The Google Squeeze
stratechery.com
stratechery.com
I stopped using IG & Twitter largely because it went from having relatively few ads to where I started seeing an ad nearly every other post. The value of the platform proportionally declined significantly and I no longer bother using them.
Google is slowly becoming useless (even with an ad blocker) because you have to hack search terms in order to get useful results. For example, I append words like "wiki" or "reddit" to get results that aren't SEO'd. Search for something generic like "computer" and you can see an example of how hard it is to get information instead of ads.
It feels like ads are definitely a bubble, and I suspect the next big tech companies will not be ad based.
> Search for something generic like "computer" and you can see an example of how hard it is to get information instead of ads.
To be fair, "computer" is such a generic term, I can't even imagine what you expect to see when you search for it.
Tangentially, I find IG's place in the social media panoply to be fascinating. It's the only service that everyone seems to feel positively about: it doesn't inspire the loathing that Facebook and Twitter does or the mockery that Snapchat does (even by their users).
But watching people use Instagram is the closest I see people coming to the popular addict/junkie metaphor and the stereotype of smartphones and social media turning us into slackjawed automatons in thrall to a colorful Skinner Box. It's really eerie.
Well there is actually some mockery about the lengths some people go to alter their perceived appearance[0].
That is not the thesis of this article. In fact, the opposite. The article claims that despite the increase in advertising, for the given exemplar (hotel search), the ads actually make Google more useful compared to the ten-blue-link baseline.
Lots of us have little interest in doing shopping searches on Google--we search directly on Amazon, eBay, Walmart, Target or whatever.
With respect to non-shopping searches for a huge proportion of queries the top page of results are dominated either by shopping responses or fluff articles.
You could copy and paste this thread into the comments of any other article about Google search in the past few months and it would be no less relevant. Only, you needn't bother, since this discussion gets rehashed every single time, so there's already a discussion with much the same points as this one, and much the same value, already there. That's a good sign that the discussion is lacking the nuance that I always hope to find here. But what's actually happening is a complete lack of engagement with what was ultimately a pretty interesting article.
In that case, why try to make a judgement? If you can't make a judgement but it irritates you, why not just spend your time on another page? Surely a discussion about the discussion is always going to be less useful and relevant than the discussion that organically develops out of the same topic.
If the heading is "Google search", asdfasgasdgasdg could just spend their time elsewhere.
The fact that fifty thousand people have already had their say doesn't mean that the next hundred people who want to have their say is a subset of the first, and thus may benefit. And, moreover, if people keep writing articles about related topics, related discussion is going to keep coming up.
And counterexample - every time I look up a hotel, I want to go to their actual homepage because I find the aggregators often intermingle pictures of the different room types and I want to see what the actual actual suite I'm booking looks like.
And Google buries the actual hotel homepage pretty deep, in my experience.
* also note it’s driven substantial consolidation in the hotel industry, because big companies like Marriott can just rake in their direct bookings.
meanwhile a startup can focus on building a great product, sometimes while not needing to be profitable.
Amazon.com took advantage of this, with Jeff Bezos famous quote of, "Your margin is my opportunity".
Since the original article is more about Google, I would like to say that while Google's paid gmail+office is a compelling product that I liked paying for until I realized that there was no way I could merge services bought with my "free" Google account with the paid account. I think this is a lesson for Twitter if they ever do offer a paid service: integrate well with the old free account or convert old account and history smoothly.
Now with that being said, it would be nice if companies cared more about having sustainable businesses with healthy, non-intrusive user experiences than revenue growth.
I'm worth literally zero to Twitter; I use an adblocker everywhere, and when that fails, not only do I never click on an ad, I purposefully scroll as quickly past them as I can.
I'd pay a couple bucks a month to remove that hassle.
The overlap between the HN crowd and the crowd following influencers is probably minimal, but as far as a % of the platform, I'd wager most people are going through these soft ads unwittingly.
Also, instagram is supposedly the platform with highest organic conversions & so I expect instagram come up with a way to monetize this off-platform Ad deals if not already.
Does any country have a law telling these influencers need to inform their followers about their sponsorship? Such laws exist for affiliate marketing.
The U.S. does.[1]
1. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/press-releases/2017/04/ftc-s...
Now most are very careful and even "overdisclose" advertising as a result (they disclose even for products they mention that they are not paid for it).
I wish they would overdisclose here. It does not help that on social media, lots of people think adding "#sp" is enough.
Do you remember television or radio? How much choice did you have over the ads there? You'd literally have to sit through mass-market beer ads for minutes at a time.
With Instagram, the ads and soft-ads are oftentimes quite targeted. I get ads about theatre plays, musicals and ballet in my city. I wouldn't have found out about them otherwise - I think it's great! You can actually select an ad and say 'don't show me this stuff anymore' and provide a reason. I get to no longer see ads I don't like! Phew, that's a killer feature!
If the people you follow on instagram are generic, you get generic ads. If you follow niche markets, you get niche ads that you may be glad to find out about. Internet ads have become a reflection of sorts, if you are bothered by the ads, maybe what you're really bothered by is unfulfilled potential that the ads are a reflection of.
Your mileage may vary of course :)
There's a couple handfuls of people I know personally who still use it as all-photo Facebook, and just post pictures of their dogs, or their kids, or their lunch.
Everything else is wall-to-wall hustling. Explicitly sponsored ads, business accounts promoting their stuff, meme pages that are hawking stuff in the comments, managed celebrity accounts, fitness models shilling supplements, and on and on and on.
