UFO: Pilot who spotted famous Tic Tac breaks silence after 15 years
nymag.com
nymag.com
Would be interesting to read the article about this in 50 years or so once the political landscape has changed and it's safe to declassify, but I doubt I'll be around then.
I'm guessing this is part of the campaign, or else maybe alien tech? [1] I'll assume its to make someone else think we have tech we may not have.
[0] https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/29232/navys-advanced-a...
[1] https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/evjwkw/bob-lazar-says-the...
Does anyone have one of those world heat maps for "belief in UFOs" by country?
But I'm baffled why they would they do this close to enemy territory. Loosing one of those would be the worst case.
Similarly, the stealth fighter was in operation for 20 years before the public knew about it.
It's not unrealistic to consider top secret tech as a possible explanation.
One counter point is usually: If we had tech this amazing, we'd be putting it to use commercially. However this tech might be autonomous and might need to be considering the G forces supposedly at play.
First flew 1981, first official photo released 1988. And plenty of speculation in betwee..
As we bed down for the night, four tiny black diamonds silently flew overhead to the west. Absolutely creepy to see things so abstract and quiet.
Didn't make sense until the reveal in 1988, but it was four nighthawks heading from Nevada to the Pacific Ocean.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_A-12
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McDonnell_Douglas_A-12_Avenger...
The SR71 succeeded the Lockheed A12. It was hard to keep secret.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_SR-71_Blackbird
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/keeping-the-sr-71...
I bet this was made on purpose. USA has learned some tricks from Soviets with their "fake patterns"
F-117 wasn't a fighter, and A-12 was not a CAS aircraft. Pretty much like Kirov was not really an "auxiliary craft," and Tu-22 M-1-2-3 were all nearly completely different aircraft
Someone suggested to me a few years ago that might be the reason why the F-117 was designated that way.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_SR-71_Blackbird
To be clear, a 10m^2 radar cross section is enormous compared to the F-117 (0.001 m^2) The F-117 was in a completely different league than the SR-71, but the SR-71 was in fact designed to be stealthy.
And beyond airplanes, the first stealth helicopters were developed in the late 60s to early 70s and saw limited service during Vietnam. Called The Quiet Ones[2], these helicopters were painted with radar absorbing paint and had several novel mechanisms to reduce their noise, making them stealthy not only to radar but also to ground observers. They were tested over Area 51 and apparently near LA as well, so it seems likely they may have spooked some civilians at one point or another. The infamous "black helicopter" conspiracies/stories started popping up in the 70s, which doesn't seem particularly coincidental when you consider that we now know the The Quiet Ones existed.
The original Quiet Ones are long gone, but it's evident they were replaced by newer stealth helicopters that we don't yet know the names of. We can be pretty sure of this because famously one crashed during the raid on bin Laden[3].
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Have_Blue
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Senior_Prom
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Vinh_wiretap#Planning_and_...
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Osama_bin_Laden#Helic...
In the northeast, the Tomahawk missile’s terrain navigation was tested out of a few air bases in the region, for example.
Wouldn't it look just like an unusual plane to a naked eye observer?
Case in point the satellite photo Trump leaked - leading civilian experts were dumbfounded that such a clear image from a satellite was even possible, let alone already deployed and in use.
Commercial applications for that would be huge, yet it’s staying secret.
Tell it to Ankit Panda.
Melissa Hanham, deputy director of the Open Nuclear Network at the One Earth Foundation, believes that the resolution is so high, it may be beyond the physical limits at which satellites can operate.
And this lady.
Melissa Hanham is a policy specialist, not a physicist or optics engineer. She has no particular expertise in this area.
If you don't believe me then do the math yourself. It's easy enough to figure out the maximum diameter of a KH-11 based on the size of the available launch vehicles. And from that you can calculate the maximum resolving power. They can play some tricks with adaptive optics and digital image processing but that doesn't add much.
> "In addition, changing to a 2.4-meter mirror would lessen fabrication costs by using manufacturing technologies developed for military spy satellites."
PDF: https://web.archive.org/web/20170205104821/https://history.m...
They're 2.4 meters at their smallest, with later KH-11's possibly being larger. But even 2.4 meters is enough to get way better image quality than has been publicly released.
