of hope creates culture and behavior more than other way around.
I would also agree that the effects of racist policy impacts how they grew up, and that in turn becomes culture, but where I diverge is that the solutions to "how to not be poor," and "how to stop making people poor," are different.
The tech changes we've had have clearly raised all boats, and yet we undeniably still have poverty. What it means is that making peoples lives more convenient, giving them more stuff, and spending on the lower level needs in the hierarchy doesn't end poverty. This is the crux of what the Gwern article shows.
It has to do with ability to achieve and self-actualize. Broadly, Maslow's hierarchy of needs is a handwavy metaphor for it, and the technology changes we've had in the last 30 years provide belonging (social media), not a lot of security, and probably come at the cost of self actualization.
Given the clear quality of life improvements from technological change, we can see with some certainty that merely providing more of the things that technology change already and inevitably provides is not a solution to multi-generational self-reinforcing poverty.
That is the subversive implication.
> not getting lost while frantically driving down a freeway; or anywhere else, for that matter
I had a real "The Machine Stops" moment a few months ago when I was trying to get to a doctor appointment, and I'm running late, so I fire up the map app on my phone, enter the address, and get on the highway... and no internet. And yeah, I hadn't been to this location enough to know how to get there, and it's in a twisty maze of passages, all just enough alike each other to make "hopeful" navigation worthless.
Rebooted the phone, got the internet again, got to the appointment, whew.
And yeah, we have our old bag of maps in the car, but they're old enough that I'm not sure the office is ON those maps...!
Luckily my phone was able to restart after a few minutes and I memorized the directions before it shut down again.
I still wonder what I would have done otherwise?
I find that search engines used to be much better in giving me relevant useful results 8-9 years ago. There used to be a lot more content on small personal websites or blogs that was really well done and useful.
Now search engines tend to only return results from massive well known websites and the actual relevant and interesting results is buried far far down in the results under all of the seo optimized content farms.
I completely agree. And it feels like it's steadily going down too, search results now are way worse than they were 5 years ago which were somewhat worse than 10.
It seems that search engines now are always trying to guess your intent, and always think they know better. And yet more than ever, I struggle to find relevant search results.
For example, I enter a search term, and I'll get many results back that don't even contain the search terms. If I use double quotes, things often improve, but I'll still get results that don't contain my terms.
I really wish there was a "power user" mode, that basically made things work the way they used to work.
I actually wonder if there are search engines out there catering to power users.
I complained about this from day one, and not once did I get anything but patronizing handwaving in response.
If I want to buy a pizza, I'll enter "buy pizza in $city" or something, but if I just enter "pizza", I want to see what every person on the planet would see if they used the English language version of the search engine (and then on top of that have the option of personal customization that I can undo or suspend anytime). IMO the convenience of "just typing 'pizza' when you want directions to the nearest pizza place" is nothing at all compared to the fracturing of the public space, for lack of a better way to put it.
The "always think they know better" is the issue IME. I'm fine with search engine trying to be smarter, but the paternalistic "no I think you want <completely unrelated thing>" is what bites.
And not only does it not work when I know what I'm looking for (because it gives me something else entirely), it doesn't work when I'm not quite sure either e.g. from time to time I dimly remember an interesting comment about something but don't quite remember the wording so I look for something similar, and never in my life has the search engine been able to guess it.
Which is fair enough, don't get me wrong, but then why mess with what I know I'm looking for when you're patently unable to guess when I don't?
> For example, I enter a search term, and I'll get many results back that don't even contain the search terms.
That is also my experience. It's also one of the issues I have with duckduckgo, AFAIK it ignores quoting entirely.