She doesn't buy stuff based on IG anymore.
And don’t give me duckduckgo, that one regularly ranks spam domains and typo domains higher than the real results
Panel for computer sales at top. A maps menu showing computer shops near me. A Bestbuy link. Another panel for computer sales. Walmart, amazon, newegg. A wiki. And another sales panel.
The increase appears to be dramatic. I signed up for YouTube Premium long ago simply because I couldn't stand the occasional ad anymore. I recently was at a friend's, and I wanted to show him a particular cooking video that I liked, on his iPad. It was a 16-minute video and it was interrupted three times by an ad. mid-video. Unbearable.
The thing is, through Premium, I was actually looking forward to discovering new music with the YouTube Music app. Was I wrong. The recommendations are crap. They are repetitive to the point of nausea. I have a few hundred "liked" songs, but the recommendations are heavily skewed towards a few, mostly recently "liked" songs.
This has actually lead to me dreading marking a song as "liked", as it inevitably leads to this repetition and, much worse, to unending recommendations of the same artist's other songs, even if I "dislike" every. single. one. of. them.
It just bugs me that an entity with such a forte in data mining can err that much, to the point where they're losing a losing customer to the competition.
They REALLY need a way to easily say "exclude this genre entirely from my recommendations" or from specific auto-lists. I'd also love a way to reset the learning features or specify more clearly "only learn from these playlists."
I think there is a median point between this dichotomy where YouTube comes up with ways to collect revenue that don't depend on maintaining an adversarial relationship with their users.
If the ads make you feel like they're specifically there to make you hate them enough to pay, that's basically playing highwayman. You can't blame people for thinking that's distasteful. They could have less intrusive systems for advertising or just make it subscription only, patron/donation based like Wikipedia, or some hybrid of multiple models.
That's inherently subjective though. About the only way for a paid product to not make me feel that way would be to keep showing me ads after I pay up, which is not what we're after. On the other hand, people have claimed on HackerNews before that they just plain don't mind ads. Where do you draw the line that says that they're specifically there to make you pay up? It's intellectually dishonest to both complain about ads and complain when a company offers a reasonable alternative to those ads.
> They could have less intrusive systems for advertising or just make it subscription only, patron/donation based like Wikipedia, or some hybrid of multiple models.
They have that. Subscription only makes discoverability (YouTube's primary strength) far more difficult. AFAIK YouTube does offer paid channel subscriptions, but for whatever reason Patreon seems to have captured that market far better.
I’ve noticed that I use Google a lot less now because all the ads and baloney stress me out. Turns out a lot of the stuff I used to search for isn’t that important.
For both searches, the first page was largely the same just in a different order. The big difference comes on the later pages of results.
Firstly, Google seems to be far more aggressive about using synonyms, and it's almost always done in a way that broadens a query. So, for example, if you search for a particular brand of some kind of product, the results that come up are often about such products in general (you can see which word got substituted, because they highlight the found keywords in bold).
Worse yet, it's also aggressively dropping specific words from the query (they show up stricken through under the result links). It used to be that it would do that when your search wouldn't even get a pageful of results - but now it gets to a ridiculous point where I make a two-word query, and the top result has one of those two dropped! And yet if you quote the word, forcing it to be there, there's no shortage of results for the more detailed query.
In practice, this means that most of my detailed Google queries end up quoting all or almost all words in them, because that's the only way I get results that I actually want, rather than a bunch of random vaguely related links. Even that doesn't seem to be 100% reliable, because it seems to sometimes ignore even the quoted words...
While I have no idea why this is going on, it's clearly not to improve search result quality. Which leaves only one hypothesis - that this is somehow related to advertising. I don't know if it's about paid search results, or preferentially treating websites that have Google ads on them, or just generally steering me towards online stores rather than e.g. forums (where the quote-forced detailed queries usually lead). But either way, this is worrying, because search has always been so fundamental to what Google is - and if that is being twisted so badly now, what can I expect from other products?
Of course it is, they'll earn more if it takes you longer to search and you are more likely to click on one of the ads. I think it's as simple as that.
I'm also finally noticing ads when watching YouTube on Chromecast. There used to be zero ads (which was a little confusing) but now there's ads.
#1 in my list would be anything from w3 domain. God bless their souls but that thing is the SEO plague
Last week I saw an SAP ad over a twitch stream showing on a wall monitor in an esports bar. That’s either the smartest targeted ad ever (3 out of our table were software types who would be involved in an SAP purchase decision), or just some campaign manager clicking a box that means “put my ad anywhere you want.” The next ad was for twix.
I think if we face a downturn where all of a sudden there’s not money and smart people are trying to spend on ads that have real return, these platforms will really get slammed. I’m not sure what multiplier it is. But I think their leverage in the “BS ad” domain will be more than 1x whatever the downturn is.
Some of the worst targeted ads I've ever seen are on Reddit and Imgur
I just discovered the "reddit"/"hackernews" trick while doing this for actual content I want to read.
As far as I'm concerned I will never recommend Jumpcloud or any other service I find doing this.
First I get a large map card with a couple of stores with computer in their names nearby. I don't know how useful that is since I don't have a real search intent.
Next I get the computer page for best buy (I am in the USA) and the computer wikipedia article.
I have just tried duck duck go. I just get a full page of computers on best buy, amazon, etc
I don't think the google results are any worse than the ddg ones here.
If anything, trying to match with a 2 nearby places which are partial matches (computer in their names) is relevant.
