America's Missile That Uses Sword Blades Instead of Explosives Has Struck Again
thedrive.com
thedrive.com
With a manned platform, you have a chance of getting hit by a platform with a rear weapons officer, (F-15E, F/A-18) to verify minimal bystanders. But they're probably concentrating on not missing. Or you can get hit by a single occupancy aircraft (F-16, F-35) who will be dropping pre programmed ordinance.
With a drone, you have three separate teams of people watching the video steam. Anyone in that loop can say, "hey there are a lot of civilians here" and everything's on pause until the target moves.
And now we have an explosiveless munition with limited opportunities for collateral damage and this outlet is falling over themselves talking about gruesome it is.
Having worked in the field makes me really sick of ignorant journalists reporting on it. The outrage the antiwar press tends to carry makes their ignorance more annoying than the journalists talking about AGI, quantum computing, or deep learning.
On the other hand, it still seems horrible to kill people by remote control. Supposing it becomes possible to very, very precisely kill exactly who you want, from far away, with no judicial process, etc., is this good?
War should be painful for both sides, because if it is not, what stops us from engaging in it?
(Edit: this happened to be submitted earlier today:
It's like suggesting laser guided bombs are worse than unguided bombs.
What is new is the use of signals intelligence to choose whom to target in a non-combat zone. I think that's the novel piece that should horrify people.
In the longer run, being able to take out who you want without killing innocents modifies the moral calculus. You don't have to justify the turpitude of your target against the lives of innocent bystanders.
So eventually the question approaches: how do you hold steadfast moral red-lines regarding the use of such weapons as PR costs and blowback approach zero?
There is a rational sense to be outraged over more precise weaponry: precision incentivizes super-states to use it more, which in turn incentivizes things like surveillance. At the long tail of this shift of incentives one can see a a quite spooky/sinister picture emerging.
This is only possible if the killing happens in total secrecy. The court of public opinion is a judicial process, and an important one, despite having only informal procedures.
I came away from the article a bit sickened by the concept, yes, but also proud we have a weapon whose purpose is to avoid accidental civilian deaths. And I have to admit, as gory as this weapon sounds, it's no worse than explosives.
I don't like war. I figure no one in their right mind should. I do acknowledge there's a time for it, and even a time for assassination (i.e. al Qaeda and similar).
I pray our leaders are able to make the right decisions regarding when these things are needed, and I'm nervous that some of our leaders don't fit that bill (moreso, that a future crop of leaders might abuse these powers to terrible ends).
But they're not. The warning they gave was a trigger warning in regards to the video, where it quite prominently showed a man beheaded. The article itself was level-headed and seemed to portray the developments with interest and a healthy dose of respect.
I understand your general sentiments and while I would usually agree with you, it seems your criticism is misplaced here.
> The aim of the missions was to track, and when the conditions were deemed right, kill suspected insurgents. That’s not how they put it, though. They would talk about “cutting the grass before it grows out of control”, or “pulling the weeds before they overrun the lawn”.
> And then there were the children. The airmen would be flying the Predators over a village in the tribal areas of Pakistan, say, when a series of smaller black shadows would appear across their screens – telling them that kids were at the scene.
> They called them “fun-sized terrorists”.
[..]
> Toward the end of his service, Haas switched to training new recruits in the technology of drone warfare. That shocked him anew, as he discovered that many of the younger intake were gung-ho about the power they wielded at their fingertips. “They just wanted to kill,” he said.
> He remembers one training session with a student in which they were flying live over Afghanistan. The student said that a group of people on the ground looked suspicious.
> Why? Haas asked. Because they look like they are up to no good, the student replied.
> Would you act on that? the instructor asked. Sure, the student said.
> Haas immediately pulled him from his seat, took over the mission himself, and promptly failed the student. “I tried to get the students to understand that preservation of innocent life had to take priority.”
> Because he failed the student, Haas was later rebuked by senior officers. They told him that they were short of bodies to keep the drones flying, and they ordered him to pass students in future so that there would be a sufficient number trained and ready to go.
