Peter Thiel at Center of Facebook’s Internal Divisions on Politics
wsj.com
wsj.com
The implication in this debate is that the "wrong" candidate only got elected because some voters had bad information and were tricked. Maybe parties need to look at what they are offering voters and what they have actually delivered in the past to get to the root of why people either don't want what they're offering or don't believe it will actually come to pass.
Facebook ads can be micro-targeted to the point where they're only seen by a very small audience, which is simply not possible in mainstream TV or newspaper. If you have a misleading campaign on TV (e.g., swift boat stuff on Kerry in '04), that can be recognized and called out (not that the dems were super effective at that then...). However with Facebook, it's much more challenging given the small sample size to (1) see all of the ads people are seeing and (2) figure out who has been exposed to them.
So at the end of the day, it's tougher to identify misinformation, and then if you do identify it it's pretty much impossible to re-message the same audience with the correct info. Add timing to that (many campaigns are only up for 24-48 hours) and you start to see why this is a fundamentally different beast from TV and newspaper ads.
One of the blunter but potentially effective solutions is to have a much larger minimum audience size, which is what Google moved to (although still at a pretty small scale).
Super curious what would happen if someone started an ad campaign on Facebook about Peter Theil though...
I've read/seen many interviews with people who've known him in the past and very few people have nice things to say about him as a human being, but all agree he's got a "unique" view of things.
Demand and offer. If tomorrow some law allowed a couple to send their cat to work in a mine, our shiny lovely capitalistic system would adapt in a matter of months and we'd find that raising a family would cost what it costs today, plus a cat's salary.
The problem is elsewhere, and Thiel knows perfectly from where it comes.
>The 1920s were the last decade in American history during which one could be genuinely optimistic about politics. Since 1920, the vast increase in welfare beneficiaries and the extension of the franchise to women—two constituencies that are notoriously tough for libertarians—have rendered the notion of “capitalist democracy” into an oxymoron.
I think what he's lamenting is that women tend to find libertarian policies unappealing, and, judging by who publicly brands themselves as a libertarian, this seems like a fairly uncontroversial observation (there just aren't very many women in that cohort).
Anyway even Thiel as a “libertarian” is very unique in his thinking. Not many libertarians I know turn around and start companies like Palantir to help governments and police departments build a precog surveillance state. I wonder how he justifies that one given his claims of being libertarian-leaning.
https://www.theverge.com/platform/amp/2018/2/27/17054740/pal...
I disagree with the OP article, I don’t think there is anything AT ALL wrong with Mark Zuckerberg being friends with Republicans. However, the real shame of Mark Z’s association with Peter Thiel is the professional one. Peter was the first check in after Eduardo, $500K. His views would make most capitalists blush, eg “competition is for losers, build a monopoly and extract rents!” He writes as much in his book Zero to One. I bet that had a big effect on what Facebook has become and its view of taking the entire social networking space under itself, and its tactics of taking any data it can and storing it to give itself an advantage (eg in Friends you may Know). Oh sure it may apologize if caught but will continue to store the data.
Mark Z’s earlier attitude of “I dunno why they share the data, those dumb f-cks, they ‘trust me’” found a mentor in Peter Thiel early on to retain that militant guerilla approach even as Facebook had to turn into something more respectable and corporate. “Move fast and break things” gave them all the license they needed.
Curious, could you provide some links for this statement?
Things I were exposed on YouTube are mostly positive. That for sure is a echo chamber. And I'll need a bit help to break that.
It's the attitude that even if the basic economic premise was sound(1), was his hyper focus on it and a complete insensitivity to the greater picture. It's like in his mind he could see how he (being white) could have benefited from it, but couldn't see that millions were victims and those who benefited wouldn't "let" black people be part of it.
If you look at a lot of his controversial comments, you'll see a pattern of a lack of empathy being a theme. Although Thiel denies the conversation happened, I'm giving the woman the benefit of the doubt for now other reason than it fits within other comments that he's either said or alleged to have said.
(1)For the record, I don't at all believe that it was. Apartheid-era South Africa's economy, as even the uninformed know, was built around having the black majority population do the menial/dangerous jobs cheaply and holding up the white minority.
(Of course, I'm not a billionaire, so there's a far higher chance that I'd actually end up dead in such a situation. But still)
But yeah, being gay in Iran or Saudi has serious consequences. Plus Gawker, posing a progressive media outlet via organs like Jezebel, shouldn't be airing anyone dirty laundry like that -- and then they did, repeatedly.