And at least it gives me the wikipedia article. On ddg, it can be seen on the right side widget or at the bottom of the second page
Google has recently launched one of its biggest updates (BERT) which should improve the understanding of your keywords tremendously. By utilizing the power of NLP (Natural Language Processing) technology, it will now be able to provide more relevant and accurate search results for everyone.
You can read more about the update via the company's blog: https://www.blog.google/products/search/search-language-unde...
I'm not sure what you expect. I mean, yeah. I have to put OSRS in any search for "murder mystery" to get the result I wanted. But that's not a huge deal.
Who searches for generic "computer" that isn't a 70 year old lady probably looking for a new computer. Google in that scenario is just serving up what they're most likely looking for.
And heck, it's not like the wikipedia link was that far down. It was under a couple of store links and then bam. Wiki for computers.
When you say useless does that mean you think the gap between Google and (other engine of your choice) is narrowing ? Do you see yourself switching to say Bing for better search results anytime soon ?
I see ads panel for computers, followed by wiki, videos about computer, questions, map with computer shop and list of links related to computer terminology.
I don't use ad blocker. Still get relavent results.
Arguably this is because there is still "full" organic reach possible, and the users govern the subreddits. If there were to be a major throttling of organic reach such that the only way to get prominent visibility on Reddit was to pay based on reach, or mods lost the ability to control and curate their communities, I wouldn't be surprised to see Reddit drop in quality and user base.
You can weed out the fake reviews on reddit better than say on amazon because of other users.
Just use some common sense and if you see an echo chamber subreddit then take the review with some salt.
Yesterday I wanted to buy some inear headphones on Amazon and the user experience on the site itself is abysmal with countless no name China wares and suspect reviews.
A search on fitness related subreddits what people actually use and how (water damage through sweating seems common) was much more useful.
But you meant users reaching content.
That said, yes, there is definitly a downward spiral where placing more ads drives your viewership away, which in turn lowers your revenue and makes you place more ads, which drives away viewership, etc.
This isn't really a problem with 'ads', this is a generic problem of management driving a thriving property into the ground in the name of short-term profit.
I tried this. The wikipedia page for "computer" was the second result. Above that, oddly, a store page for "computers" at Best Buy. Above that, some suggested questions like "what is a computer?" ("A computer is a machine or device that performs processes, calculations and operations based on instructions provided by a software or hardware program.") And above that, at the top, several advertisements and a map of where the advertising locations are.
I don't understand what you think should come up in a search for the word "computer". I already know what a computer is, and I think it's safe to say that's true of almost everyone using the internet.
On the plus side, it has been very cool chatting with people from all over the world doing the same things, and getting compliments (like, actual comments, not just likes).
When I try to find information on a generic topic where I can't exactly tailor the query, the results are usually filled with low quality, SEO optimized promotional sites, clickbait articles/YT videos or aggregators. With some luck there is a good blog post with quality links on page 2 or 3.
Good results are now mostly restricted to areas where Google can utilize structured data sources (Maps/Business data, Wikipedia, ....).
This is extremely ironic, since Google originally rose to popularity because it was much better at "real" search than the competitors.
The interesting question is why!
Is Google just not able to compete with SEO tactics? Are they overly fixated on ML/"AI" techniques that don't work well in practice?
Or are regular search results allowed to become worse on purpose, in order to maximize ad revenue? It is something a near-monopoly could afford to do.
It seems that if you don't tailor your search terms perfectly all you get is ads, clickbait youtube videos, and review sites built to push a product.
Edit: The problem in sustaining this growth isn't just marketing either. With increased traffic come increased server, maintenance, and engineering costs which may not be possible to support with untargeted ads as advertisers won't pay big money to show ads that have poor conversions.
Why would I not want verbatim results?
But I look at my non-technical relatives using Google and it's now magical how relevant the results are for vague queries regarding common information. Making precise queries for technical information work worse while vague queries for commonly referenced information work better is probably the right trade-off for a business that wants to make money. As much as I loath it for my own use cases.
Those SEO'd pages are optimized for generating revenue, so they're packed to the brim with Google ads and referral links.
Prioritizing such pages generates revenue for Google, too.
90s web : content good, looks rubbish
2019 web : content rubbish, looks good
trying to help my kid with research reports &etc is a nasty chore these days -- for the amount of effort it takes to find a decent informative non-wikipedia page these days, may as well go to the physical library
Old web was a mess of people making things as expression, excitment. I think it matters to feel being 'connected' to someone rather than parsing a rendered data structure.
I felt the same reading old encyclopedias, you can feel the author way of thinking a bit. It feels a bit more enjoyable.
I've been meaning to set up YaCy for a while and see if the P-t-P search structure works better for finding non-scroller web pages. I fear that I'll find those results also tainted by shills.
[edit: Forgot to mention Gigablast, which works fairly well. Definitely not for the faint of heart]
Or at least it would have looked good, if it wasn't covered in "SIGN UP FOR OUR NEWSLETTER" and "ACCEPT OUR COOKIES" light boxes.
Which is only slightly less rubbish than having it covered in the semi-pornographic pop-over ads of yore.
Firefox, please treat "can set cookies" as a permission and allow me to set it to "ask" by default, and allow it to be toggled by clicking on the site permissions lock box. The existing user interface does not give me any control.
It was kind of believable at the time.
I know 80 to 90 percent of the results.
Google was useless. It is as if some subreddits, like one of mine, no longer exist.
Duck returned great results. And some new, unexpected results.
This kind of thing, along with hidden result links has forced me off Google search.
For fun, in my own head, they are Noogle now. NO Google.
Search Noogle for Nosults.
