Heliogen’s new tech could unlock renewable energy for industrial manufacturing
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
Given that we know the suns position and that of the mirrors, how is computer vision able to better aim the mirrors?
What am I missing?
> The breakthrough in Heliogen’s technology starts with our patented closed-loop control system that makes our field of mirrors act as a multi-acre magnifying glass to concentrate sunlight.The HelioMax system is an industry first and a critical step in harnessing the power of the sun. Our ability to concentrate and capture sunlight allows us to create carbon-free, ultra-high temperature heat (HelioHeat) commercially for the first time....
They define the HelioMax system as
> HelioMax: An array of computer-controlled mirrors (heliostats) collects and concentrates sunlight.
So, obviously they are trying to not say anything useful about what their special sauce is. But they do seem to be claiming that it has something to do with how the mirrors are controlled. As you say, any modern system will use computer guidance, and the sun's trajectory is very simple and predictable, so it's hard to imagine what exactly they are doing special.
Maybe some sort of active correction for atmospheric distortion? I dunno.
This fits in with something I saw in another article, which said that Heliogen's system doesn't need months of calibration when installed before it can produce maximal output.
This suggests that they have some way of measuring the contribution of each individual mirror to the total output, and tweaking its position to maximize that, so that all they have to do is get each mirror near the right position and then they can quickly tune it in dynamically.
This reminds me of a film that the professor in APh 23, "Demonstration Lectures in Optics", showed us at Caltech in the early '80s. The professor [1] was also a researcher at Hughes, and the film showed a demo of a system they were working on there.
It consisted of a bunch of radiators. By adjusting the phase of the radiators to change the interference pattern they could get it so the radiation pattern had a strong lobe in one direction, which they could steer. In theory, all you had to do was crank up the power, and you've got yourself an energy beam weapon that will zap whatever you aim the lobe at.
But how to aim that lobe? That was the cool part. They would modulate the phase of each radiator, with each one having its own unique modulation frequency. Suppose now you've got a target flying around somewhere in front of the thing. It's getting hit by all the radiators, but isn't in the lobe. You have a sensor that can see the energy reflected off the target.
You analyze that reflected signal and look at the frequency components of its intensity variation. If a given radiator is at a phase that is trying to put the target in the lobe, you won't see much variation at that radiators phase modulation frequency. If a given radiator is at a phase that is trying to put the target in maximum destructive interference instead of maximum constructive interference, you will see its frequency in the reflection variation. You can use this to derive a feedback signal for each radiator to adjust its phase to try to make constructive interference at the target.
In the film it showed this system aiming against a dark curtain with no target. You could see a bunch of blobs of light just kind of drifting around aimlessly. Then they dangled a little aluminum model of the starship Enterprise in there, and pretty much instantly all the blobs of light from all the radiators converged on it.
Note that since the feedback is based on the contribution of each radiator at the target, it should be able to automatically compensate for atmospheric distortion.
I wonder if something kind of like this could be what Heliogen is doing? It wouldn't be able to be quite the same, because there wouldn't really be any noticeable constructive or destructive interference going on between the reflections from the different mirrors. But the general idea of modulating each radiator (mirror in this case) and then detecting that modulation at the target to provide feedback for controlling the radiator might work.
If you either had something that could detect small changes in heat over very short times, or small changes in light over very short times, you could put that at the target (maybe more than one, both in the target area and just outside it). Then modulate the mirrors, and look for corresponding variation at the target to figure out if the mirror is positioned right or not.
You probably would not need to do all the mirrors at once, which simplifies things. You could just scan through them, for each modulating it, determining the correction, applying it, and moving on to the next mirror.
If you have good enough computer vision, maybe that part about detecting small changes in light over very short times could be done by a camera looking at the tower.
I'm trying think of anything weird that ML may be able to pick up like correcting for local atmospheric conditions, more even heating over the surface of the collector target, adaptive calibration for better aiming or ability to use cheaper components, etc.