I bring it up merely to show that Peter Theil doesn't have any problem censoring stuff he doesn't like. Therefore it is pretty suspicious and two faced when he says he thinks that Facebook shouldn't censor ads.
While we can debate about what they should have done (and I agree with you in this case) it's difficult to write laws to define what constitutes a moral vs immoral publication or what is news-worthy.
Consider what would have happened in they had a Clinton-Lewinsky sex tape. Could they have released that to refute Bill Clinton's denials?
It quickly gets very difficult, and I would rather have a totally free press than one that has to worry about running afoul of moral news laws.
Facebook doesn’t realize that what it’s really become is humanities supermarket tabloid.
I absolutley love this and I'm stealing it.
I will point out though that those moron boomers who cant fact-check are all usually voters.. Easily influenced by the whims of BS.
Garbage Meme - Last Picture of your Ant Muriel 5 years ago - Avocado Advertisement
That said, Corbyn won every age group < 40 [1]. So those most likely to be heavily invested in social media did seem to get the message...
[1] https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/1...
I.e. people who don't remember what Corbyn’s pre-Tony Blair Labour did the last time it had power.
And the policies proposed in Corbyns manifesto would have brought the UK more into the central European mainstream. Nothing in there was terribly radical.
This is backed up by some research suggesting that people naturally become more conservative as they age.
Not saying that explains the UK elections, but your linked article reminded me of this theory.
It's a smooth curve but the labour/cons cross over point aligns well with the age of those who were able to build their lives and establish their careers before the early 2000s and after. The economic and societal structure that worked well during the 20th century has not been delivering returns for a while. In the UK this is the generation that will be poorer than the generation before them for the first time [1] until they inherit.
I think the changing age structure is massive though. If you had this breakdown of voting behaviour with the age distribution of the 60s when the median age was 32 rather than 42, you are looking at a labour landslide.
[1] https://www.ft.com/content/81343d9e-187b-11e8-9e9c-25c814761...
Friends. With Republicans. The horror.
the less polite way to put it would be that Peter Thiel is balls-deep in all kinds of dark-money republican activism and would really prefer to keep Russian propaganda all over facebook because it's advantageous for his tax rates.
Edit: there's nothing to dispute in his post, it's all conspiracy theory and talking points barely strung together.
"Dark-money Republican activism" Lol.
Post some sources and I will show you the other side, as a bonus I'll give you a similar "dark-money" event from the Democrats.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/08/peter-thiel-wants-to...
(Wanting to live forever seems to be a not-uncommon desire among the hyper-rich. Larry Ellison's only known voluntary charitable contribution is similarly to a foundation he set up for researching the prolonging of life... specifically, his.)
No - that's the highly editorialized, average "opinion" of Maddow, Lemon,... PBS is much better at not indoctrinating their audience on conspiracies
Did Russia hack the British elections recently?
Did Russia plant Tulsi into the DNC as a Trojan horse. Clinton seems to claim so.
Edit: The Russians have caught wind of this comment, and frantically down voting it, lest the media uncovers them lurking on HN
We shouldn't be comfortable with Russian influence, but we shouldn't allow our political opinions to be so dramatically warped by something that seems so proportionately small. As far as the Russians go, I think characterizing Thiel as being part of some "dark-money" republican machine that supports "Russian propaganda" is not accurate (or to the extent to which it is accurate, it doesn't matter). Not defending his position on other things, though.
I saw a lot of nonsense get spewed on Facebook- things that could be quite simply fact-checked, and people completely bought into them. Also, contradictory emotional appeals were spread (without, of course, the responders recognizing the contradictions). Finally, I was on a forum when someone gave stupid numbers concerning Obamacare, that I quickly checked and challenged (he left and never came back).
Having discovered that people by and large won't think critically about what you're saying, and using the viral nature of emotional appeals to create a general sentiment (which will later be rationalized) payed off for somebody. I don't know if it was the Russians or not.
-> I sponsor an ad targeting a certain audience
-> Byron Shifflett comments on the sponsored content in a way that makes it clear I reached him
-> Under another account, I reply to his comment
-> I send a friend request
-> He accepts
-> Now I can reach him just by posting my nonsense on my second account
-> He shares. That's what I like about him.