What could be the case is that the observed tic-tac UFO's are real alien craft, about which word is now leaking out, but the US military is now using the confusion surrounding them for their own purposes. Hey, why not use the confusion for our own advantage.
Dropping a program for no apparent reason can be a give away that there is something else...
The Boeing X-45 program is a good example:
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/3889/the-alarming-case...
In past decades whenever military pilot reported UFO they were laughed at, sent to psychologist, evaluated, sent behind the desk. Other pilots knew and when they saw something really weird they have kept it for themselves.
Then the higher ups panicked. If they don't report our drones, they will not report Chinese or Russian drones either. We have hundreds and thousands of eyes in the sky but they will not report because they are afraid to speak.
So they came up with a campaign. They started to publish official UFO footage and started more openly talk about it to show pilots that it is now ok to talk about UFO. Don't be afraid pilots, if you see something strange jus tell us, we take it seriously now.
There are no aliens. Videos you saw are created or modified to look legit, and officially supported or confirmed.
Besides that it's the most compelling argument I've read so far, kinda killing the mood for me.
there are more than enough idiots and suckers to persuade. this is the problem with democrazy. it's just one method for securing good leadership and it often can be systemically hacked. one way is to dumb down the population and feeed them nonsense. it works.
But in case if there is a way to trick any of the fundamental physics we know after all, then very likely the guy will come right at our porch, and they've probably done so many times without us even noticing, and will only contact us, if ever, on their own terms.
Given the premise is right, and somebody can really do something on the level of fundamental physical force manipulation for space travel, then there would be no reason for them to not dispense with conventional space travel altogether, or at least to a reasonable extent where this technology is more practical than giant nuclear rockets.
And the same goes for things like stealth technology, or inertia control. If somebody can arbitrary manipulate gravity, entropy, or fundamental forces to travel stars, or make traversable wormholes, then inertia cancelation, invisibility by directly manipulating light, undetectable radio comms, and power sources unlimited or almost so by heatsink capacity should be child's play for them too.
And let's be honest, if the Sentinelese were sitting on anything worth killing for, they would be long dead or "civilized" onto a reservation by now.
The thing I do see an alien species could want from us is our capability to understand a blueprint and to reassemble them physically from transmitted information. Because that is how they might travel between galaxies. Their assembly, I hasten to add, would be a rather stupid thing to do on our part. If we want to live. But we might do it anyway because we're curious.
How are the scenarios of brute predators, noble protectors, or imperial fleets any more worthwhile to consider than those of the incessant replicators? My answer: Because our culture likes that kind of tale. Because we project our predatory and social features onto an unknown.
So whenever somebody explains phenomena like blips on a radar with an alien species that happens to be eerily similar to us I think of how people made god in their image and either rail against the blatant human-centrism or just disengage.
Now, as Baybal said, if they've uncovered fundamental physics that we don't know about, all bets are off. Or they could have showed up centuries ago and been hanging around ever since, for all we know, recorded by history as a supernova or something. But if they arrived recently and use known physics, we most likely would have seen them.
Hiding on the other side of the sun only hides them from direct observation from exactly Earth.
I think that they will teleport here and be minuscule and invisible (at first).
At that point, if our physics models are that wrong, you might as well say a wizard could have done it.
We have stealth techonology, don't we?
Inertia control is not needed if you can create a field. The problem with acceleration is that it needs to be transmited from the engine to the human body. That happens through the seat in planes or rockets.
But if you were able to create a field that uniformly affected all the molecules of everything into the ship, including human bodies, you could perform sudden turns without crushing the crew.
- This object, estimated to be 40 feet in largest dimension, exhibited flight performance beyond an F-18
- These objects exhibit long flight endurance, indicating a high density power source - The object was solid, as it was detected by the Aegis radar
- According to the pilot involved, the object did not obey the laws of physics as we know them
- The object flew without visible airfoils - no wings or rotor - and at low speeds including a hover
- The object allegedly hovered as low as fifty feet above the water, although I don't think this was caught on video
- The object departed the scene in a way the F-18 couldn't match
- The object changed orientation without apparent regard for direction of flight
- The video clearly shows some kind of nimbus, exhaust, or field around the object
If this is a classified project of some government, they've likely discovered new physics.