If you knew the right keyword, they'd typically produce somewhat useful results. That's not my current experience with Google. Google will ignore important, distinguishing keywords in multi-word queries, and seems to have given up on ranking content by anything other than link count, i.e. I get plenty of seo garbage in the top 10 that is published on domains with plenty of links. It's why subdomain/folder leasing has been a massive thing for the past two years. The content is typically shit and even the language is on a level that wouldn't pass in middle school, plenty of spinning and templates with few variations, 99% duplicate content from the same domain ranking on two consecutive spots etc.
I had 2 roommates and we had full time internet. Through my Panix account? We had a LAN and played Diablo, Quake, etc. locally and online.
I bought a DVD player for $600 because I hated VHS.
I flew to Europe and Mexico around that time. Don’t remember flights being too expensive.
Personally, I’ve always been disappointed about how incredibly slowly the world changes.
So it's a reversion, but the company itself appear to be driving it.
What's more, how did you make the fantastic Gothic style drop caps? ‘WhatFont’ said it's Source Serif Pro but it looks far more different!
The Gothic drop cap is nothing to do with Source, but it is from Deutsche Zierschrift, one of 5 drop cap fonts (Cheshire Initials, Deutsche Zierschrift, Goudy Initialen, Kanzlei Initialen, & Yinit).
In one of the clever performance tricks we use (https://www.gwern.net/About#design), we subset them all into multiple font files, one initial per file, which makes them almost free in terms of bandwidth. The CSS for positioning them is quite tricky, however, due to subtle brokenness in browsers (particularly Firefox), so you'll have to inspect the 'DROP CAPS' section of https://www.gwern.net/static/css/default.css carefully if you want to imitate it.
Electric cars, however, are common in some places (I'm in Norway, and they are everywhere here, and the infrastructure is spreading, both in the private sector and in public street parking). Other places, they are a growing trend that we've been measuring. The growth is picking up.
This wasn't a far-fetch prediction by the author.
But with that, some programmers assume they can use all 4GB of RAM
* Buying groceries in an app and getting them delivered directly to my door (without being super expensive nor low quality) same or next day. No more wasting time driving to a store just to run around in there trying to find everything. No standing in lines.
* Throwing away large pieces of garbage (boxes, furniture, recycling) without having to rent a car, you just take a photo with an app and someone shows up at your door within 30 minutes, ready to take it away for just $10-$20.
These things + living within biking distance of work makes it very easy to manage without a car.
As someone who enjoys cooking, the proliferation of induction based stoves makes me sad. I find cooking over a gas flame superior in just about every way (except obviously safety and energy efficiency).
Induction cooking just gives little to no feedback and makes it difficult for any pan tilting techniques (I love my garlic basted pan seared steaks...). Pretty much have to use something like cast iron for heat retention now.
Whilst the steak is resting I usually cook cut french onion in the same pan, when the onions are browned I de-glaze it with a half a glass of wine and let that reduce to get all the fond for an awesome pan sauce.
> we no longer have to worry about our car windows being smashed to steal our radios, or our GPSes
I've had friends' cars broken into this way in the recent past. Not for radios, perhaps, but for anything else left in the car.
> car security alarms no longer go off endlessly in parking lots
They do in Seattle. It's a rare day I don't hear at least a few minutes of car alarm, several times a day.
> all cars have electrified power windows; I don’t remember the last time I had to physically crank down a car window
Not that rare. I last drove one a week or two ago.
> radio stations have minimal static
Depends on the station, of course. A couple of the stations I listen to can be anywhere from "sounds great" to "can't make out a word", depending on weather, and which side of the hill I'm on.
> TVs no longer have rabbit ears that require regular adjustment
Now we have HDTV antennas which require adjustment. When the signal is bad, instead of a fuzzy picture that's still somewhat watchable, you get a broken frame every couple seconds.
And they last much longer. I’ve not had to change more than one LED bulb ever, and that seemed due to a flaky controller. I even bought a light fixture with non-exchangeable LED bulbs because the half-life of the bulbs is longer than fixtures now!
https://www.designboom.com/technology/evolution-desk-harvard...