After searching both Google and Duck, I still don't know what "Nosults" is supposed to be.
I coined that phrase just today.
Not surprisingly, Google is still better for shopping searches.
edit- DDG bangs for those who were unaware: https://duckduckgo.com/bang
There’s a lot that I don’t know: DuckDuckGo.com/bang should have others
Like, if I type a math formula or "what's the population of Alberta", the Google result is just the number, not a link to the result.
Or if I want to search for a product or local business.
I prefer to use WolframAlpha for such things.
I get the answer plus a ton of highly relevant links relating to population, StanCan sources, etc.
I think this is exactly what most users want: Show me the answer quickly without making wade through links - but provide me the links if I want to do more research on my own.
These snippets also take up more space on top of the page and along with more ads, it means fewer organic links are appearing on the first page.
If you can form a sufficiently specific query, Google is still exceptionally good at returning useful information, with few ads or infoboxes or anything else other than organic search results. If your search terms are too generic, Google essentially gives up and just serves you ads instead.
I beg to differ here. Years ago I felt like I could discover useful information about a topic through Google with relative ease.
Results would contain informational links that let me explore the subject.
This basically impossible now; with Google Search at least.
What finally pushed me away from Google was its incorrect assumption of equivalence between different terms. I'd search something like "printer scaling draftsight" and it would return results with "printer" "scaling" and "autocad" all in bold. Because autocad and draftsight are 2D CAD programs, and autocad is more popular, so suuurely that's what I wanted.
Yeah I've noticed this a lot in recent months/years. Have been finding myself putting most of the keywords of the query in quotation marks to get any kind of results relevant to my actual query. Like 'printer "scaling" "draftsight"' just so that G wouldn't make some stupid assumptions.
One page of results with 8 of 10 completely unrelated.
It interprets what it thinks I meant instead of listening to the actual words that came out of my mouth.
I have the same problem with my wife... :-)
Language is used to convey meaning. The difference between my wife and Google is that Google tries to interpret language in the lowest common denominator which leaves all people who try to use language properly feeling like they need to learn a new one just to be understood by their search engine.
...maybe that's not so different.
The internet is always going to be in constant flux: SEO trickery, the rise and fall of sites which contain the most relevant data, context of the search (browser -> phone), etc.
Google's main job is to make it as easy as possible for a user to find what they want. For example, as a techie, 15 years ago that might have meant making sure to constantly index usenet and various mailing lists. Today most of that content is at StackExchange, Github, Reddit, etc.
And it's not just tech searches - everyone will have their own niche which Google once got right and often returned as the very first result (when was the last time you were confident in using the 'lucky' result?), and now, not only do they not return relevant results, whatever they do return is mixed with tons of ads and (probably) paid results that aren't marked as ads.
The fact that Google doesn't yet pay dividends while the MBAs there are apparently intent on destroying the company's main product as fast as they can, doesn't bode well for their share price going forward.
Try searching for just the name of a supposed whistleblower, then add another term, and get all the censored results. Even more true in the news tab, which initially returned -0- results.
The best open source mailing list archive is unquestionably https://marc.info . yet when you search things that are open source relevant, you get https://nabble.com which goes as far as to fake being a forum and fills content from mailing lists, is nearly useless feature wise, and is crammed with all sorts of nasty obnoxious advertising.
marc.info doesn't even crack page 10 with typical queries, because they don't play the SEO optimization game, and doesn't run ads.
This is a great example of Google becoming totally useless.
The last time I remember this being mentioned on HN, a few days later marc.info was at the top of search results for mailing list type posts, but it seems whatever manual tweak they applied has since been invalidated by the Googletron...
I don't know how many times I've had to add -nodejs to things I'm trying to search to eliminate irrelevant garbage from some of my searches.
Searches you do now on basically any subject you are not an expert in already give you the same subject matter level of expertise you can expect from a 5 minute segment on the nightly news, whereas before you could expect at least the quality of a 30 minute show hosted by James Burke.
I’m in the latter camp and wondering if their inferences are just getting better if they have more of your data. Still not willing to give it to them willingly to get better results, but it would at least explain a few things.
I definitely have concerns with the amount of data Google has about me and, in particular, the idea of Chrome monopolizing the browser landscape. As a result, a few months ago I tried switching to Firefox, complete with container tabs and scripts which removed Google analytics from everywhere. The difference in search results was very noticeable. Most notable was that my Google news feed (on my Android phone) and YouTube recommendations quickly became filled with generic junk, whereas before it was so relevant I would often find the answer to something I had been researching earlier mixed in with my news feed.
I ended up going back to Chrome, mostly due to battery issues with Firefox, however even if I hadn't switched back I think I would have voluntarily turned off all the anti-tracking stuff. It is a data privacy concern, and moreover I hate the idea of giving Google all this data, but the benefits for me were very palpable.
I can see a world in which the parent comment is correct, and we've "dumbed down" our queries because it gets us good enough answers most of the time. For example, perhaps I used to google "halo game walkthrough OR tutorial" and now I would type "halo tips."
Shopping.google.com was much less useful because it only returned advertisers. I was able to find better matches at lower prices by entering really precise searches and using organic results.
It’s harder to find things for sale through Google now than 10 years ago.
Consider the trend in ads for ad supported sites as an indicator.
The customer is the ad buyer. They want more of those. They have maximized product supply. They can't produce more product, they can only resell existing products by more ads in search results as a ratio plus more ads on the organic links.
There is no measurable financial incentive for them to show you organic results without adwords.