Personally I doubt that's the case, and these are the product of extraterrestrials.
(BTW, to the grandparent - there's a lot that's not understood by current physics. Dark energy, and dark matter, for starters. A new baryon may have been discovered recently. Quantum gravity. Much more I'm sure...)
There's no design of any type right now that can fly at 80,000 feet AND hover at low altitude, all without airfoils. That is also without accounting for the extremely high-G turns with no airfoils.
If it had been some kind of nuclear ramjet (which wouldn't work at low speeds) there would have been a visible plume of hot gas. There wasn't.
We know how to create a magnetic field using electricity. But magnetism only affects certain materials, the ones that can align electrons in some specific way. If the same thing was possible with all kind of matter, maybe finding the way to align its electrons, maybe not, the rest of effects you mention could be just collateral.
We have a tough time detecting asteroids until they've already flown by, I have a hard time believing we would spot a ship years in advance
I struggle to even come up with narratives as to why this specific case would be made public. Perhaps the intelligence agencies knew it wouldn’t be possible to cover up so the best they can do is release the evidence that was expected to make its way to the public and say nothing about it officially. If I put on a tinfoil hat I could say that the AATIP’s purpose was to instill doubt that aliens exist, but that would imply that they do exist. It seems that the intelligence agencies are behaving like they want to give as little information as possible about it. I can’t imagine the AATIP was made top-down. It appears to just be a congressman’s publicity stunt.
The natural correlate from a citizen perspective is that the government is hiding something (i.e. UFOs). Of course it is, that's the point. But then the point becomes less of a point the less justification there is for wartime behavior, which then leads to increased speculation that the government is hiding something which at some points boils over into widespread public sentiment.
Then at that point there is both incentive to do selective release and for the media to cover it since they know readers want to read about UFOs, etc.
I think that's the Ockham's razor here.
Even in paranoid USSR, people knew of computer guided recon drones, spy sats, Shkvals, Dvinas, R73 and Strelas — all of which were more secret than the bomb, and were equally bordering on "sci-fi" and unbelievable to the layman at the time.
The leak of Shkval's existence was of particular embarrassment to the Union's military and counterintelligence. Supposedly, there were less than 50 people in the whole Union who were privy to info on them in full, but even before it entered service it became an "urban myth" among civilians in military cities and such.
If you really want to apply common sense to the hypothesis that aliens are real and here, consider the possibility that aliens themselves have become much more careful since the fifties, just because they know we have more tech to detect and intercept them and governments are no longer able to hide anything.
Or maybe they have a spy net on the ground already.
Another question to ask ourselves is “how much evidence is enough to convince ourselves that aliens exist?” Namely: is this FLIR video enough?
Lots of people are talking about it. What's the problem with them also saying "yeah this happened and we have no idea what it is". It seems to me that the truth is probably exactly that.
I thought it was well established that AATIP existed to be a means for a well-connected paranoid billionaire to have his senator funnel him millions in government contracts to keep his floundering mismanaged space hotel business afloat.
Would be better to link to the source, surely?
That’s me (and also nearly everybody here) with regards to aviation and war making aviation machines. So while these articles and stories are definitely interesting, they might as well be fairy tales. The way our minds are reconstructing these things, and the way the mind of somebody involved in the relevant fields here (whatever they even are!) are likely very different.
That all said: if somebody has a link to any more well informed discussions about this, I sure would love a link!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eco2s3-0zsQ
Here's a short clip from it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnIG-i2WCfg
He's really knowledgeable, has a ton of flight experience and carefully details everything his and the other pilots see from their aircraft.
Bare with me for a moment. The web is part of the sensor array of a spider. There are species of insects that tap on spider's webs to send a false positive signal to the spider on the web that a tasty prey has become trapped. The spider goes over to where on the web the vibrations indicated the prey is trapped and bang the spider gets killed by the assassin bug. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-11628322
There is some evidence these signal warfare systems are being developed: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/29505/the-navys-secret...
