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As a plan B. Is there any top level domain run by a non-profit where I can switch to long term?

If you mostly trust your local government, perhaps your national ccTLD would be fine?

Hmm, in my case this would be .de/DENIC. Seems to be organized as a cooperative with those members: https://www.denic.de/en/about-denic/members/member-list/ So not very promising.

But .eu/EURid seems to be a non-profit.