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I don't think drawing a random tarot card will help me write a better postmortem. If I started doing so my colleagues would probably start to doubt my judgement. Maybe skimming through all the tarot cards in order to pick relevant ones might be useful though.

Or how about tarot cards for interviews? After I conduct an interview I read the tarot cards to figure out how to judge the candidate.

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> Or how about tarot cards for interviews? After I conduct an interview I read the tarot cards to figure out how to judge the candidate.

I wonder how many tech employers know for sure that their in-person interview process has a higher accuracy than this one. If you've passed a resume filter / internal referral and can demonstrate that you're not simply lying about being able to code (or whatever the job is) does the rest of the in-person interview reliably, provably add signal?

That's sort of the implied argument of the article - that we deal with complex systems so complex that systematic and rational debugging isn't obviously higher-signal than picking things at random.

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