In 2013, I remember people were building Facebook audiences by ripping Facebook ID's from relevant open groups - that was insanely targeted audience, and while it wasn't general practice, it's definitely something advertisers were using. None of what comes from that is unexpected results. Your argument appears to be that Russian authorities with a $100k budget were 1000x better at manipulating Facebook's audience targeting tools than the people that had been paid to do just that for years - is that true?
I do not like Facebook, personally, and I don't like Trump. But this appears an unlikely scenario.
You say this very matter-of-factly. Do you have any evidence to back that up? Could you isolate that audience? As someone that has run a lot of political and consumer ads over the last 10 years, I'd really like to figure out who those people I can get for 100k that I can't get for 81 million are.
Propaganda does work. Russian propaganda does not work nearly as well as Madison Avenue propaganda, and that's been shown for decades. I'll give the edge to the Madison Ave guys spending tens of millions, here, over the Russian troll farm and 100k.
>If Russia could get a particular energy bill passed with $10k of Facebook propaganda, it would do that
Sure. I don't believe it can, though, and nobody has provided evidence to the contrary. Attempts, sure, but no real success.
It is my belief that the US FBI had much more to do with swaying the 2016 election than Russia's $100k Facebook ad spend.
These guys didn't have the clout they have now when broadcasters and content-owners were not allowed to monopolize the market.
Definition here: https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/dark_money
This is my understanding of how Peter Thiel views the world:
- Our entire economic system is structured for growth. With growth things are good and everyone can share in a piece of an ever-growing pie. Without growth you get a zero sum game and collapse.
- We are in a 'great stagnation' where growth is stalling in most industries. Every industry outside of tech (and arguably tech now too).
- The 'Neoliberals' (Obama and Clinton types, liberal centrists) don't see this stagnation as the existential threat it is and the institutions in place can't make the changes necessary to help correct for it.
- Without correcting for this problem you get an apocalyptic scenario and collapse of society.
- There's a dash of fair trade protectionism and an anti-immigration view somewhere in this that I don't totally understand (this is my weakest understanding of his politics, but it comes up when he talks and in his donations).
##
Then with this framing Trump in this context:
- I think Peter Thiel thinks Donald Trump is an idiot, but his administration's willingness to ignore precedent may allow them to break out of some of the existing constraints that prevent large change.
- Focusing on anything except the stagnation problem is meaningless in the long run.
- The push back against China IP issues is good and something others were afraid to do.
- He thinks the immigration push back and protection of American workers is necessary for political stability.
##
The questions I have with this view:
- He often asserts this stagnation problem exists, but without any real evidence (he just acts like it's obvious). I'd want some reason to think that now is different than historically - is it just a comparison to low hanging fruit in scientific discovery of the last couple hundred years? Something else? I think there are problems in academia, but I'm not sure I buy this 'great stagnation' argument up front.
- Trump seems like killing the patient to cure the disease, Peter Thiel would argue that actually things are mostly the same and Trump hasn't really changed day to day life for people. Currently this is largely true (unless you're an undocumented immigrant that had your children taken from you). This is playing with fire though and collapses of democracy are real - Putin was elected before becoming a dictator. I think he's playing dangerously here with his assumptions of what is possible.
- Continued support after this first term I just can't accept - it seems pretty clear at this point that Trump is a bad/criminal actor that only has his interests in mind with his actions.
We had 3 years of the mainstream media networks pushing the Russian-Collusion narrative and how Trump is going to be impeached for it.
Then the narrative get's utterly dismantled. It's such a farce at this point that the DNC didn't even list Russian collusion in it's articles of impeachment against the President.
Still, as this circus continues, very smart people still believe that Trump was elected because of Putin, and is in fact an agent of Russia.
It's mind blowing.
> The Russian government interfered in the 2016 presidential election in sweeping and systematic fashion. Evidence of Russian government operations began to surface in mid-2016. In June, the Democratic National Committee and its cyber response team publicly announced that Russian hackers had compromised its computer network. Releases of hacked materials—hacks that public reporting soon attributed to the Russian government—began that same month. Additional releases followed in July through the organization WikiLeaks, with further releases in October and November.