Looking at those two desks, I envy the person of the 90s. I envy them the physicality of their environment, of their mind. I envy that they get to actually, physically, organize their day and relate directly to people. The empty desk has nothing but an interface into an artificial world where we are now supposed to live and do everything. The room around that rectangle fades out and becomes as irrelevant as it is empty.
I understand that a lot of things are easier and neater now, but I am not sure if I thrive in this environment. It feels hollow and empty.
I can't wait until the day this list includes "software patents are no longer a thing"
* No need for a road atlas, or asking people for directions to their home and scribbling spoken directions down on paper * And even when MapQuest finally came around, no more need to print out the directions!
Most sell your data.
Shit he missed:
1) Video conferencing is a big deal. Makes remote work possible and routine.
2) Bittorrent, libGen and SciHub have actually realized the dream of making information de facto free, even if it is illegal.
Agree on:
1) Logistics has improved immensely (in part due to ubiquitous computing and part to exporting manufacturing to all corners of the globe).
2) You can get more "weird" foods at walley world and Trader Joes (on the other hand, staples are more disgusting and obviously unhealthy -just look at people)
3) Spaced rep applications are useful. Not world changing, but useful. Ed Thorp did know about this in the 50s though (as I did in the 90s).
4) Electronics are much cheaper (and I make a lot more money to buy more of them). Linux works about as well as it did in mid-90s anyway. Laptop batteries MUCH better.
5) Cars are better: antilock brakes, crumple zones, airbags have made things much safer on the roads
6) Crime was much higher in the 90s than in the 21st century. Trend is reversing in the US at least.
Disagree/aesthetics
1) Clothing is vastly worse than in the 90s in every way; aesthetics, durability, materials
2) Muh weed isn't better than public smoking; I miss being able to smoke in public after a drink
3) Induction stoves are bloody awful and a huge regression from gas, even electric coil
4) Microbrews were much better in the 90s; everything is a disgusting IPA now, mostly to cover up the fact you're drinking toilet water. I'd rather drink coors light than an IPA.
5) Most coffee is actually worse; Peets and Starbucks burning their beans is an aesthetic atrocity.
6) Apples are still groace and covered in alar.
7) Average flights are cheaper, but travel is VASTLY more unpleasant. You used to be able to buy a paper ticket, then trade it on usenet for someone else's ticket. No ID required; just the ticket. Imagine that. No CNN blaring at you on the infoscreen making thought impossible (looking at you Atlanta). No anal probe at the boarding area. Your family could wave at you when you get on the plane, or hug you as soon as you get off. Total regression: I'll happily pay more for the old experience.
Just wrong:
1) Travel in the EU is vastly more expensive to an American than it used to be, and hordes of travelers from everywhere on the globe make it less pleasant as well. It's also worse from a visa perspective; you used to be able to do visa runs and stay on the continent basically forever instead of vacating Shengen every 90 days.
2) Most houses are actually NOT heated/cooled/insulated as efficiently as he thinks; presumably he just moved up a few socioeconomic brackets or moved some place warmer.
3) Coats? C'mon; if your coat is thinner, it's because you live in the Bay Area or something. High end winter coats are still goose-down.
4) AI/VR aren't really things except as LARP
5) Trichinosis wasn't a problem in the US in the 90s any more than it is now. Personally I can no longer eat US pork (it was fine in the 90s, just as it is in europe). See next point for why, perhaps
Shit that got worse and he didn't notice:
1) Everyone's fat; an aesthetic and libidinal apocalypse. Obviously something enormous and negative has happened in public health (cue 10 people responding to this, all with different "answers"), and nobody can identify what it is.
2) Everything as a service: back in the day you had to pay for utilities and maybe cable TV. Now you pay 10x what you used to for phone service (in the US; elsewhere else it's fine) due to oligopolistic pricing, and you have a bunch of dumb "apps" on your phone charging you, 3 different movie services, even your damn radio betrays you. Managing more such things is unpleasant and the whole world is basically a giant ripoff
3) Social atomization in the US is at all time high, mostly due to technology
4) Search engines, homeless people and Elsevier have destroyed physical libraries, and that's a real loss.