If I'm a bystander I don't want a country that I have literally never been to, or a country that's thousands of miles away from me operating drones in my country.
I can't imagine how these same people would react if china started killing civilians in the US that they deemed to be terrorists through a secret process.
Stated reason for involvment was chemical weapons attack--which is strongly reminiscent of Iraq's imaginary WMDs. To anyone who believes the official story on our involvement, I have a bridge to sell you.
Not to justify US targeted killings, but it's not the same as Iraq's CIA-invented WMDs.
Per Wikipedia:
It was argued by The Guardian's columnist George Monbiot that Director-General José Bustani was being forced out by the U.S. government, despite the convention insisting the OPCW "shall not seek or receive instructions from any government"; the US had tried to persuade Brazil to recall Bustani. Monbiot wrote that the U.S. had tried other measures, although the convention also indicates that states should "not seek to influence" staff.
...
The removal was subsequently determined to be improper by an Administrative Tribunal of the International Labour Organization and consequently Bustani was awarded €50,000 in moral damages, his pay for the remainder of his second term, and his legal costs
The National Endowment for Democracy (NED) is a U.S. non-profit soft power organization that was founded in 1983 with the stated goal of promoting democracy abroad.
Bellingcat also receives funding via PAX which is directly funded by Netherlands Foreign Ministry.
Soft-power apparati for three NATO members, funding some rando to look at videos and offer opinions on them... still have that bridge to sell.
We know for certain that none of the pasty fucks at the NYT spent enough time in Syria to do their own actual investgation.
If anyone has time to trace funding for the other orgs, I'm sure that even more gold will be struck.
[Elliot Higgins] previously worked in finance and administration. In 2012, when Higgins began blogging the Syrian civil war, he was unemployed and spent his days taking care of his child at home
So I guess we're every bit as qualified to look at warzone videos in our underwear, make claims about whodunnit, then send off to the NYT?
There seems to be lots of sources that think these things are true. The top search result for `George Monbiot chemical weapons syria` yields [0] in which the third paragraph starts : "There is nothing surprising about this. The Syrian government has a long history of chemical weapons use, and the OPCW’s conclusions concur with a wealth of witness testimony. But a major propaganda effort has sought to discredit such testimony, and characterise the atrocity as a “false-flag attack”."
[0] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/nov/15/lesson...
For the entire postwar period, we move from one false flag intervention to another--Korea, Iran in '53, Vietnam, Cambodia, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Iraq & Afghanistan, Libya--all mortal threats to the United States of America.
Tell me, in which one of these instances did the media tell us to hold our horses at the outset, rather than the aftermath?
I'm unclear if you are referring the them specifically in your final paragraph, but if you are, you are way off base.
For better or worse, each US drone strike requires an in-the-loop officer to authorize each weapon release. So whether it's a targeted assassination of HUMINT-confirmed high-value terrorist or the indiscriminate slaughtering of a funeral procession of innocent villagers based on HUMINT-free AI speculation, the US military's policies stipulate that, theoretically, there should always be someone to hold accountable for these successes and these crimes.
See also: Jeremy Scahill's Dirty Wars (2013)
Of course the fusion of consequentalist ethics with rule based ones have been proposed, and there is some data suggesting people do think like this. (Depending on the context we will either have strict rules or we'll become more analytical.)
War, weapons, violence, death/life, quality of life, are always nasty problems in terms of moral philosophy. What's worse, creating life and then taking other lives, or not creating any nor taking any? There's path dependence, sure, the arrow of time cannot be really ignored, and intent matters, and so on, yet we know humans always viewed war/fighting/conflict as a two sided thing. The just wars and the unjust ones.
So the question becomes what is justice? How to reconcile everyone's personal concept of justice?
John Rawls proposed fairness, and a very clever yet simple (even if maybe ultimately unworkable) method to determine what's fair: thought experiments that consider every possible life (a beggar's, a king's, and everything in between), and as people elaborate in what each one should do in various situations people's views should converge. (See reflective equilibrium.)