>Dozens of IRA employees were responsible for operating accounts and personas on different U.S. social media platforms. The IRA referred to employees assigned to operate the social media accounts as “specialists.”42 Starting as early as 2014, the IRA’s U.S. operations included social media specialists focusing on Facebook, YouTube, and Twitter.43 The IRA later added specialists who operated on Tumblr and Instagram accounts. 44 > Initially, the IRA created social media accounts that pretended to be the personal accounts of U.S. persons.45 By early 2015, the IRA began to create larger social media groups or public social media pages that claimed (falsely) to be affiliated with U.S. political and grassroots organizations. In certain cases, the IRA created accounts that mimicked real U.S. organizations. For example, one IRA-controlled Twitter account, @TEN_GOP, purported to be connected to the Tennessee Republican Party.46 More commonly, the IRA created accounts in the names of fictitious U.S. organizations and grassroots groups and used these accounts to pose as antiimmigration groups, Tea Party activists, Black Lives Matter protestors, and other U.S. social and political activists. The IRA closely monitored
We can all complain about it, nothing will change, but there is no denying, that such a big fish shouldn't have such a big influence on things because of their 'friends'.
But whatever
Okay, so just to recap:
1. Thiel is the investor who made billions off of Facebook before becoming a high-profile Trump supporter.
2. Trump is the guy who became president thanks in no small part to misinformation campaigns at scale made possible by Facebook's ad platform.
3. Thiel is now one of the strongest voices arguing that Facebook should remain in the political misinformation-for-profit business.
I couldn't read the entire article due to paywall, but forgive me for having doubts that Thiel's convictions are based on a desire to do what's right for democracy.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/03/22/a...
> the alternative is making facebook the gatekeeper of political truth
This argument is so played out. If it cared enough, or was forced to by regulation, Facebook could deploy enough fact checkers to greatly reduce the problem.
So now you want the government to tell Facebook what is truthful?
Government approved media is propaganda.
Do you not see how flawed this is!?
The argument is not played out. I do NOT want Facebook telling me what is the truth. Period.
If you want to limit their targeting tools for political ads, that's an okay route for me.
If you don't trust them with your data, why would you trust them with the truth.
Allow all ads and let the people decide for themselves.
But if you're on the side that is providing the fact-checkers, I see how you'd want your propaganda be stamped with an approval and your opponents facts be dismissed with a fake news label.
Censorship is a slippery slope guys...
We don't fact check polical ads on newspapers or TV ads. There is a reason for this. Jesus fucking Christ.
Politicians lie all the time, and sometimes even do the opposite of their campaign (HW's famous "Read My Lips, No New Taxes" comes to mind). It'd be pretty hard to make the case that voters who experienced an ensuing tax increase could sue the US government for damages.
I don't see the distinction. It wouldn't make sense to pay penalties for violating regulations before the fact.
> It'd be pretty hard to make the case that voters who experienced an ensuing tax increase could sue the US government for damages.
Why would the US government be liable? It is the campaign that is liable. It would be straightforward to penalize a campaign in proportion to the amount of money spent on the misleading ad and hold the proceeds in a fund for use by other campaigns.
The point still stands: if you think that voters can hold a campaign liable for not fulfilling campaign promises, I wish you...all the best in making that case.
Likewise, if the New York Times publishes information that's later found to be incorrect, and does not publish a retraction, I wish you all the best in pursuing legal action against them.
This was tried in NYTimes v Sullivan, and the NYTimes ended up triumphant. You'd have to prove "actual malice", the burden for which is high enough to be mostly infeasible.
In any case, it would never be Facebook that would have to facilitate this kind of legal action. Any sort of legal action would have to be between the individual/group that originated such a post, and the individual/group that wishes to seek damages for "misinformation". Facebook is just the medium.
I see no reason why they would be any less successful than other FTC enforcements.
> This was tried in NYTimes v Sullivan, and the NYTimes ended up triumphant.
If there's no law against it, I don't see why they shouldn't be.
> In any case, it would never be Facebook that would have to facilitate this kind of legal action.
I never said they would. I argued against the slippery slope objection to enforcing truthful advertising.
Do you think Facebook should publish an ad that falsely claims that the date of an election has been changed?
> Allow all ads and let the people decide for themselves.
I think that's an argument for banning targeted ads? In a way, you can think of targeted ads as a form of censorship. I can't see what someone else does.
I wonder if censorship can go both ways? You can censor the message, but you can also argue that the listener can be censored.
This is already the case in the US.
Same with social media accounts run by paid staffers (unless the staffers are paid by foreign entities, which was a big scandal in the last presidential election).
I guess this is the article that has me confused: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-google-to-b...