5) The internet is dumber and more corporate, and opinion makers now think that Usenet arguments on twitter are meaningful and real: something the rest of us got over around 1991
6) Cheap LED lights means designers put them everywhere, and you have to work hard to sleep in a dark room
7) Movies are shittier; big deal that I can watch a capeshit movie in 4k. I'm an adult and do not enjoy watching adults prance around playing make-believe in their underthingees. Supposedly we live in a "golden age of TV" but I don't see that either: they just rediscovered the 1930s serial format. You can watch any of 1000 things, but most of them are awful.
8) There are tent cities in the US, rapidly turning into Favelas
9) The ubiquity of internet telephony (a general good) has made telephone scams and spam calls much more annoying than playing phone tag
10) Cheap flights and transport has caused "barbarian invasions of Rome" level immigration problems, and will be a huge social problem in the next economic downturn, in part because the internet means ethnic enclaves don't have to assimilate to local culture. Globalization has generally destroyed the lower middle classes in most first world countries.
You must have used an underpower induction plate. Gas carries a lot of energy, a standard house power outlet cannot deliver that much energy.
Induction stoves with enough power are slightly less reactive than gas, and can only use cookware that is magnetic, but MUCH more energy efficient (you only heat the cookware, not the air around it) and much easier to clean than gas stoves.
Electrical coil are so slow to react to heat change that cooking in them is a different skill altogether, and makes some cooking more difficult.
Compared this to the residue/grease that piles in hard to reach places when using gas, its completely different.
Bought it because the apartment's dopey coil stove takes forever to do anything.
As other posters, my experience with mid quality fill induction tops is that they don't scratch (had the same one for over a decade).
Needing special cookware was the one thing that made us hesitate between gas and induction when we re-did our kitchen, but we let milk overbook one morning on an electrical coil stove and the decision was made to go with induction while we spend an hour cleaning that stove!
They sure are great for boiling water though and I do find they work really well with cast iron pots and pans.
On the other hand it infuriates me that the cookware has to be magnetic in the first place. It should suffice that the cookware is conductive. I suspect that the only reason why it has to be magnetic is that the stove uses the magnetic properties to detect that there is some cookware. (In fact in industrial practice induction heating is mostly used to heat non-magnetic and often even “questionably conductive” materials)
>I suspect that the only reason why it has to be magnetic is that the stove uses the magnetic properties to detect that there is some cookware.
I could see this. My main experience with an induction burner is with a single burner hot plate, but it seems to be pretty heavily safety oriented. It defaults to a timed mode when you turn it on unless you select otherwise, you can't leave it on high heat for longer than a certain time or it'll shut off automatically regardless of the setting, and it shuts off after about 30 seconds when you take the pan off or when you put non-magnetic cookware on. For something that produces no heat itself and seems to lack many of the fire hazards of normal burners it sure seems designed to ensure you're going to burn your house down.
Induction heating does not heat up questionably conductive materials, unless you mean graphite.
Honestly, I'm sure in the end, there's people who could argue the pros and cons of all three and they'd probably all be right. Personally, if I could have a dream kitchen I'd just have all three available and use whichever seemed most suited to what I'm cooking.
I kinda disagree on the cleaning bit. the induction stoves I'm familiar with have a glass top, which is great for cleaning off bits of food gunk, but terrible for doing stuff like seasoning a cast iron pan. on a gas burner, you just put a thin coat of oil all over the pan and put it on medium-high for 15 minutes or so. if you try this on a glass top, you end up "seasoning" the glass itself with a layer of polymerized fat. it's really difficult to get this off.
in any case, the same problem occurs if any random drops of fat get sandwiched between the pan and surface, which happens pretty often just from splattering.