I think these are newest iterations of the Wild Weasel style of counter weapons: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wild_Weasel
they could make drones go a fuel wasting wild goose chases etc. Or make the other sides drone defend the eastern front while you fly in from the west etc.
more signal warfare stuff: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nulka
When I went to the ECM school on the system, the first part of the class was listening to pilots being chased by surface to air missiles. The class was in a little building and it was Top Secret classified at the time. We could take notes, but they were locked up in a safe and we couldn't take them back to the squadron.
On one hand, I feel like this tic-tac is the result of one of these techniques. On the other hand, they wouldn't test this out in the open where a Chinese or Russian satellite can listen to these countermeasure pulses.
The above discusses exploiting the Bethe Formula to produce a radiant point at some distant from a beam generator. IIUC the energy falloff suddenly increases below a threshold energy level therefore the particle beam will deposit most of its energy in a very short distance. Could the reported 'tic tacs' i.e. bright white elongated balls be the result of this? Would explain the supposedly physics defying nature of their aerial manoeuvres.
[1] https://www.otherhand.org/home-page/area-51-and-other-strang...
Are these HUD things around the object just visual bounding boxes around something with high contrast, or are the HUDs doing sensor fusion with IR and radar and other things? Not just for UFOs but I've seen similar things from gun cam footage in Iraq etc and wondered how it works.
All of the above, and probably a bit more we're not really privy to.
> What I find kinda interesting about this is the HUD apparently
> being able to "lock on" or track or whatever the object.
And that's the answer to what this object was.The tracking devices do not track regularly-flying objects so well, so how was this not-by-the-laws-of-physics object tracked? Because the object was dirt on the lens. This has been proven by several different methods. Firstly, the object stays on the same spot on the screen. Second, it rotates when the camera gimbal locks and rotates. Third, the filename of the published file is actually "GimbalLock" or something of the sort.
They both got the idea it was just a 'weird little thing' from the ship's radar operators, but when they actually saw it they both were obviously kind of gobsmacked. The unnamed female pilot apparently got kind of outraged that there was no procedure or information being shared in an organized way. Like nobody knows really what to even do in these situations because it's not really seriously talked about.
Like I said, the radar operators were seeing these things before the pilots even got into the air. So that rules out dust.
I was thinking more some kind of Russian disinformation operation--a low mass kite kind of craft remotely powered or towed by a fast underwater sister drone. Both operated from a submarine for example (Fravor reported large wave disturbances below the craft that did not match the craft's shape).
[0] https://abcnews.go.com/US/navy-pilot-recalls-encounter-ufo-u...
There are various techniques and countermeasures, but it’s not alien technology.
Regardless, I'm not even necessarily saying that it is evidence of aliens. Merely that it evidence against the idea that this is something which is naturally occurring.
Ah, yes that’s true!
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/16/us/politics/unidentified-...
I'd love to see some calculations on how much energy this UFO would have needed to perform the maneuvers it did. Whether there were any observable atmospheric effects like a wake even though there was no exhaust seen. Did it exhibit observable inertia, in other words did it move like bad movie special effects, or did it move like something real?
In the comments in the NYMag original article, one person wonders if it was the result of some advanced spoofing/decoy technology. I'm not sure what could cause what the sensors observed, but the idea seems interesting and brings a cause "down to Earth" so to speak.
Maybe calculating for a range of different masses would then give a range of possible energies involved.
Your point is pretty much why I'd like to see a bunch of experts dissect this phenomena. I want to see scientific rigor applied to this, and to see what conclusions can be drawn from the data available.
https://www.metabunk.org/threads/nyt-gimbal-video-of-u-s-nav...
http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/12/tic-tac-ufo-video-q-a...
"Let's turn off the stealth systems and see if they keep regarding us as divinities like they did thousands years ago, keep attempting to shoot at us like they did in the last 50 years, or have evolved in the meantime therefore they're now ready to be welcomed in the galactic federation. Although from watching their entertainment and news feeds I'd bet this starship they won't be in another 3000 years".
The air-tow could be flying higher in the atmosphere beyond the reach of basic ground defense systems. The glider would not give off a heat-plume but could have enormous maneuverability
And the FLIR was tracking the target moving. If it was a piece of dust stuck on, it would have looked as if it were moving the same speed of the aircraft, wouldn't it?
