Recent Covid-19 Reports from J-Idea at Imperial College London

The latest report "Relative sensitivity of international surveillance" seems pretty solid.

> ... In previous reports, we estimated the likely epidemic size in Wuhan City based on air traffic volumes and the number of detected cases internationally. Here we analysed COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China to different regions and countries, comparing the country-specific rates of detected and confirmed cases per flight volume to estimate the relative sensitivity of surveillance in different countries.

> Although travel restrictions from Wuhan City and other cities across China may have reduced the absolute number of travellers to and from China, we estimated that about two thirds of COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China have remained undetected worldwide, potentially resulting in multiple chains of as yet undetected human-to-human transmission outside mainland China.

They've also got a Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkIEEtcYxyshaVZ9ViNuAZA

And I've noticed a lot of the contributors on twitter are R developers.

Thanks to everyone on their team.