Nearly all the changes since have been along those lines. Google thinks the only reason to use the net is to shop. The results you get, that are prioritised make some sense in that context.
It's just made it useless for all those times you don't want to book a hotel, buy a phone etc.
You get what you measure. Google grew this monster themselves with pagerank and monetizing links.
I think what finally killed their search quality is the fact that there's no longer a public human-curated network of websites to draw meaning from. Most content on the web is bulk-generated crap, personal blogs and websites are rare, and many passionate hobbyist communities are hidden from crawlers in places like closed Facebook groups.
They have a tiny percentage of the market, so there will be a tiny percentage of money invested in gaming their algorithms.
My hypothesis is that Google's results aren't bad - they are actually serving a set of results which satisfies the laymen, and it's only the technical, highly niche users with whom the results don't align.
It's early days though. I imported around 10,000 MOOCs from various platforms and organized them by topics. The webapp is open-source so fixes/features are always welcome. :)
If you click into a site and you don't return to your search, they consider that an upvote. If you continue clicking different search results they consider that a downvote for the site you visited.
In addition, the best Google searches result in finding the answer directly in the preview of the page from the search results. Unfortunately there's not a clear signal to Google which site preview provided the answer in this case, or even if none of them did and I just gave up searching.
In reality, I'm sure Google's determination of which site was relevant is much more sophisticated, likely involving some machine learning.
Someone just beginning to use the internet would either need to slowly build reputation in the most open spaces, or get one or more people to vouch for them through an API.
I want to make it fiscally infeasible to run a mass persona farm.
I don't have proof but I'm sure the amount of votes on eg. reddit (or perhaps how long it was on the front page) has an effect on search results; see the Comcast swastika[0] and Trump showing up when searching 'Idiot'[1].
0: https://old.reddit.com/r/funny/comments/403brr/10_months_lat...
1: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/397920-activists-manip...
I'm surprised they haven't brought this in with an option so people can rate or at the least flag sites. Source users feedback directly which would probably help wipe out results like Pintrest that dominate so many searches but people find unhelpful.
It would be great if they had an option where they have the drop-down for cache to say something like 'dont show this domain' or something that would let people flag sites that dont seem to offer value against search terms
Also on the 'computer' search I was amazed how everything was now in a left column and how much blank space on the right there was: http://prntscr.com/pw5iav - is that mobile optimisation overtaking desktop experience?
Google could penetrate all of that, if they wanted to.
When I search for a fairly specific thing and the first page of results don’t even include half the search terms, that indicates quite clearly they don’t give a fuck about anything other than ad revenue.
Set ya default search engine to DuckDuckGo.
[…]
What do I mean with “the threat of Facebook”? In the old days, before today’s large “social media” sites, people made their own web pages on places like GeoCities or on simpler social-media-like sites like LiveJournal, etc. Those sites all had content and linked to each other. This is the web which the Google search engine and its algorithm was meant to find things in, and it worked very nicely, as it took advantage of the links other people had made to your site as a proxy for relevance in search results for your site. People making small web pages about their favorite topics (with lots of links to other people’s pages, since information was hard to find) could slowly and easily transition into making larger and larger reference web sites with lots of information, thereby attracting lots of incoming links from others, which in turn enabled people to find the information using Google’s search engine.
Compare this to now. Firstly, people having a Facebook account have no place to simply place information, no incentive to simply make a web page about, say, tacos or model trains, because that’s not what Facebook is about. Facebook is about the here-and-now, and whatever is yesterday is forgotten. As I understand it, there is no real way, in Facebook, to make a continuously updated page with a fixed address for people to go to as a reference point about some subject, or at least people are not directed towards doing this as part of their online activity (as opposed to in the past, when it was basically the only thing which people could do). Secondly, this makes it so that people have no natural path going from using Facebook to creating a larger web site with information, and there are no smaller model train or taco Facebook “pages” which could have links to your larger site and thereby validate its relevance. Thirdly, even if this second point was false, Google could not use these Facebook pages, because Google cannot crawl them. These pages are all internal to Facebook, and Facebook has every incentive to not allow Google to crawl and search this information. Facebook would much rather people used their own site to search, and thereby gaining all of Google’s sources of income: User monitoring and advertising.
I'm increasingly of a mind to create an old school pre-blogging web page. That was the ideal of the web. I have enough content, it's just the time.
There was an economics paper published recently making an argument that we have more to fear from shitty AI/robots than good ones and I think it's spot on. (In other words, they're good enough to justify firing the person who used to do the job, but they're objectively worse at the job. What ends up happening is aggregate wealth goes down because not only are the jobs gone, but the job itself is being done less efficiently than before.)
The point where Google (and Yelp and a bunch of other services) started to turn was when they stopped just being a thing you go to when you need them to being things that get in your face to anticipate your needs. They're bad at anticipating our needs in any way that's actually useful for us a lot of the time, so it ends up putting a lot of cognitive load on us to make sure the apps/services are working as intended. Instead of just using technology as a tool as we need it, we end up needing to babysit technology that's being fussy, opaque, and unpredictable. And babysitting is the best case scenario, in other cases it's being outright hostile.
Ten years ago, I gave up subject specific databases for Google Scholar. For most of that time, I was happy. Nowadays I wish I had access to a subject specific db.
As for paywalls: I sometimes find better results by adding filetype:pdf to the title of an article in DDG than I do in scholar. They're both completely hit and miss. I think they're trying to respect copyright more nowadays than before. Unfortunately, of all the unreasonable copyrights in the world, journals and academic books are the most unreasonable, since they're trying to get libraries to buy them.
