Surgery for Blocked Arteries Is Often Unwarranted, Researchers Find
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
The main controversy being addressed is whether revascularization in stable disease has benefit. Not heart attack patients. Not people with significant left main coronary artery disease. COURAGE and this trial address that question in different ways.
It is addressed in the article, but you kind of are left to draw your own conclusions:
> The participants in Ischemia were not experiencing a heart attack, like Senator Bernie Sanders, nor did they have blockages of the left main coronary artery, two situations in which opening arteries with stents can be lifesaving. Instead, the patients had narrowed arteries that were discovered with exercise stress tests.
This doesn't at all address the need for revasularization during a heart attack (about which there is universal agreement). It addresses whether revascularizing people not having a heart attack can be helpful.
[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2019/11/16/embargoed-d...
[2] https://twitter.com/rwyeh/status/1194638074765967362?s=21
Thanks for your kind words.
When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
Edit: the original study https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.117.008230
Suppose that surgery can be put off for 10 years without any loss of effectiveness or short term risk of death. Now you’re going to wait even if it’s eventually a good idea. Some people that either have the surgery or waited are killed off by other issues, making the waiting group have a higher expected life expectancy overall.
That’s just one example where seemingly useful treatments are less useful than initially assumed.
I think it obviously depends on the specific probabilities and your current life expectancy, not to mention whether you are risk averse when it comes to the possiblity of immediate death.
For me, based on actuarial tables, I should expect to live for 36 years more. So the net expected gain with your example numbers is (0.9 * 10.8) - (0.1 * 36) = 6.1 years more. So that's a net benefit of ~17%, at a significant risk of dying right now. If it was normal to like that kind of deal, why would we buy insurance?
Also, there's something fishy about the problem statement in the first place, because a successful operation doesn't extend your life by 30%, unless nothing else was going to kill you before your originally anticipated lifespan.
Just imagine the scale and length of the clinical trials that would be required to test such a claim.
That’s Malcolm Gladwell’s bread and butter.
It’s only a useful study if deaths over the entire period also drop, and they don’t. It just moves deaths to the other dates, not reduce them.
For example. If a procedure has 20% chance of death and 80% chance of improving mortality, the more procedures done, the more deaths on the date of the procedures. But overall mortality is reduced.
So the conference just means fewer procedures that week, but not fewer procedures for the year. The procedures just get done before or after the conference with the same rate of death.
I love Gladwell’s stories, but he frequently tells pithy little vignettes that aren’t actually true. He brought up this factoid during his recent appearance on the Joe Rogan Experience.
> The participants in Ischemia were not experiencing a heart attack, like Senator Bernie Sanders, nor did they have blockages of the left main coronary artery,
In context it sounds like the author is basically saying this study has nothing to do with a politician. Okay, so why bring it up?
My additional take away is that it is good for people to maintain healthy skepticism about our medical system, its incentives, and the accuracy of our current knowledge.
https://www.tctmd.com/news/ischemia-invasive-strategy-no-bet...
I haven't been able to find out what the medical alternative treatment consists of other than changing diet, losing weight, stop smoking, stop drinking, start exercising, taking statins, etc. These are, of course, all good and useful things, but I knew a man who had a quadruple bypass and refused to make any lifestyle changes. Maybe not having a bypass would have focused him on making those changes.
It healed on its own.
The idea is to increase the range of motion in the leg. I gained a huge amount in just a few weeks, something like 15 degrees worth. From there I was able to walk and stand without pain (it felt so good that took up running just because I could!). When I’ve been sick or less active I can feel the tightness coming back and it only takes a few stretches to get back to normal again. The PT who helped me was trained in Mackenzie technique. I guess their idea is to give people focused stretches and exercises instead of the insane, unachievable workouts that PTs often prescribe.
The reason I like it is because it's easy to do and precisely control no matter how inflexible you start out as.
"Spending during the last twelve months of life made up a modest share of aggregate spending, ranging from 8.5 percent in the United States to 11.2 percent in Taiwan, but spending in the last three calendar years of life reached 24.5 percent in Taiwan"
https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2017....