The article mentions seamlessly switching to solar when the sun comes out, and hints at having more precise temperature control. I wouldn’t know whether either makes much of a difference.
Sounds like a huge step forward to me. And Bill Gates is usually on track with his investments in transformative tech..
Heliogen claims to reach the desired temperatures purely through solar.
[1] Probably normally natural gas fired burners/kilns
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ESolar
So... I’d guess that part of the eSolar approach is carrying over into Heliogen. The control system for using mirrors seems potentially more complex. I assume you want to direct light from an array of mirrors such that it optimally a single cell. Or so that it covers a number of cells, or such that it optimally avoids defective or low performing cells.
So with, some skepticism, I can kind of see an AI play here.
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2019/11/19/20970252/c...
Keeping the cameras from being blinded by direct hits during startup and adjustment might be a problem. They probably have to start with all mirrors off-target and bring them onto target one at a time.
Sucks if you have a cement factory in Seattle, you're going to have a harder time competing with one in California.
When you say, "when synthetic fuels arrive", do you mean the Fischer-Tropsch process developed during World War I? I think that's the most likely candidate process for synfuels. It's reasonably efficient but it uses a lot of energy, because fuels contain a lot of energy — that's why we use them. By coincidence last week I read a bunch of papers by Heather Willauer et al. of NRL about producing synfuels with Fischer-Tropsch from seawater, using an electrolytic acidification process with cation exchange to drive CO₂ out of the water and generate the requisite hydrogen at the same time. The paper with the most comprehensive workout of the costs was ECONOMIC COMPARISONS OF LITTORAL PRODUCTION OF LOW CARBON FUEL FROM NON-FOSSIL ENERGY SOURCES AND SEAWATER, from 2017. You should read it if you're interested in the topic!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentrated_solar_power#Solar...
I don't see where AI comes in at all.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/19/business/heliogen-solar-e...
You're referring to Hydrosol, an EU-funded prototype thermochemical solar reactor which produces hydrogen by splitting water (and using some of that resultant hydrogen as fuel to scale up the process to industrial temperatures).
That is not at all what Heliogen does. Both products are similar in the sense that they use concentrated energy, but Heliogen has more in common with concentrated solar power plants (like the one between LA and Vegas) than it does with Hydrosol.
I get frustrated by the wide use of the term AI. What is AI other than, well, programming?
Even when I've spoken to devs who have have made game AI's or conversational AI's it seems that a lot of their work is with good 'ol IF statements and exceptions.
Somehow I had always imagined that an AI would be more like a neural net with an operational engine that didn't require exception based programming.
I also think a lot of the trouble I have with the term stems from the ambiguity in the word artificial. Artificial smile vs artificial diamond.
Now that I think of it, the idea of the wiki-tribune crowd-sourced news and social network is appealing, and has many similarities to HN.
I still don't understand the virtue of being a "serial entrepreneur", especially with no indication of what businesses were created. It just sounds like someone who bailed on several previous companies that aren't even worth mentioning.
They certainly should have elaborated a bit. It's Bill Gross from Idealab. He has a long entrepreneurial history and quite mixed record of meaningful successes and spectacular failures.
"Prior to Idealab, Gross founded GNP Loudspeakers (now GNP Audio Video), an audio equipment manufacturer; GNP Development Inc., acquired by Lotus Software; and Knowledge Adventure, an educational software company, later acquired by Cendant."
People have been getting to 3500°C with the same kind of system for decades.
Please someone correct me if im wrong.
Hope this helps.
A friend asked me what I thought about this earlier, based on a somewhat better reprinting of their press release:
https://www.geekwire.com/2019/company-backed-bill-gates-clai...
