Outside of real outlier status where you're paid really, really large amounts of money for your services (like notable entertainer or cardiac surgeon) the way to wealth is to own the means of production. Period.
Same as it ever was.
Outside of real outlier status where you're paid really, really large amounts of money for your services (like notable entertainer or cardiac surgeon) the way to wealth is to own the means of production. Period.
Same as it ever was.
I've probably had hundreds of conversations with people who will say "well, not everyone can afford to move town" or "not everyone can afford to take a week off work" or whatever else.
That's an enormous handicap - you're basically a slave to your current job, and if it tires you out enough that you can't train/learn/do other productive work outside of it, then you're stuck.
Personally I grew up with essentially zero, and pretty much self-enforced level 1 upon myself until this chart would have me at level 4.
People talk a lot about how certain startup founders aren't really risking anything because they start out with a safety net. You can create that safety net for yourself, with a little luck along the way, provided that you're sensible.
even if you can, financially, it's often hard to do so mentally/emotionally. if you're taking time away from work, that means no income - whether you desperately need it or not may be immaterial to the mental state you've built for yourself.
If you have 4 weeks' worth of spending saved then it's difficult.
If you have 40, then it's fairly easy.
If you have 400, it's trivial.
as it stands, I've got perhaps... ~5 years of living expenses saved up. Certainly enough to not worry about a few days of non-income, but it's.. certainly not FU money. 25 years of expenses lined up seems like it might give you more breathing room, but, I suspect your comfort level and goal posts move.
when I was in big debt, I thought "man, just having $1k in the bank will make all the difference, and I'll be fine". and when I got there, I was 'fine' for about 10 minutes. Then the goal was $2k. Then 5. Then 10. Then 30. And so on. For me, there's a realization that it's moderately hard to earn and keep that money, and that it can be reduced rather quickly, so.... keeping earning income is still top of mind, at least for another few years.
You really think you couldn't walk out of a job and find another one in a few months? Will you even notice that drop in savings aside from as a theoretical number on a spreadsheet?
It sounds to me like you have a complex about this rather than it being in any sense rational. (I don't mean that as an insult at all.)
5 years is less than the amount of time it took for me to go from a skint teenager in a dead end town, to a graduate with a full time job.
And yes, it's sort of a complex. I have to remind myself that yes, I can pay the extra 50c and get cheese on the burger if I feel like it. I'd lived 30+ years without being able to do that (meaning that adding cheese a few times would be noticeable at the end of a week), it's a hard mental state to break from. Not 'working' means ... a day where savings isn't going up, etc.
Replenishing the spent money is simultaneously both easier (larger savings tends to grow in larger chunks) and harder (takes longer to earn new money vs the compounding of earlier money, and takes more of the remaining time I have left, which is always depleting).
I'm not claiming it's entirely rational, by any means, and that's why I was saying earlier that it's hard to break out of.
EDIT: I've always taken FU money to mean... you never have to engage in any sort of 'work' ever again, not just for a short time. In some ways, I've been able to use this cushion to say "no" to some situations/jobs/projects that I would have agreed to before, but it's not the same as saying FU to people. :)
I was like that for a while and went all in on FIRE type stuff.
The thing is that eventually, after I did take off that N months, I realised that it's unrealistic to assume I'd have no/almost no income for multiple decades.
I would go insane without having productive work, even if that were working for a non profit for a significant pay cut.
> Not 'working' means ... a day where savings isn't going up, etc.
This is true regardless of how much money you have. You're always going to be able to add some more income by performing labour, even if your investments outperform your labour after a point.
It's worth loosening the straps at some point, even if you just give someone else the money to spend (e.g. charity).
Being in a country where vacation time is paid by the company (currently 7 weeks / year, even if I usually don't use up all of it), the idea that taking a day off work means less money at the end of the month is mind boggling.
For example leaving one job and having a gap before another one, or getting sacked and having a few weeks without work, or moving town before you have something lined up, etc.
Basically, being able to function without income for a nonzero period.