Or you could wait until you start to get sick, but how would you know it's not just short-term? You could have a case of pneumonia but recover in a month, and again go on for another 10 years. I've seen a fair number of elderly be sick for most of a year and still come out of it: A relative recently passed at 94, but around 86 she had some serious health issues, and her fate was very uncertain. But she beat them, and had another 8 years where she took great joy in seeing multiple great-grand nieces & nephews born, swim in her pool, listen to her read them stories, etc. They were some of her happiest times, but would have never happened if she'd been trying to beat the 18-month decline.
Since many don’t succeed those costs pile up and count in your stat. But many do succeed do people’s lives are extended.
Reward outcomes rather than fee-for-service?
Less stress and less risk for the doctor.
-For example, a bit of searching shows an appendectomy takes about an hour. Lets add 1/2 hour onto that for prep & cleanup.
-Searching indicated about $900 to $1200 is the typical insurance payment to the surgeon. That's $600 to $800 an hour.
-Based on my own insurance claims, specialist visits are reimbursed from $200-$300. Average 10 minutes per visit and that works out to $1200 to $1800 and hour. (Non specialist annual "wellness" checkup/physical was reimbursed around $180 for $1080 an hour)
Certainly not all surgeries are necessarily the same, so rates may vary and there could be more or less $/hour, although the same goes for office visits. As such, doctors already are paid roughly similar, or close enough that concerns of pushing surgeries for the $$$ probably don't need to be a huge worry.
The healthcare system is biased towards doing something . Patients want there to always be some action taken, and actions are found. Doing nothing seems like giving up.
I think the healthcare provider incentive is a more important factor since there is such a power imbalance. I’ve had numerous elective surgical procedures recommended. When I asked for non-surgical therapies I was told there are none. When I researched I found them and found other healthcare providers.
I’m pretty young and healthy so the bias for surgeons to recommend surgery seems really strong. Maybe it’s not sinister and it’s just a coincidence that a surgery costs $10-30k and physical therapy costs $1k to someone other than the person who is recommending.
I had a life...I had a future
Yes, but now you have a cause.
Ever thought about attending law school? Or some other related course of action? You can stand up for the other people like you. You could be for them, what wasn't there for you.
I can't comment on what happened before but there may be ways out of your pain. Have you explored all options in terms of pain management.
Spinal cord stimulators? Baclofen pumps?
There are several options for treating 'neurogenic' pain including MR guided focused ultrasound (for which there is a clinical trial going on now at the University of Maryland). Where are you based?
But my living situation now is very unstable and hostile and stress worsens pain and hopelessness. You can't solve that with pills and procedures. On top of that it's not as simple as "solving pain". I have lost all forms of security, have no family or social reliability, have obviously severe depression and anxiety because of all of this, keep taking more hits in all regards, and you can't just plug one hole while there are 7 others in the boat and an 8th about to blow etc. I will never have a full and good life, but a survivable one is possible just not accessible. I don't want to disclose my location online since I have been very candid about my situation as all I need is someone calling the authorities and causing me more loss of agency and massive medical debt. They won't help with what I really need but will 100% "help" by locking me up and feeling good about themselves.
I don't want more surgery or devices or procedures. I don't need more doctors. I have (actual not dramatized) PTSD about doctors and hospitals now. I don't trust them with the exception of two in Europe who actually helped me. Here the have never helped and have literally ruined my life. I need my basic needs secured and a peaceful and stable environment away from hostile people, in a place where I am not one emergency or major problem away from complete and permanent debt losing the tiny bit I have left.
I don't mean to sound rude toward you and I know you mean well. Thank you for that. I have just crossed that line from despair into rage because I know I COULD live...but that I will not because it's not profitable for anyone for me to do so. That would enrage anyone but people deny this can happen to them while ignoring the actual solutions for those it does happen to. I have fought, begged, and raged about it for ages now and I will still be gone and it won't even register. I have learned I simply do not matter. Most people are terrible and most people are who make the rules of the game.