I mean all the seo’d sites have self labeled themselves as having worthless content. You really just need a search that filters them out.
They're aiming for the "80" part of the "80/20 rule", and in the process are really good at answering natural-language queries but very bad at keyword-ified queries. So many people use their service for answering otherwise basic questions that it's become a basic-question-answering system. I suspect also, under the hood, that when the user leaves the search page and never returns they consider that a successful serve and reinforce that sort of behavior more. Whereas I leave to search the same thing on other engines because Google became useless for my job, which requires specific answers to technical questions. So I think there might be some built-in positive-feedback loops that are reinforcing this sort of behavior. Either that or peoples' queries really are that boring, all the time.
Here's a thought I had while reading your comment...
what about a hybrid of HN/lobste.rs/reddit and old-school hierarchical lists. Basically, a place where people can upload websites and such that are relevant to a search term.
Say you wanted to know about "how to make bread". You would first check if this query is already defined, creating it if not. Then, you could comment/post links on the topic, and see other's links sorted by some hybrid of upvotes/downvotes and human moderation/curation. The point would less be about having a discussion, but more crowd-sourcing "what pages are most relevant to this query".
From the perspective of a user who doesn't participate, this looks like a hierarchically sorted collection of queries/topics and links relevant thereto, sorted by relevance.
To be fair, the internet is being conflated into a platform to drive people into walled gardens, and google is trying to deal with helping people into them.
I wondered how long it would take for the site to descend into the dark patterns that caused google to ascend.
Years ago I could Image Search a frame of a film and get the film title almost every time, now I get a generic "Street" or "Man" search term and then a bunch of photos that have streets in them with a similar color palette which are never from the film.
They've got so excited by the tech that they can identify an object or setting that they've forgotten just finding the same image elsewhere online and using the context of the web page would give a better answer.
I agree that the generic results on reverse search are annoying, but my guess is that it isn't replacing exact results, but rather giving you something when there would've been no results at all. If you search for an exact frame that does exist, it usually finds it correctly.
Google Search for someones Instagram handle: Get one Instagram result and endless pages of sites that scrape Instagram and have the person's profile interspersed with ads.
It effortlessly does both reverse image search AND image objects search. Results are usually so good, it almost seems like Google decided to cripple their image search on purpose.
This is "Appendix A: Advertising and Mixed Motives" from their original paper about Google in 1998 [1]:
> Currently, the predominant business model for commercial search engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users. For example, in our prototype search engine one of the top results for cellular phone is "The Effect of Cellular Phone Use Upon Driver Attention", a study which explains in great detail the distractions and risk associated with conversing on a cell phone while driving. This search result came up first because of its high importance as judged by the PageRank algorithm, an approximation of citation importance on the web [Page, 98]. It is clear that a search engine which was taking money for showing cellular phone ads would have difficulty justifying the page that our system returned to its paying advertisers. For this type of reason and historical experience with other media [Bagdikian 83], we expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers.
> Since it is very difficult even for experts to evaluate search engines, search engine bias is particularly insidious. A good example was OpenText, which was reported to be selling companies the right to be listed at the top of the search results for particular queries [Marchiori 97]. This type of bias is much more insidious than advertising, because it is not clear who "deserves" to be there, and who is willing to pay money to be listed. This business model resulted in an uproar, and OpenText has ceased to be a viable search engine. But less blatant bias are likely to be tolerated by the market. For example, a search engine could add a small factor to search results from "friendly" companies, and subtract a factor from results from competitors. This type of bias is very difficult to detect but could still have a significant effect on the market. Furthermore, advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results. For example, we noticed a major search engine would not return a large airline's homepage when the airline's name was given as a query. It so happened that the airline had placed an expensive ad, linked to the query that was its name. A better search engine would not have required this ad, and possibly resulted in the loss of the revenue from the airline to the search engine. In general, it could be argued from the consumer point of view that the better the search engine is, the fewer advertisements will be needed for the consumer to find what they want. This of course erodes the advertising supported business model of the existing search engines. However, there will always be money from advertisers who want a customer to switch products, or have something that is genuinely new. But we believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search engine that is transparent and in the academic realm.
And second, I find Amazon's product search to be almost complete crap. I can't count how many times I've moved back to Google to do a product search because I know the product is out there I just can't remember the name, Amazon comes up with nothing and google has it on the first page. Again, is this only me?
A friend rented out her place to a tenant who was a total nightmare and then he went and made a yelp page for her as a person, because she's a real estate agent, defaming her on yelp (not for real estate business, but for being his landlord). So there's now a yelp page with her face on it and angry "reviews" from this tenant and his partner, and she has no way to remove it. Yelp refuses to do anything.
Amazon product search usually works for me but I often use google to make sure there isn't a better price somewhere else on the internet. So I end up repeating my search terms to Google anyway.
Restaurants can't opt-out because they would no longer be discoverable on the internet, but a real estate agent should be able to opt-out of Yelp and still be reasonably successful.
If anything I'd expect the example in GP's case to be a rare instance where even US defamation law might be helpful to the landlord. I don't see that extending to businesses in general though.
Perhaps this was all the tenant being unreasonable, but that's not the sort of thing Yelp is going to be able to judge. This is how reviews work: over time you build up a picture out of a lot of unreliable data points.
There are plenty of places I love which have 3 stars and plenty I hate which are 5. Granted, Google and other crowdsourced review platforms have the same issues.
Personally, I've fallen back to critics reviews of restaurants. At least they have a reputation to uphold if they give a good review to a bad restaurant.
