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tl;dr This old Pandemic II meme fluffed in scientific jargon: https://files.catbox.moe/lenadr.jpg

The only actual purpose of this paper is to advertise Taleb (and his books): Wuhan virus worse than current predictions? He's definitely going to remind people about his "genius" prediction that it could be worse. Turns out to be not such a big deal? Nobody is even going to remember he wrote this.

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That’s not what I got from it at all. The precautionary principle and fat-tailed processes that come with extinction-level risks are real. He makes valid and salient points.

Valid points that are hand wavey, non specific and non quantitative. Basically, you can't estimate parameters because of fat tails so what people are doing is inadequate. Seems trite to me

the search for novelty above all else killed the cat

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