The object had been observed before the pilot in the link flew. He was told to BOLO - be on the lookout - for this object.
My understanding is that a plasma stealth object should be high velocity and be optically bright to visual and IR. I don't maintain an hypothesis that that is the case but if any of my airmen would see such an object I would definitely like to have a report on that.
Maybe this was just an image.
It accelerated with apparently 0 mass. It left no exhaust plumes. It was invisible to radar EVEN as they got close.
Fit's all the criteria for something that isn't really even there.
Probably the easiest way to explain the erratic behavior.
I heard about cases in the US much often. US are also probably 3 times or size (population) and 10 times (or whatever) military size - so maybe the numbers are consistent across countries.
I wonder however how much culture plays a role in the sightings. All UFOs in movies land in the US. You have Area51 and the extraterrestrial highway. You have Roswell and tranformers inside the Hoover Dam.
If I see a weird thing in the sky, UFO will be the 7th possibility on my list. Maybe in the US UFOs landing is business as usual for pepole ?
My point is that if the news/reporting on UFOs in the US is much more prevalent than in, say, France, it is no surprise that people jump to that conclusion quicker than elsewhere. The movies are one another reason for that.
This is just an idea, I do not know how statistically sound this is. To give a counterexample, everytime I switch on the radio on a station which is supposed to have people talking (France Culture for instance) and I hear music, I assume they are on strike. I do not think than an American would jump on that conclusion.
And back in the mid '90s he told me there were aircraft being built and tested which had flight characteristics similar to those described here.
This report is about a sighting in 2004, so it's more than possible that 10-ish years on, advances had been made that make this sighting quite believable.
(edited grammar)
If our whole understanding of space is wrong, then they'd be asking themselves "why are they making it so hard?".
[0] https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/31445/recently-retired...
https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-s-x-59-quiet-superso...
Like a plane?
And if there was to be coercion or convincing, the US Navy Secretary would be good enough you'd think?
This is crucial because modern aerial warfare involves missile armaments effective at these distances, so much of it is a game of who can find and acquire a target lock on their enemy first.
These phenomena are interesting because (1) multiple sensor systems from multiple platforms/locations consistently tracked the object in ways that corroborate each other, and (2) other pilots have actually flown close enough to report visual contact.
> No. I was more concentrated on looking at the FLIR. It was inside of 20 miles. You’re not going to see it with your own eyes until probably 10 miles, and then you’re not going to be able to visually track it until you’re probably inside of five miles, which is where Dave Fravor said he saw it.
These are trained military pilots. Our eyes can’t see an object like that twenty miles out. If the system has a lock and it tells you it’s that far away, you don’t waste time and lose focus by trying to see for yourself something you already know you won’t be able to make out with the naked eye.
Additionally, it’s not as if no one saw it with their naked eye. Fravor’s word is as as good as his, and he says saw it. The value here is in the fact that this pilot is telling you he was watching the machines confirm what his colleague had seen. I take man + machine as a harder proof than two men, and not much less than 2 men + machine.
Edit: also seen by the squadron commanding officer:
> And it was also seen, via eyeballs, by both my commanding officer, Dave Fravor, and the Marine Corps Hornet squadron commanding officer who was out there as well.
So, yeah. Two men + machine, rather than three men + machine.
What I find more interesting is that NORAD didn’t debrief him, which means they either knew who was behind it or were already tracking it separately and knew what they needed to know (both very possible). Or perhaps since everything he saw and all his maneuvers were better documented in the real-time system logs dump and FLIR capture than he would be able to reliably recall, there was literally nothing he could add.
> A device based upon this principle would make a really exquisite radar spoofing tool. The ionized plasma would give a good radar return, giving targeting radars something else to lock on to, instead of incoming aircraft. The ability to project an object of apparent solidity to enemy radar, instantly manipulatable, would be a most valuable little toy to have in your bag of tricks.
This is the kind of stuff we’ve been doing to fool guided air-to-air countermissiles into not hitting their targets for a long time now. Penaids. Just fancy ones.
Wouldn't that depend on capabilities and intentions?
I bet a lot of these same people have their minds boggled that some people are anti-vaxxers, or think global warming isn't real.