They can be even more efficient, if you put insulation between the glass and your cooking pot. The pot is about 1cm from the coil even when directly on the glass, so additional ~3mm is no issue.
I reduced the fan speed due to noise, so I keep 3mm pot-sized cardboard on my induction plate as a precaution, to reduce underside heat loss.
Without cardboard, the plate's lowest setting is slightly more than I would prefer for cooking (~100C, minimal boil-off). With the cardboard, I need to periodically turn it on/off or it's just too wild for cooking with cover on.
Maybe better designs waste less, but there is significant heat transfer through glass, which is then fanned out the back.
Try looking outside Hollywood for your film selection - there are immensely wonderful things happening in cinema around the world and we have increasing access to the past decades. I'd start with Criterion Collection - every single release is fantastic. https://www.criterion.com/shop/browse?popular=coming-soon
If you live in a city and there's no theater showing smaller movies, that's not a problem, it's an opportunity!
Disagree with OP about induction cooktops; they are magical.
Low quality everything exists, and mass-market everything exists -- but niche interesting everything is cheaper and easier to get than ever.
I travel overseas often for work. Over the years, bringing gifts home for people has gotten much harder -- because the "good" versions of absolutely everything from everywhere are available at home for affordable prices already.
Finding something that isn't just a tourism-souvenir (like a shirt with the name of the place) keeps getting harder.
It’s perhaps more fun to find a “diamond in the rough” than an “already cut diamond in a jewel store”.
[1] https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2017/08/17/the-premium-mediocre-l...
Cities are comparatively packed these days with higher end coffee shops and pubs/bars with extensive beer collections.
Not to mention you can get high quality beans shipped anywhere you want, so you're better off than before!
Yes, Starbucks sells burnt coffee — Don't go there! Go to the local coffeeshop that roasts their own beans. These exist in just about every city with a population of 100k or a college. I would say that coffee in general has become a lot better. At the high end not much has changed but the low end is much better than it was in the 90s and the average is still a lot better.
Beer — I can get some really good quasi-local beer in just about any grocery store in the country. Yes, lots of hoppy IPAs but there's always a lot more non-hoppy beers to choose from.
I work remote for 5 years now and only do video conferencing a few times a year and even then it seems optional.
On the other hand I'm a professional writer, so maybe I'm more used to expressing my thoughts via text than the average person.
But the bigger point I think is that we have the tools generally to support distributed and remote work--code/document repos, texting, collaborative document editing/viewing, easy conferencing (whether or not video), etc.
Usenet, FTPs, Napster, Edonkey, Kazaa...
However, since the internet has grown its even easier to narrow our interests and diverge from the mainstream, developing more niche preferences. Movies still cater to widely accepted tropes.
You should upgrade what (micro-) breweries you are drinking from. Or move to Belgium. IPAs have their place, but I'd rather drink a Lambic or a Gose etc. London also has a good selection of craft beers.
Not it you make an average income.
I'm old enough to remember a time when there were no tapea at all. We weren't worse off. Everything was memorable. Now nothing is important.
Also, cheap airfarea, cheap, disposable clothes, etc. are destroying the planet faster than wver before. Counting "improvements" without externalities is absurd.
All of these features mean I almost never think about the state of the windows while I'm driving for more than a split second. I think that's a safety win.
Also it's just nice not to have to roll down a window or rewind a vhs. Micro-comforts add up.
Rewinding VHS? One of the selling points for me on DVD was no rewinding and having scene selection. No more "be kind, rewind" signs anymore and getting a small fee at the movie rental store for non-rewound movie.
Sure, these are micro improvements in conveniences, but I enjoy them. People don't like waiting. Anything that improves that will improve someone's impression of the thing. Heck, I now prefer streaming over sliding in a DVD. It is only saving me, at most, a minute or two. But it is less waiting.
Enjoy the little things.