Scroll back to 2010, when Bill Gross started working on this. That's when he got funded by that dude whose futurism book about the Information Superhighway, The Road Ahead, didn't mention the internet. In 1995. In 2010, photovoltaic modules cost €1.62 per watt. Concentrating solar power was a promising alternative; it uses the same steam engines used by coal and nuclear power plants, so at scale it should be just as cheap as they are, as long as you can get the cost of the heliostats under control somehow and scale up. It also didn't have that pesky intermittency problem PV modules have: you can store the heat overnight.
Since then, though, heat engines have become economically uncompetitive relative to PV, because PV modules now cost €0.19 per watt, where they've been stuck all year. And steam turbines, almost a century and a half old, aren't improving or getting cheaper rapidly the way PV has been. Being just as cheap as coal isn't a blessing anymore; it's a handicap.
So, if you've been working on CSP and filing patents for a decade before getting your pilot plant up and running, a decade during which the PV market has left your product's price in the dust, what do you do? You look for a possible use where CSP is still viable, such as process heat; you hire a good PR firm; you announce that you won't be building any plants, but you're "willing to partner with" companies that want to build your design; and you hope to God nobody says "Solyndra".
But what's the actual invention? It seems like the actual news is that Bill Gross has patented some aspect of his closed-loop control system using webcams and GPU-accelerated CV to figure out where the mirrors are pointing to improve your concentration factor. The key improvement that made it possible was better GPUs, according to the press release, anyway.
So what happened, from the point of view of anyone outside Idealab, is that now Idealab and Intellectual Ventures will sue you if you do this fairly obvious thing of using high-resolution webcams for precise heliostat control.
So, when would this be a sensible thing to do?
Trombe's solar furnace and similar devices are able to compete quite effectively in the "market" for process heat at the 2500–3500° level, since, as I said, 1949. (I guess Bill's PR firm didn't know this, or hopes you don't.) That's a level almost impossible to achieve using fire (oxy-acetylene burns at 3500° under ideal conditions), and difficult even with arc furnaces. But Bill's thing is designed for a more prosaic 1000–1500° level, where it's competing not only with fire but also Kanthal or SiC fed from PV, wind, hydro, and nukes, as well as induction, dielectric heating, and microwave heating.
The potential advantage of CSP for process heat at these lower temperatures is that it's cheap and abundant. If you fill a field with mirrors, they can harvest 6× as much power than PV modules covering the same field can. But if land area is your limiting factor, your cement plant or steel mill or whatever probably isn't in the middle of a big field; it's using a lot more energy than your land receives in sunlight. In that case, you probably want to pull your power from someplace further off, whether in the form of coal, oil, gas, biomass, or electricity. Probably electricity from PV panels if we're talking about anything post-2030.
But suppose you can put your factory in the field where the mirrors are, and the limiting resource isn't land but money. In that case, it might be a reasonable approach. PV modules cost €30 a square meter now. That's probably more expensive than mirrors, if you take into account that mirrors give you 6x as much energy: €180 per square meter is the price mirrors have to beat, and that seems doable.
But now you are on notice: if you do that, make sure it's in a country where Intellectual Ventures's shell companies haven't gotten a patent on it, or you have to deal with patent trolls. The press release reprinted above is clear: as with IV's laser mosquito swatter, they aren't going to make it happen themselves, but they'll definitely "partner with" you if you try.
I think we're about to see a giant boom in shitty "do well-known thing X, but with computer vision" patents similar to the shitty "do well-known thing X, but on a computer/on the internet" patents that plagued us in the early 2000s. The availability of massive GPU power means that many things that used to be impractical to do with video data have become possible.
Note, importantly, as with all things scale matters. There are solar furnaces the size of a pot that have reached 3000 celsius or more. This is not very useful for industrial scale activities.
Presumably one of the breakthroughs is that Heliogen can achieve 1000 celsius at an industrial scale which is not something that appears to have been done before with purely solar energy.
It does; it references the one at Odeillo, which exceeds 3000°, according to this open-access paper by one of its instigators: https://journals.openedition.org/histoire-cnrs/2661 This "supposed solar furnace", as you term it, finished construction in 1969 and receives 75,000 visitors per year.
