Hacker News Reader

By 2030 we have long passed peak oil, renewable will not be able to provide sufficient amounts of energy, nuclear power will not be used in many countries because of irrational fears, and we will destroy the climate by using coal to produce energy.

Economically China will have surpassed the US and Europe and will therefore also have a higher standard of living than US/Europe (but still a lower standard than today's standard in US/Europe).

View on HN

Economically China will have surpassed the US and Europe and will therefore also have a higher standard of living than US/Europe

How does that follow? Do you expect China to surpass the US and Europe not just in absolute terms but also in per capita income by 2030?

By 2030, China will be a humanitarian disaster area. They're doing ok now simply because they have such a massive workforce, but their notorious one child per family policy is rapidly reducing the working age population.

Most developed nations have population growth less than the replacement rate. They will have fewer workers supporting more retirees, who happen to be living longer and wanting more expensive medical care.

After a few generations of "one child per family" (by law or by choice), most kids won't have siblings or aunts or uncles!

Reply on news.ycombinator.com