Jeopardy Champion Ken Jennings Q&A about IBM Watson
live.washingtonpost.com
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKA0K7bf7Rc
Well, I think it was purposefully anyways. (btw, he's a Mormon)
I'd never heard that semantic sense of "rake" before, and felt somewhat scandalized that "hoe" would be a response on national television (while in high school, I felt great affinity toward the puritans).
Rake, on the other hand, is a homonym.
50 minute video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YMRVwdeHB4
This interview is the funniest thing i've read today (3 hour work commute, I read LOTS.)
Oh, and did anyone else keep wanting to upvote his answers?
He's somewhat notorious in the IT industry because his day job (not sure if he still holds it) was a programmer, which at least endeared him to me.
It's an acceptable usage, though I freely concede I overuse it when 'famous' would be more easily understood.
generally known and talked of; especially : widely and unfavorably known
flagrantly wicked or impious : evil
Origin: Latin nefarius, from nefas crime
And if you noticed he's a computer programmer and you're wondering, the answer is emacs.
(Before people get their flamethrowers out, I spend more time in emacs than any other piece of software I own.)
He blog doesn't say anything about him using emacs. Just out of curiosity, can you link to where there's any sort of discussion about his setup?
http://www.ken-jennings.com/messageboards/viewtopic.php?p=12...
(Tuesday Trivia is his weekly email trivia contest.)
I ended up 72 victories short of Ken, though.
The guy who hacked Press Your Luck fits more your stereotype; given its flashing lights and general brouhaha, PYL seems more of a magnet for that sort than Jeopardy!. There are also quite a lot of that sort in The Price is Right fandom (yes, it has a fandom!).
"@IBMWatson, I'm-a let you finish, but homo sapiens is one of the smartest species of all time."
Send an email to tuesdaytrivia@ken-jennings.com to subscribe...
It says nothing about crying but portrays a very gloomy mood. It seems that Kasparov made avoidable mistakes and that really got to him.
He demanded a re-match, and IBM declined.
My kids think I'm a little weird because I think this battle is so cool (I think the more you understand about the implementation, the cooler this is), but this statement pretty much sums it up.
IBM: "There's a lot of you in Watson"
Ken: "If it goes amuck and kills humanity and stuff so sorry lolz my bad!"
Chat participant: "I read your first in practically a day, I loved it."
Ken: "I'd like to thank my mom for taking part in the chat!"A: "...in a not-too-distant future where nobody knows their state capitals anymore, maybe trivia geeks will be revered for their even more fantastical-seeming abilities! We will be like gods to you, carried on litters to your feasts."
"Big congrats to @IBMWatson & the amazing team behind its Jeopardy success. Watson is the real deal. Now: rematch on Dancing with the Stars!"
http://i.i.com.com/cnwk.1d/i/tim/2011/02/16/nova_610x363.png
I still value what they're doing and of course it's fun to see the crazy thing play and win at Jeopardy, but I think the fact that it crashes continuously should at least be made more visible to the viewing audience. "Yes, folks, it can beat Ken at Jeopardy, but we still have to press the reset button every once in a while just like you do at home." Skynet may be getting smarter, but it still has fundamental problems.
[1] http://news.cnet.com/8301-17852_3-20032244-71.html#ixzz1EAdT...
If the show is catering to Watson's shortcomings, why couldn't they cater to human reaction time shortcomings?
Edit: punctuation
Well, they could have programmed it any way they wanted to. It would have been smarter just buzz in right away given that they knew it would be right most of the time.
Regardless, Watson dominated because it was confident about an answer most of the time before the light turned on. If a human also wants to buzz in right when the light turns on, he or she will always be beaten by Watson. So, the game again boils down to who buzzes in first, regardless of confidence.
I'm starting to wonder what Watson could do with the database of Stack Overflow.
It looks like you're writing an algorithm that is O(N^2)! Would you like me to optimize it? Let me take a screenshot so Jon Skeet can laugh at you. click
PROGRAMMER frantically presses CLIPPY's close button
Three Words
Industrial Strength Magnets.