I wouldn't want to use my holiday weeks looking for work more than a few times in my life even if I have quite a generous allowance (well, generous by 'normal people' standards, I find the idea of working >80% of the year quite odd)
[EDIT] weaker end in terms of ability to negotiate—so, the vast majority of workers.
It's also interesting to look at percentage of workers that work part time by country. US is relatively low at 22% while countries with a more generous welfare state are higher (France 39%, Norway 48%)
But there are a million other things going on as well so I'm not sure if it's related to that or something else
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.TLF.PART.ZS?most_rec...
Mandating a week off for everyone doesn't seem to give the space needed for poorer people to become as wealthy as they might deserve. What can be done?
If you want to attribute America's economic advantage to hours worked or labor regulations (and yes, they do matter to an extent), you have to be ready to explain why Russia, Mexico, Greece, and Chile aren't also economic powerhouses.
My personal conjecture is that you're in for a long period of degradation followed by something violent. Fascism most likely.
As I posted below - the situation in which you have 40 weeks of spending set aside is radically different to that of having 4.
From my perspective, and I recognise things are probably very different in the USA with your health insurance catastrophe, taking a few months off work to unwind, or check out the job market, or whatever else every now and then is a completely normal thing to do.
My first software job came about because I left a job and bounced around for a bit. I had enough mental space and time to physically visit interviews without the sort of typical "pretend to your boss you're ill" stuff. Without that time I'd be somewhere completely different now.
The real cost of failure isn't just loss of savings. It's potential homelessness, bankruptcy or death through less of health cover, or bankrupcty through student loan payments.
In a functional culture the cost of entry for small businesses is much lower, as is the Total Cost of Failure.
For a country that claims to be business friendly, the US makes it unbelievably dangerous to start a small business without the backing of a significant financial safety net.
This is a lazy view, or a really privileged one at least. I know a couple of people in their fifties who have retired from putting as much money into the market as possible (post-tax and pre-tax) while living modestly through their younger years. Having enough money to retire early is having wealth.
Views like the one you espouse are insidious because they give people a justification to stop trying and spend everything they make. Why not get the $1500/mo apartment instead of the $900/mo one? If you can't build wealth, what's the point in trying to accumulate it at all?
Sort of. There's two pieces to FIRE. Saving aggressively, yes. But also by learning to live modestly, you need less wealth to retire. So half of FIRE is accumulating wealth, but the other half is needing less wealth.
It's not like people have to retire at that point either. The general idea is that they can do what they want and aren't tied to a specific field, career, job, and so on...
Have you seen what happened to wages since then? To the cost of living? To the cost of homes?
https://www.mrmoneymustache.com
Your point about wages stands, but even in the 50s there was no way the lower strata would have been able to retire early -- let alone retire at all -- or accumulate great wealth.
> To the cost of living? To the cost of homes?
COL and housing prices are not uniform. FIRE is going to be hard in San Fran even as a full-time Dev, but if you're making $85k in Des Moines it might be well within reason.
(Not that things also haven't changed since then, but it is a pretty big difference.)
>I know a couple of people in their fifties
There wealth as a token of who is winning some game: he who has the most $$$ wins (what I don't know - this is a religion question). You need to own means of production to win this game. If you are reading this, you probably have no chance of getting here, but is fun to dream about.
There is also wealth as in you don't have to hold a job to maintain your lifestyle. When you are young this is impossible (except for a few who inherit money or win the lottery), but if you live below your earnings and invest the rest well you can get to the point where you no longer need to work. (Some people choose to work anyway, others will retire)
Nah. I think it's views like the one you're espousing that are insidious, because they present the illusion that the difference between normal people and the genuinely wealthy is just a matter of some personal self sacrifice, rather than a set of fundamental policy failures that have lead to a collapse of social order and rising inequality.
Of course it's better, for them, if the masses are focused on index funds instead of the abusive effects of concentrated financial power on the middle class.
Ah, the convenient goal post shift to imply that people who retire early don't have wealth. Wealth is now redefined to mean "an amount of assets large enough to make a convenient political out-group".
* She worked 67 years at the same job.