> Presumably one of the breakthroughs is that Heliogen can achieve 1000 celsius[sic] at an industrial scale which is not something that appears to have been done before with purely solar energy.
The question of "scale" is essentially one of power — the press release explains that you can expect about one megawatt per acre (250 MW/km² in modern units), and contemplates that you might want to build plants that scale up to two megawatts. To me, that sounds pretty small for industrial scale, but the Odeillo solar furnace is already one megawatt.
Why power rather than volume? Well, you can heat an arbitrarily large or small thing to an arbitrarily high temperature with an arbitrarily large or small amount of power if it's well enough insulated, and modern insulation is very good. But if your heating doesn't have enough power, it will be very slow on a large amount of material, and if it's fighting things like endothermic chemical reactions, it may lose.
Heliogen's press release explains that their pilot plant has 400 mirrors on two acres, so it's probably about two megawatts — twice the size of the 3500° Odeillo, but much lower temperature, and a tiny fraction of the size of existing commercial CSP plants, which run around 600° as explained earlier.
The Odeillo solar furnace can reach higher temperatures but can't transmit them--it can only heat steam, which is a poor transmitter of heat energy to industrial materials.
Ideally, both of these designs would be incorporated together--one to drive the machinery (the Odeillo design) and the other to do the actual physical work of heating the materials (the Heliogen design).
For driving machinery you probably want lower temperatures, like the 600° existing coal, nuclear, and CSP power plants use for driving machinery. Coal and nuclear plants could easily generate higher temperatures, but there are a variety of practical difficulties that arise.
The scary thing about this is that it requires nothing more than mirrors, drones and software, and not a deep military industrial complex.
Would be scarier to see a swarm of drones with crossbows
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nDGqc0FrXZg&feature=youtu.be...
Congratulations, you have just discovered my Evil Plan to Rule the World.
Mwooooha-hah-hah-hah-hah-haaaaaa (evil laugh, eh)
But I'm serious, sort of.
I have a plan to create a huge swarm of flying robots. (Image search Alexander Bell's cellular kites.) They are designed to connect together to make bigger flying structures. There's no upper limit. I will be able to make flying buildings, or what I call the World-Kite...
Anyhow, the thought occurred that I could make the sails reflective and create large (multi-kilometer) solar furnaces. Further, as the swarm will be distributed globally, there's no problem about clouds or night-side: you can just reflect light from the illuminated areas to the desired focal point.
If I manage to do this before anyone catches on I don't see how it could be stopped. I've spent the last N years researching secure computing (I'm not about to let some other hacker usurp my botnet just as I achieve Kardashev Type I status, eh?) and I'm just about to start manufacturing them. (Finally! It's taken about ten years longer than I thought it would.)
- - - -
Imagine being at the focal point of the system as the individual machines line up on you: the sky turning all into Sun...
[1] https://enphase.com/en-us/ensemble-technology-enphase-instal...
Will explain why in a later comment, you have to think through the embodied energy flow and materials required to transport etc...as well as solar capacity factor domestically and globally.
Solar and wind drawdowns are powered by natural gas peaking.
Transporting energy intensive Cement and other feedstocks that are manufactured in areas of "renewables viability" are moved with non-renewables sources. (low sulfur bunker fuel maritime ships, diesel-lng-cng trucks, and large earth movers)
Most of the world's volumetric cement consumption happens in areas with low quality/intensity solar.
Or we could build more nuclear power plants, which have the duty cycle necessary for industrial applications. It's no wonder that the more conservative politicians seem to love nuclear more: it's a pro-business, pro-industry carbon-free energy source, unlike wind and solar (or the insane amount of batteries to make it work.
Nuclear is also less practical for direct industrial use or distributed deployment because of safety concerns, with only a few exceptional cases like military marine propulsion.
Solar can be deployed quicker, cheaper, and faster for anyone without access to a decade timespan and a billions of dollars of capital.