Their app is also probably continuously tracking your location.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/12/10/business/loca...
But the complaints are mostly that Yelp's policy is inconsistent. Its review filter removes good reviews and keep bad reviews, at times, and the customer service is terrible. And the ratings are subjective and mostly useless and still used everywhere on the site regardless.
The same applies to Google/YouTube, Amazon, etc. though, so I'd say you're just seeing the availability bias; there been a fair number of positive success stories about YouTube, Amazon, etc. posted on HN whereas business owners on Yelp are too small audience-wise to get a lot of traction.
The only real competitor to Yelp is Google; maybe Google boosted up negative news stories on Yelp but it could just as easily be the newspapers themselves fanning fake controversy.
- My email/calendar/contacts on paid Fastmail.com account using my own domain. I don't want to deal with all the work required to maintain an email server: spam filtering, prevent being falsely flagged as a spam server, .... And I use an alias per account I have. For example: amazon@mydomain.com, hn@mydomain.com, ... So if my email got spammed/stolen, first I'll advise the site and I'll just create a new one (ex: amazon2@mydomain.com).
- Host my own federated servers like Matrix, Mastodon, Peertube, Pixelfeed, ...
- Host my own Git "social server" with public and private repos.
- ...
I think we have to come back to what the Web/Internet was before: a federation of servers working together (ex: Usenet). When I talk about that to people, they don't understand. I then use a simple example of this: email servers. You can have an email account on any servers on the internet and send a message to anyone who have an email account on another server. You CAN'T do that with FB/Messenger, Instagram, Whatsapp, ...
Big corps shoot themselves in the foot. People have limits and they are not that stupid. When you taste a new (old) way to exchange with other people without being flooded with Ads (Mastodon, Matrix, ... or simply emails), you can't come back.
edit: formatting
Sorry couldn't resist.
I don't think so. I think that the hotels module may be useful, but it's also confusing. In particular, it breaks the user expectation that Google search will give you the best results from the open web, and not give you a "module", particularly not one with paid placement. That is, IMHO, Google is overstepping its bounds as a search engine by providing (even useful) modules. And I think this has a negative cognitive impact on users (in particular, it ruins their intuition about what they are seeing, who's paying for what, and why).
>it breaks the user expectation that Google search will give you the best results from the open web,
That expectation is no longer true. That probably died a decade ago when Android started gaining steam all over the world. And certainly not true for those who don't remember the world before smartphones or when gmail offering unlimited storage was "big" deal.
https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/6175006?hl=en
The uploader specifically had to add "ad breaks" to the video for that to happen.
Here's an episode of a show for kids with 21 ad breaks in 24 minutes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ZbhdpLuYfE
Screenshot of the above video with yellow ad markers in the seek bar (youtube v14.31.50 on Android): https://ibb.co/gr8ZqjY
The best feature is that you can compile a playlist, through search, manual selection, etc., and save that locally to disk. Then play through the selection(s) as you like.
You aren't limited to playback through mps-youtube, as you can also use other tools -- mpv with its '--ytdl' flag will play YouTube (and many other sites') content, including from a saved playlist of URLs (see above).
There's a lot of good and useful content on YouTube. The platform itself increasingly gets in the way of that. I also don't want to be personally tracked or have my history recorded, so I (all but) never make use of the service whilst logged in. Given that I've ceased logging in to Google at all since the fall of G+, that's pretty much a certainty.
As others have mentioned, using podcast apps directly is another excellent option, and one I've been increasingly making use of.
(History of Philosophy Without Any Gaps FTFW!)
After that he seems to have burned out, spun a tale about being a capital allocator with the whole Alphabet charade, then retired.
Sundar Pichai's mandate has been plainly obvious: generate profits (that mandate became more explicit with hiring Ruth Porat as CFO).
- Apple’s users are its customers. I give Apple money and they give me stuff. Google’s customers are advertisers and others trying to reach users.
- Apple is mostly concerned with its own platform and doesn’t have services across platforms with a few exceptions (iTunes on Windows, Apple Music on Android, Apple TV+ everywhere). Google wants to be ubiquitous.
I too would like to hear more about this idea. I have an iPhone but don't otherwise buy into Apple's ecosystem at all. Nonetheless, I would rank Apple ahead of Google in any favorability comparison that I can think of.
How do we fix the web?
I discovered the other day that DDG uses Bing for image searching because without safe searching enabled it randomly returns tons of pornography for innocuous searches like "filled torus".
so I tried to search for that one, disabled safe searching and I'm coming back disappointed (no porn)
WARNING: NSFW!
Create a virtual architecture, what would traditionally have been called a Virtual Machine before the term was overloaded, comprised of a simple instruction set and memory mapped devices (ideally simple enough that you could write an interpreter for it in an afternoon). Write an LLVM backend for it. Sandbox it by default so that it isn't even allowed to pull data from anywhere other than the same socket it came in on without permissions, or play sound, or anything an advertiser thinks is a good idea. Don't over-complicate the rendering by forcing some kind of automated re-flow crap, just provide the relevant display metrics directly to the program (resolution, px density, viewing distance, orientation, etc.) and let it choose how to best represent itself.
Things like that.
Fix the incentives. Install an ad blocker on every device. After much whining, the business models will adapt.
I also call up the hotel directly most of the time to see if I can get a better rate or room, often works.
With air travel I want the one with the best grid to win, if I have to launch a new search every time I try a new date or nearby airport it's a no-go for me.