* She invested in individual stocks, mostly during a period when index funds weren't available. This lack of diversification is almost unanimously not recommended for regular people because the vast majority of people who try it dramatically underperform index funds. But if enough people do it someone will dramatically outperform and you'll read about them in the paper.
* It sounds like she lived more frugally than most people would find tolerable.
* She lived in a rent controlled apartment, meaning her rent was probably closer to free than to market rates for much of her life. Needless to say, this subsidy isn't available to young people today.
* Presumably she avoided major illness or other setbacks during her long working life.
* It's also possible that she had an inheritance or some other significant source of income besides her salary.
$1M or $2M in inflation-adjusted savings is probably a realistic goal for a middle class American to have for retirement after a long career and prudent investing. $8M is not.
Sampling biais: there's no going to be any article on the people who lost all their money doing this
Sounds like an issue with most people.
>* She lived in a rent controlled apartment, meaning her rent was probably closer to free than to market rates for much of her life. Needless to say, this subsidy isn't available to young people today.
The subsidy is available via home purchase. Fixed-rate mortgage payments don't increase over time.
I wonder what fraction of the population reaches $1M in retirement fund by the time they retire. If 401(k) median balances by age are at all accurate, then the answer seems to be "very few."
> In 1947, she joined Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton, a Wall Street law firm, where she worked as a legal secretary for 67 years and observed the investment strategies of the lawyers.
> “She was a secretary in an era when they ran their boss’ lives, including their personal investments,” Lockshin tells the Times. “So when the boss would buy a stock, she would make the purchase for him, and then buy the same stock for herself, but in a smaller amount because she was on a secretary’s salary.”
So she was likely a reasonably well paid secretary at a wall street legal firm that would have access to the best financial advice available.
Also, as far as I can tell from the article, she was married but didn't have any kids.
That's huge. Kids are expensive (and the risk they expose you to, economically, is truly enormous) and that money tends to come out at the younger end of one's years, and when you're earning less, just to compound the pain (and maximize the opportunity cost).
It's the same thing, just on a different scale. If you own, say, one share of VTSAX (Vanguard Total Market Index) you now own, by proxy, 1.8% of one share of Microsoft stock. You don't have any direct voting or economic rights but because of the way a mutual fund is structured you get most of the economic benefit of that fraction of a share. I.e. you get the benefit of most of the capital gain and dividends that it distributes.
I would personally say that if you want to actually "own the means of production" then directly owning shares is the way to go, but if you don't actually care about making decisions for specific companies then you get most of the benefits without any of the day-to-day thought and worry by owning shares in a mutual fund.
Assuming this is not specific to Toyota, what does "owning" mean?
If I own one share of a company, it's incredibly rare that I have any say on any of the things you listed above. I usually do not get to vote on those. I also do not have any rights to the profits (in the US, but I doubt this is US specific). So in what sense do I own it other than the company writing me a piece of paper stating I do?
I mean, if I'm part of a joint venture with others to own a 100 unit apartment complex, I would expect to get some of the profit, at least. Likely about as much as my ownership stake. Shares do not guarantee this. A company can be very profitable, and just keep the money and pay you nothing, saying that "we think the value of the stock will go up and you can get paid that way."
I'm not anti-stocks or anything - I own plenty of them. But people should understand what they are and what they are not. And for most English uses of the word "own", it is not ownership.
You might want to look into REITs.
There strict laws about that sort of things even more so in places like Germany and the UK
1. You are not entitled to any of the profits of the company by owning stock. Not even if you own preferred stock.
2. You have virtually no control over decisions the company makes. And your vote may not count as much as someone else who has the same number of shares as you. Furthermore, you can have no voting privileges at all as well while owning stocks.
3. A company can devalue the shares you own by simply issuing more (similar to governments printing money).
Not only is all this legal, this is normal. For the average person, the only real reason to own shares is to hope the value goes up. In a few cases it is to get dividends from the companies that have a track record of paying out, but the RoR is not particularly good.
2 Well multiple share classes are dodgy that's why the LSE doesn't like them and you get kicked out on the index for that
3 Are you sure US companies can do this without passing a motion at an AGM to disallow premption rights ?
I suggest you look up what stock ownership means. Most wealthy people only own non-controlling interest in most of their investments as well. If you own a share of stock, you own part of the means of production.
