Australia’s hottest day on record
bbc.com
bbc.com
To top it all off, the Government is refusing to grant the firefighters additional resources to actually contain the fires[5].
[0] https://www.sbs.com.au/news/the-feed/prime-minister-scott-mo...
[1] https://myfirewatch.landgate.wa.gov.au/
[2] https://twitter.com/healthy_climate/status/12042163739597250...
[3] https://www.9news.com.au/world/nsw-news-sydney-bushfire-smok...
[4] https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/dec/10/sydne...
[5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/12/australia-bushfires-c...
We had a similar, less serious event in Sweden last year during an extraordinary summer with a lot of forest fires, during an election year. The forest fires did not seem to change voters' mind much on the issue, unfortunately. Then again, we allocated a lot more resources than usual to fight the fires, even asking other countries for help.
Denial of resources thanks to denial of debate in the parliament.
> If I understand correctly, the current Australian government does not believe in human caused climate change but still enjoys domestic support from voters. Is that changing?
Not really. The governments strategy is currently to isolate and intimidate the concerned (scare campaigns, proposal of laws to outlaw "environmental protest terrorism"), whilst repeatedly telling the rest of the country: "we're fine", "we're doing our bit", "the problem doesn't exist" and "we can't survive without coal".
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-warns-again...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/nov/26/scott-mo...
Also, both major parties here (in particular the conservatives) are beholden to the incredibly powerful mining lobby. The current PM held up a piece of coal in parliament as a prop and told the opposition not to be scared of it, for example. We did once actually have a functional carbon tax, but it got completely destroyed once the party that brought it in lost, in no small part due to the major offensive brought on by the mining lobby that secured their defeat.
There's an incredible political incentive to minimise any links to climate change, and to not do anything that impacts the mining industry's profit margins. I don't really hold any hopes that we'll see structural change in either the political sphere. Additionally, it's my opinion that given Australia's incredible run of prosperity in so many ways, many (most?) voters here have become very insular, selfish and self-serving in their attitudes, and ignore externalised/delayed-impact issues such as climate change in a large way.
This very issue lead to massive inaccuracies in polling in the last election - resulting in a belief that a left facing change was going to occur and instead a massive majority the other way resulted.
You're right in that the polls got it wrong, and everyone (including arguably the current government) thought the conservatives were done for.
But the end results, iirc, were 77 seats for the conservatives, 68 seats labor. A one seat gain from the previous election for the conservatives and a one seat loss for labor, with a total swing of just over 1% in the two party preferred vote.
For context, a party needs 76 seats to form government.
I feel it's more accurate to say our country remains quite polarised.
It made me realize that while global average temperature is scheduled to increase ~2 degrees, that is just the average. Some places on Earth won't see that much change because of regional climate systems, but other places in the changing vortex will have way more than just 2 degrees. The general consensus here is that 95 degree Honolulu is the new normal.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_European_heat_wave
These events are only going to become more frequent.
For the record - only in Western Europe - due to changes in circulation patterns. Central and Eastern Europe had rather cool summer and records from beggining of XX century still stand.
Yep
"...temperatures in Siberia up by as much as 35C above historical averages this month"
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/feb/27/arctic-w...
This is not doing any good for the fire situation either.
I'm amazed by the fact that we're still allowing new coal projects to go up.
Still 39 C at 7:30 pm, getting up to 45C on Friday. It’s going to be a bad summer.
FWIW It hit 39.7 here in Melbourne: http://www.baywx.com.au/melbtemp2.html
Crazy
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/fire-information/fires-near-me
In the past month it started out as isolated black patches, which have now merged into fewer but bigger black patches. Given the heat predicted over the next few days and lack of predicted rain until January, there is every chance that more of the fires will merge. The NSW fires are spread over a distance of 1000km, with the larger individual fires being about 200km in length. The map shows only NSW's fires, so multiply that view by about 6 to account for the rest of the mainland.
Nuclear is going to have to be a discussion topic for the world, me thinks, but the Aussies are only ~27 million people spread across a sunnny continent -- they might be able to swing solar + tesla batteries for some time.
And it's unlikely we will ever find out, because it's so expensive compared to the alternatives. If nuclear had of delivered on its promise of "too cheap to meter", my bet is the things would be all over the planet like a rash how - rather like wind turbines are today, squawking nimby's be damned.
[1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-16/australia-climate-car...
[2] https://www.sbs.com.au/news/the-feed/wherethebloodyhellareyo...
(Zoom out a bit)
Once it lasts 4 or 5 or more, heat exhaustion kicks in, because one's body cannot rest from the stress caused by heat.
[1] https://www.environment.gov.au/protection/ozone/ozone-scienc...
Yes, CFCs (Chlorofluorocarbons, the molecules that destroy the ozone layer) are also strong greenhouse gases, but they are present in such small amounts that their effect on global warming is negligible.
In the case of the ozone layer, we took action in time and the ozone layer is repairing well [1].
(Somewhat coincidentally - also from the same source - I just learned that warmer global temperatures actually inhibit ozone layer depletion.)
[1] https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2019/2019-ozone-hole-is...
The long heatwave problems, exhaustion, dehydration, exacerbated fires and so on might be exacerbated in some parts of the country but not to a great extent. If you take the usual precautions (sunscreen, hat, etc.) you shouldn't see an effect.
Unless thermal solar plants are affected negatively by the heat too?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIy0t5P0CUQ
Afterwards join the folks on /r/collapse.
Does anyone know how to explain this nice and clear to people who aren’t that well versed in variances and means? I really struggle.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2001/jun/21/globalwa...
Hot and dry in Canberra today, and the smoke from the fires is insane.
At the end of the last ice age, during the large scale melting, there was a great North American lake formed of melt water, held back by glaciers. When that finally melted into the Atlantic, enough freshwater was dumped to turn off the thermo haline circulation (inc Gulf Stream). Europe tipped into another mini ice age, as the whole globe warmed.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Younger_Dryas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_meridional_overturnin...
I think what most people have trouble realizing is that global warming indeed is a chaotic shift in many weather patterns and only overall average is rising. Ie it might just rain more during summer due to changed water circulation, which will take average yearly temperature down. Most people equate global warming with less snow during winter and heat waves in the summer and imagine it as a equal rise of say +2 all over the place, spread over whole year.
Part of the problem is that a decade before I was born, enough newspapers breathlessly reported “scientists” “predicting” “a new ice age”. Despite the fact those headlines misrepresented the scientific consensus of the time so badly that it’s appropriate for me to put all those scare quotes in that sentence, the meme remains potent.
I had a remaindered paperback I bought around 1980 about the coming dawn of a new ice age. Firmly in the realm of wacky conspiracy theory next to Chariot of the Gods, even in the late 70s.
I recall it as something of a silly minority idea of the time, that had its moment. And that it was just a moment -- far less of a moment than Chariot of the Gods that did get TV programmes and discussion off the back of its idiocy. I don't ever remember seeing it in the papers we got at home. Maybe it got exposure via the Daily Mail or similar lover of fake and dodgy news or outrage - never read those.
It was only much, much later I heard it was taken far more seriously in the US, with pieces in media that should perhaps have known better, or checked sources...
What they are finding hard to handle is the increasing variability. This was driven home to be when an interviewed farmer said they plant 3 crops now, whereas the used to bet on one - which ever one would handle the predicted conditions. Now they have no idea what the conditions will be, so the plant 3 crops in the hopes that one will do OK and crossed fingers - the others won't be a right off.
The "pretty cold right now" is the same thing at work. You had record high temps earlier this year. Now you are having an unusual cold snap. This about how the effects the poor bugger trying to grow something.