(I admit I don't know if that price is for indica or sativa)
I don't know your whole story, and I haven't suffered as you, but at least some states in the country are trying [1]. I hope you've explored the possibility of relocating within the country.
[1] https://coloradosun.com/2019/10/07/colorado-public-health-in...
- Do you have no way to travel/move? Do you have any money saved/access to money? Perhaps move to a friendlier state (as someone else suggested) or back to Europe as you mentioned?
- If you're completely stuck for funds, can you use crowdsourcing or go_fund_me? - I'm sure many people would want to help if they heard your story.
- If you're being poorly treated by family etc. can you not seek refuge with organizations such as the the salvation army?
- I don't really know much about dealing with homelessness but a quick search suggested: https://endhomelessness.org/how-to-get-help-experiencing-hom...
- Also try to do all the basics: get enough sleep, take in good nutrition, if you're able to exercise (even basic exercise) do it, try to find an environment with less stress (as above), try meditating if you haven't already.
- Hang in there, at least try the suggestions above. Let us know how you get on.
So what can I do? I can't squeeze blood from a stone. You can't plead with me to rescue myself from a riptide in a hurricane. You can't expect me to make desperate advice that never really works, or works one time out of 100,000,000 to somehow work THIS time. I don't have that power. I am sorry it worries you but even that's about your feelings...doesn't do anything practical for me but make me. I am sorry it upsets you but how someone else feeling bad about my betrayal and end isn't something I can do anything about. Should I pretend its all ok so nobody has to feel bad and die quietly Nobody REALLY cares...proof is in the pudding. People act in their own self interests nearly every time and my life doesn't further anyone's own self interests. I was a naive idiot to believe most others thought like I did...like the handful of rare souls I have met in life like my grandfather...altruistic and quietly helping. Doing the right thing and not blaming victims/ The distress anyone may feel momentarily reading this...like they do when they see any tragedy...will pass and they will go back to their Starbucks. 99% of people simply DO NOT CARE about others and the proof is there every minute of every day. They have far more important things to worry about like egos and profits. They will be far more angry about me in my last breaths criticizing them than they will be about my life collapsing entirely. I have seen it happen to people all my life...nothing changes.
When I needed a leg up to get back a sustainable life everyone who could help and every system ignored me and failed me. When it got worse and I could still manage partially but would need some help long term everyone who could help and every system ignored me and failed me. Now that it's in a state that will require long term support for me to even survive at all everyone who could and every system ignores me. I have done all I can...nobody does it alone but I am expected to as I hurtle toward the bottom. Gravity will win and I can't do a thing about it.
Of course after enough trauma and hard knocks - and an impersonal system - you are worn out. I think that is why the poster above suggested basics like sleep and nutrition, if you can get them - not a global solution I know but it does help. (Small lever points).
Situations can change in really weird ways - that no one ever could have predicted - even when it has been tough for years, even when things seem really hopeless.
I'm not in the business of depressing you more, or taxing you emotionally. Your life does matter.
The doctors I know claim that they are good people and will treat anyone regardless of means, but they have also sent many patients into bankruptcy and suicide with five, six figure debts for minor procedures. That's not ethical. That is doing harm. It's either bad faith or sociopathy to ignore the fact that our life expectancy is going down every year, I'm not sure which.
>This assumes widespread bad faith, when I think the situation is much different.
There is really widespread bad faith and there is widespread incompetence. A near complete lack of integrity. ( there are always the physician/practitioner who is the exception, but they are rare.)
>Doing nothing seems like giving up.
This point to the competence aspect. In many situations doing nothing is precisely what is needed. In many types of cancer this is what is to be done. (I cannot be certain but this seems to be the case). Aggressive early treatment appears to endanger the patient more than inaction. No treatment is also 'doing something' and not to be confused with 'we-do-not-care' type of inaction.
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/11/3/16599072/st...