Stock ownership traditionally means partial ownership of a business.
Except that you almost have no decision making power unless you own a lot of stocks, and that's not going to happen while working a simple middle class job.
It also doesn't mean that the company will pay you a portion of their profits. It is entirely up to the company whether they want to pay you a portion of their profits.
So you own something, but have absolutely no rights to the profits and practically no decision making power. In the spirit of the usual definition of "owning" something, you do not own anything with stocks.
If you don't, and your reasoning above is the reason why, I strongly recommend you reconsider. There is more to be lost by fearing your lack of control and failing to invest than there is by investing, in say, index funds.
I own stocks. My wealth portfolio is high in stocks. This has little bearing on my comment. I'm not recommending against stocks - in the US I've not found a better investment (real estate is worse).
I'm simply pointing out that the notion of ownership in a company via stocks is very different from what most people imagine. You own almost nothing, and you have virtually no control over the means of production.
Partial ownership is still ownership.
I would disagree.
I can sell those stocks I own and (hopefully) get more money than I paid for them. Sometimes they pay me a dividend too (share of profits). Sounds like ownership to me. I don't care about decision making power within the company. I LIKE that I have delegated that responsibility.
Google says cardiac surgeons make $400-800k, assuming that's true a very talented engineer at FAANG can easily match this (staff or senior staff level) without being mired by an additional 10 years of school. I personally know engineers making 7 digits in liquid compensation. Obviously these are not your average engineers, but it's doable if you're the 1% (to be good enough for FAANG) of the 1% (to be amongst the best at FAANG) of engineering talent - so this isn't most people.
Just throwing it out there because I imagine most readers here are engineers and you make it sound like it's an impossibility for any of us. I bet at least a handful of readers here are engineers making over $500k.
So even from those that could make it very few stay long enough to make these great riches your imagining.
[0] https://www.payscale.com/data-packages/employee-loyalty/full... [1] https://www.businessinsider.com/average-employee-tenure-rete... [2] https://brobible.com/culture/article/how-long-employees-stay...
TC is not computed using the total value of your grants, it’s based on the amount that will vest over the course of a year. Yes, that means there are engineers getting grants of $2m+ over four years (putting TC around $700k+)
The most accurate source for compensation I currently know of is https://www.levels.fyi/
Do you think there are 4000 engineers that make over $500k?
Engineers at Google can make over $500k starting at the staff level, so I think my estimate of 1,000 is pretty conservative considering the company has over 100,000 employees.
But yes in the short term the only way to gain wealth is to earn more money.
Edit: This assumes a perfect scenario, 98% of the time, that person making 60k a year ends up on social security barely making it at 67.
Let's leave things in "today's dollar" terms for simplicity: A 4% annual withdrawal from $1.4M would be $56,000, or a big upgrade over $26,4000.
A 4% annual withdrawal from $4M is $160k. But as you say, it's the equivalent of $56k today.
if you have any disposable income, you can save for a decent retirement. it's useful to have a framework for deciding what indulgences you can pay for in the present without crippling yourself in the future.
People who typically become extraordinarily wealthy do so via high-risk, high-reward activities like business ownership.
Now you can argue that the risk reward equation isn't the same for people who have 20 million in the bank and 200 dollars in the bank, and that is very true, but it doesn't make the advice to spend as much as you can on investments incorrect.
Not if the person spends it all, like they did the earlier lower salary. Better beer, bigger TV, new cars, etc and you can easily blow through quite a decent raise.
Most of the paths from middle-class to wealth involve avoiding frivolous spending.
My point being that actually owning that successful business is the mechanism for wealth. Avoiding frivolous spending can be very, very helpful to achieving that status, as you point out correctly, but it isn't actually the status itself.
This article and many others seem to be unable to make that key distinction.
Do you think the bad habits go away just because you succeeded? That’s not how life works, and the evidence is people who win the lottery.
What happens if the software business doesn't succeeded to the extent that it dwarfs the level of debt? What if it doesn't succeed at all?