Priceless.The guy's pretty intelligent (duh) and funny. Fortunately, he seems to be accepting the challenge quite well.
Last thing we need after such an AI breakthrough is someone complaining about the fairness of the game.
"They give Brad and me bottled water during every commercial break. I think you can see where this is going if the machine starts to build a big lead."
Wouldn't it be better to build a distribution of champion level response times and have Watson draw randomly from that distribution? That would seem more fair.
Illustrating that the computer has the advantage over humans is the entire point. Competitive game play is not about 'fair,' in fact, the best players specifically try to make the game as unfair as possible, within the rules of the game.
The point being that at the highest levels of play, all of the contestants know most of the answers. This is a very important thing to remember. It means that even in all-human games, it's not "do you know the answer" but "can you ring in fast enough."
So it still is really quite impressive that reaction time matters at all to Watson, because it implies that it can compete at the highest levels.
• receives question (and answers) as coded text, rather than having to sight-read or listen to them
• no audio/video clues
• no categories that require an extra Trebek-explanation
It may even be receiving a direct signal when it's OK to ring in, rather than assessing Trebek's cadence and the same light-indicator as the human contestants rely upon.
So other 'balancing' changes shouldn't be out of the question.
I particularly like the idea that the penalty for a moment-too-early buzzing could be eliminated, and/or treating all buzzes in a small window around the traditional earliest-allowed moment as simultaneous. That still rewards quickness, without heavily advantaging the computer's ability to perfectly synchronize with the buzzing-period.
Once two buzzes are considered simultaneous, the contestant chosen to answer could rotate in round-robin fashion, or (for maximum drama) be the one furthest behind.
Presumably a human could consistently beat Watson to the buzzer by predicting when the light would go on.
There's a lock-out that applies if you buzz too early, and the variance of the 'beats' between Trebek's finish and the light, if that's a human-mediated process, may be far larger than Watson's light-fired reaction time.
I think this would be a good change for even all human games.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Sirlin
Particularly relevant is the section on 'scrubs', the people who arbitrarily ban certain techniques for being 'cheap' instead of coming up with ways to counter them:
http://www.sirlin.net/ptw-book/intermediates-guide.html
As he works explicitly in the world of game balance, he acknowledges that it must always be reasonably possible to counter all usable techniques, or else the game is flawed. He even advocates banning techniques that honestly can't be countered, as a way of turning bad (unbalanced) games into good (balanced) ones.
http://www.sirlin.net/ptw-book/what-should-be-banned.html
So I suppose the upshot is that Jeopardy!, as it is now, allows any reaction time physically possible given the limitations of the buzzer and the constraints of the enforced time limit (which penalizes you if you attempt to buzz in before Alex finishes, or for approx. 0.2 seconds after he finishes). You could imagine a Jeopardy! variant with different rules in that respect, but it would not be the same game.
Watson sometimes takes some time to get acclimated to a category, so starting at the bottom gives me a chance to rack up some money before it gets confident. In theory!
Supposedly that was Mr. Jennings' reasoning for jumping around during his streak, that the other players didn't have quite as long a time as him to consider the category.Not sure how tongue in cheek that remark was, though.
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Quote: THE OUTCOME
My understanding is that the shows are taped and you obviously know the outcome. You made the recent comment on MSNBC that in order to win you had to play and bet recklessly. Do humans have an advantage in terms of betting (game theory) Your comment seems to be a tell that a human won, any guidance appreciated. – February 15, 2011 10:59 AM Permalink
A. KEN JENNINGS : I would say that Watson has the wagering edge--like you say, it's all game theory and math, and even a cheap PC is pretty good at doing math at high speeds. That said, a human player might be more willing to take risks that Watson is too smart to try. In the practice games I saw, betting big on Daily Doubles and Final Jeopardy seemed like the only way to cancel out Watson's big buzzer advantage.
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HE DIDN'T ANSWER THE QUESTION! Is this confirmation that Ken Jennings wins?