Ask HN: Is the stock market “Considered An NP Hard problem”?

1 pointsigmaprimus2 comments

I am having a hard time reconciling everything I know with AI and the brass ring of solving a NP hard problem and why I'm trusting my life savings with a broker. Any thoughts? Thank you for taking the time to read my question.!?!?!?

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The behavior of the stock market is basically the collective behavior of millions or billions of individual humans. Regardless of what complexity class that happens to fall into, it's just not possible to predict it with any accuracy. Even predicting in the most general terms the outcomes for individual companies is largely impossible; it's not hard to find evidence that the performance of individual brokers and funds is mostly random, with up years and down years and effectively no overall trends.

Good luck!

Strongly suggest not trusting significant money with a broker. Unless you're a millionaire many times over, put your money in a Vanguard Target Retirement 20XX fund and let it sit.

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