We are at the top of the hype curve for AI. It’s very good at specific tasks, ie speech to text, object recognition, but cannot reason at a high level. Although advances in RL are showing some promise with planning, I don’t think we’re nearly as close to fully self driving vehicles everywhere in all conditions as anyone thought. I think it’s hard to predict when advances will happen that will enable automation in healthcare and education. Most healthcare recommender systems I’ve seen turn into glorified search upon closer examination.