... and then there's virtue ethics too, which focuses on, kind of a personal best. Be excellent to each other. And this sounds like utilitarianism with an utility function that has already built in targets that clean up a lot of abstract nonsense from it and place a big emphasis on agency (and thus it kind of captures intent too - because it talks about the virtues and vices of agents' overall character too).
I hope that both does and doesn't answer your question. :)
The old one was really overkill for a couple of guys in a car, more designed to be used against tanks and probably sent shrapnel a considerable distance.
Could be a gas tank though.
In fact the anti-tank (HEAT) warhead would not do that much damage to a car and unless you would be directly under it you’ll be able to walk off from it as the tandem charge doesn’t do much damage when it doesn’t hit hardened armor.
The warhead in question in the video is likely a MAC (thermobaric charge) or a fragmentation warhead which were designed to hit soft targets and kill personnel.
The hellfire also has DIME warheads which use metal powder instead of larger shrapnel to reduce collateral damage as well as kinetic warheads as shown in the article.
When the spotter identifies a building, and someone else tries to correlate that description to a set of coordinates, and then a GBU is dropped to those coordinates... human error can lead to target mismatch, resulting in terrible tragedies like the Kunduz hospital incident.
I'd need to go measure, but it seems the driver of a car and a passenger seated in the back seat (opposite the driver) would not both be killed. So it should be aimed at maybe one or two people, while others in the car might live.
Pretty amazing. Reduced deaths are a good thing, and it diminishes the value of innocent 'human shield' usage.
> the missile, which is roughly three and a half feet wide when its blades are extended
That really sounds like a diameter and not a radius. But on the other hand:
> Supposedly, three people were killed in the vehicle when the bladed weapon smashed through the roof of the vehicle.
> The payload area is roughly a foot and a half long and let's say the swords are roughly the same length, this would provide about a three and a half foot diameter kill zone, which is similar to what we see in the images of the vehicles that have been struck.
So it seems like 3.5ft diameter is The Warzone/The Drive's best guess based on the length of a standard Hellfire and the vehicle damage.
[0] https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/31310/this-photo-prove...
I'm sure that blades improve the lethality of such an instrument, but it may be more psychological than essential. If such a thing hadn't worked as well as it appears to, I'm sure that engineers could have found another way to make it a little more lethal.
The amount of precision required to kill a moving vehicle without harming other vehicles is impressive.
I'm not even sure we have the power to change that.
Having said that, the percentage has perhaps been the lowest ever in the past century (neither world war was that deadly), so maybe we're making progress towards your goal.
Hypothetical: would you would be OK to let ISIS conquer the globe by force because killing is bad?
> In 2014, former CIA and NSA director Michael Hayden said in a public debate, “We kill people based on metadata.”
> According to multiple reports and leaks, death-by-metadata could be triggered, without even knowing the target’s name, if too many derogatory checks appear on their profile. “Armed military aged males” exhibiting suspicious behavior in the wrong place can become targets, as can someone “seen to be giving out orders.” Such mathematics-based assassinations have come to be known as “signature strikes.”
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/how-...
Now that this thing is out in the Wild we’ll see all sorts of attempts, however futile, to defend against it.
I suspect some new techniques are being leveraged that are apparently having some success.
Assuming you have some additional mobile tracking cameras hidden in vehicles so they can be relocated once a day, the neural net could pretty easily infer guesses about where to put them.
Pretty sure they can also make a missile that fires 20 30mm rounds, 10 yards or whatever distance is needed to pepper the entire car, before crashing in the car.
Since the point appears to be limiting collateral damage, though, the blade-missile probably works okay coming through the windshield or back window, too.
EDIT: 2018 -> 2017, my how time flies.
https://web.archive.org/web/20170414143558/https://www.nytim...
[0] https://www.businessinsider.com/saudi-arabia-appeared-to-thr... (candidate for best tweet of the decade)