The volatility of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies (or more accurately, crypto-assets) is due to their extremely shallow markets and unpredictable volumes.
...
>coming off [the Gold Standard] heralded the greatest period of economic growth in Western history.
You got this extremely wrong, to the point that if you had any economic background at all I'd suspect your comment to be a sick joke. The US saw average growth rates of over 4% in the 19th century as it industrialised. By the time the Gold Standard was abandoned, most of the west was already thoroughly "developed", and could not grow as fast as before due to there being fewer lower-hanging fruit. This is the same reason places like China and India see growth rates of 6-8% in recent years (compared to 2-3% in the west): there are many more low-hanging fruit in a developing economy (e.g. moving the 50%+ of the population engaged in subsistence farming into more productive factory or service work).
As an aside, such language is unbecoming of anyone who wishes economics to be considered a real science. Even in physics, where it's possible to craft exact, repeatable experiments that can prove a statement true with 99.999% accuracy, practitioners still try to avoid bombast and smuggery because of how easy it is to make mistakes. Yet in economics, a field where it's difficult to even repeat the same experiment twice, and no model can predict the future anywhere near as accurately as a simple model such as Newton's laws can in physics, many practitioners seem quite comfortable making grandiose, bombastic and mocking statements with complete confidence in their own correctness. To me this smells like a consequence of economists never having been exposed to the humbling experience of having to validate their models' predictions against the real world, and not being held accountable for bad predictions.
How sure are we that this was a good idea in the long run? Politicians and their appointees aren't always the most responsible people. If it's possible for them to obfuscate some of their spending without upsetting people then we could end up with quite a surprise later. The US already has a big debt problem. I get where you're coming from, but I'm just not sure whether we know the long-term consequences of this.
I’m going to stop you right there. You see a large public debt and you presume, because you view debt as all household agents do (i.e., as something that needs to be repaid and that limits future discretionary spending). It’s not necessarily that way for a nation-state that (as the article seems to recount) can literally print money to make good on the debts it is running up.
The US has a big debt. A debt is, for households/firms/private individuals usually a “problem”, so a big debt would qualify as a big problem. But that doesn’t apply here.
Who would be most alarmed by a true “debt problem”? The bond-holders, one presumes. And yet there’s apparently no limit to the willingness of market participants to lend money to the US and, judging by the yields on those bonds, no suspicion of default.
There is no debt problem. There is just a big debt, because lots of money needs to be in circulation to support the massive amount of economic activity going on.
>Who would be most alarmed by a true “debt problem”? The bond-holders, one presumes.
That's only the case if the problem was that the US wasn't going to pay back its debt. The problem is that future generations are responsible for paying back the debt, not the current generations. This means that the people potentially most affected by this aren't even born yet.
We’re arguably lumbering future generations with just as much when we do not invest in basic science and technology development because of debt concerns; when we do not service our infrastructure; and most definitely when we act myopically towards the environment.
See? Thinking about the future is pernicious in that policy makers have both more and less latitude than one tends to assume.
The true test of Bitcoin is longevity.
If even 5% of bitcoin held were placed on the market simultaneously the whole thing would implode like a coke can filled with a vacuum. It’s totally illiquid and any attempt to cash out by a significant proportion of holders would herald instant disaster. That’s why it’s so volatile. Research shows the 2017 peak and crash were due transactions by a single ‘whale’.
What’s the case for it?
The post-WWII Bretton Woods regimen of “gold standard without domestic convertibility” definitely falls short of meeting the gold standard for gold standards: absent any audit of extant gold reserves, the price of gold (dictated by a purely hypothetical estimation of availability) served as a fixed exchange-rate (and thus implicitly fixed relative real rate of risk-free interest) and not as a true gold standard.
To say that Nixon dictated the end of the Gold Standard is as myopic as to suggest that the surgeon who removes the organs from a brain-dead patient is guilty of murder.