Big picture, in the next decade, I would like to see:
1. Federated free software services become the dominant platform for social media and messaging.
2. A more privacy-oriented and cryptographically-literate public, and simple, standard free software tools anyone can leverage for this purpose.
3. Open hardware, especially RISC-V, becoming the dominant approach for new hardware development.
4. Recapturing the mobile market from proprietary walled gardens, instead favoring models which put the user in control of their devices (e.g. pmOS).
5. Average (read: non-SV CEO) technologists becoming more politically engaged, including running for and winning offices, and using political will to reinforce the above and start making a difference outside of tech
Re 2: I used to co-organize "privacy café" workshops. I was surprised by how many people showed up and how grateful they were to learn about really basic tools -- like ad blockers or just browser cookie delete functionality. Everyone knows how to brush their teeth, and everyone had to learn how at one point. Digital hygiene is no different.
As a user: boldly use new social networks that fit this mold and allow your social circle to grow to embrace them. Participate with the network on its own merits and the new friends you can make, not the based on whether or not your old friends are there. The only way to solve the network problem is to ignore it.
As a dev: don't build new walled gardens. Consider how to connect with the existing ecosystem - and crucially, how it can connect back to you - when designing your next project. Prefer collaboration over competition. Prefer small, interlinked communities over large silos. Distribute costs across the network, by letting volunteers shoulder hosting costs through grassroots "local" fundraising efforts.
2: Nice! It would be cool to organize a simple cirriculum for privacy literacy and start reaching out to local libraries, schools, etc, about giving talks or classes.
Why is everyone so hyped up on RSIC-V and not something like POWER? When both are now fully open sourced.
Although I guess it is less relevant now Western Digital has open sourced their RISC-V design as well.
HN wouldn't be HN if I'd let this stand uncommented, so... The decade actually runs from 2011-2020. But yes, the 20s have finally started.
Anyways, Happy New Year! ;)
Edit: dear god, it was rhetorical, please stop explaining it. Construct a system in which everyone is correct by making the 0th or 1st year undefined until additional context is established, then use it to stop being a pedant. https://xkcd.com/2249
From Wikipedia Decade[2] article:
There are two main methods of counting decades in recognition. One, called ordinal, counts decades starting with the first year 1 CE (For example, the years 1981–1990 is referred to as the 199th decade or the 9th decade of the 20th century), while the other, called cardinal, groups years based on having the same digits (For example, the years 1980–1989 is referred to as the 1980s, or commonly known as the eighties).
A "decade" of apples would be apple #1 to apple #10 The second "decade" would then be apple #11 to apple #20
Ergo, 2020 is the ending year of the second decade of the third millennium, which started on 2001 :)
It's essentially the difference between celebrating a new chunk of time defined by our collective radix, and celebrating a year because of the way it looks.
We are now in "the 2020s" but not the second decade until next year. Therefore, it is inaccurate to say we are in a new decade.
Calling this the start of a new decade, and 2001 the start of this century, still makes perfect sense with the logical and consistent model that ISO has come up with.
https://www.iso.org/obp/ui#iso:std:iso:8601:-1:ed-1:v1:en
I like ordinals and appreciate the distinction between ordinal and cardinal, and am happy with this edge case.
It gets confusing with centuries and terms like the 2000s (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000s) but decades tend to always be called 10s, 20s, etc. If you can get people to call this the 202nd decade, more power to you. However, defining the 2020s or 20s as 2021-2030 is wrong.
The year numbering in the current western calendar starts from one (AD 1), not zero (it jumps from 1 BC to AD 1). So the first decade would be from AD 1 to AD 10, the second decade from AD 11 to AD 20, and so on (and the same on the other direction, with a decade from 10 BC to 1 BC, another one from 20 BC to 11 BC, etc).
being in majority ≠ being right
There are always going to be weird cases. If it is February 10th, and you say "one month from today," what is meant by that? 28 (or 29) days later, March 10? Or 30.4375 days later, plus or minus a day or two?
And then you have days which are 23 or 25 hours long, because of Daylight Savings Time. (see all the potential for ambiguity with the word "day": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Day)
I personally think it makes the most sense to think of decades, centuries, and millennia starting when the number rolls over. When you find yourself in ambiguous territory (such as talking about the first century, and in a way it matters whether it is 99 or 100 years long), just take the extra effort to clarify. Most likely this will never come up except for a very small subset of people.
I passed out around 9pm. I normally stay up a little later but ordered delivery and drank more than usual (recently at least, new years resolution now) so yea....
happy 2020 HN people!
Happy New Year everyone!!!!
So far, best NYE ever :D
This might be my last one, because TBH I'm getting tired of Open Sim, it's a dead end.
Or better yet, something that can run in a browser.
22h00 to 11h30 was brutal though. Lull post dinner and everyone was just waiting