To book flights you find from them, use the free [bookwithmatrix.com][1]
[0] http://matrix.itasoftware.com/ [1] https://bookwithmatrix.com/
I also like the ease of inputting advanced search parameters.
If you're going to use it to make a list of flights Google Flights is usually better.
If not, I can usually email the merchant and work something out that avoids them paying a middleman. With one merchant in a developing country, I even hashed it out over WhatsApp! But I always like to communicate directly with the person or organization providing me the product or service.
This is for straightforward business reasons: if you're visiting a hotel's site directly, you clearly already have a strong interest in it, and are less likely to be comparing by prices.
Whereas if you're advertising rates on an aggregator, you're competing much more strongly on price, and are forced to provide discounts.
And for a significant number of people, it never occurs to them to check an aggregator to save money.
When traveling, I'm almost always saving 30-50% off the prices listed on hotels/lodging on their sites simply by using one of the aggregators. (Discounts tend to especially skyrocket when booking day-before.)
Does that answer it?
And I reserve a cancelable price so that I can always see if they lowered the price before the cancelation deadline, sometimes yes, sometimes not.
Even if I wasn't staying at a brand that offered a best price guarantee, I would still contact them and offer them the chance to win business directly by being lower than the aggregator and avoid paying commission.
I'm talking mainly about everything else that isn't a humongous chain, which is actually the vast majority of properties in most cities -- boutique hotels, small hotels, 4-unit guesthouses, generally with 15 rooms or fewer. (Just my personal preference as to where I like to stay.) The difference between "list" price and aggregator price can be enormous -- usually because I'm booking the last room. (The actual last room, not a fake one -- the property disappears from the listings after I do.)
And maybe it would be the "morally" right thing to do to contact them directly and get them to match the price, but it's not worth the hassle and risk to me -- being put on hold for 10 minutes, dealing with someone on the phone for whom English isn't often their first language (when traveling abroad), time zone differences when nobody's at the front desk, risking the room disappearing while waiting for an e-mail reply, and above all the chances of a date or price or other mix-up when transacted verbally.
If I do it through the aggregator, I lock in the room instantly, with instant e-mail confirmation that all the details are correct. Zero worries, zero mixups.
However, I assume I would be better taken care of by the merchant if I contact them directly rather then go through an agent, although I can see if you are going to a very small merchant who needs the agent more, then you may get better service from the agent.
This is my impression too. I avoid Expedia like the plague. I only use TripAdvisor to read the forums. Booking doesn't even rely on SEO. They don't have a forum or don't make content. Booking has lots of dark patterns when booking but it just works and it has lots of choices at pretty good prices. The experience and the convenience is why I was booking at Booking.com in the last 5-6 years. I don't even use Airbnb. Booking has apartments too.
Expedia and TripAdvisors are similar to tourist traps in the touristic hot spots. They leveraged their SEO positions to grab whatever money they can get. Now that Google has figured out they can get some of that money, they got in. It's very easy, just move the juice to the partners and charge them money for that.
Expedia/TripAdvisor/Traditional-travel-agencies will need to turn their businesses around otherwise they are going the way of Thomas Cook.
Being the one aggregator to rule them all has so many advantages. Google can extract outsized profits from almost every single industry because people are too myopic/lazy/indifferent to go directly to the source.
Apple could change the game. It could use its war chest to build a search engine as good or better than Google. It would forsake some profit because Apple Search would, through deep iOS integration, improvement of Siri, and bolstering of upcoming AR offerings, create ever greater lock-in to the Apple ecosystem. Furthermore, Apple's entry would give bargaining power back to content providers, galvanizing content creation on the margins.
There is an iron rule in business: competition will eventually erode profits. It's not a matter of if, but when. Will it be in 5 years, 10, 30, or 50?. GE used to be a seemingly unflappable industrial powerhouse. Look at it now. Google can stay way ahead of the competition if it continues to leapfrog on AI, but as soon as it becomes more iterative, or if the government decides that it's a monopoly, its decline would be non-linear. Apple faces another dilemma with a similar outcome. If some technological shift or government intervention opens up the App Store and iMessage to all mobile hardware, profits would drop precipitously. The only antidote is massive R&D and innovation.
Swipe down on the home screen and type some stuff, and you get “Siri suggested websites”. It also answers basic questions and gives previews of relevant parts of the sites.
Same goes for the "Siri suggested website" when you type some terms into Safari. The top website on the autocomplete list is selected by Apple's search engine.
Well, it would be in theory. The problem is mobile. Since both major OS are tightly controlled by Google and Apple, Google Search won't be challenged by any alternative. Apple won't give their search profits away to push DDG or any other company, and Google wouldn't even think about that.
Any search engine that wants to cut into Google's market share has to start on the desktop web, buy the iOS integration for billions and would need to develop an alternative to Android, or call on regulators to force Google into showing a selection screen as they did to Microsoft.
Yelp (despite the glossy profile in buzzfeed news) has not really advanced the product in a long time. Their site was always extremely frustrating, forcing you into using the app. And they were super slow to add things like delivery.
In comparison Google Maps is a search engine for the physical world. They’ve done all sorts of complex things like using street view to correctly place a business on the map, adding duplex for making reservations. Even for reviews, I trust the reviews from the meal delivery apps a lot more as they are based on real orders. If I want a detailed review, sites like Eater and local blogs are more useful (and are ranked higher than yelp now). These are all areas Yelp could have invested in, instead they kept the product largely the same.
Likewise with Expedia, their website uses every dark pattern in the book, and they got completely blindsided by Booking.com with a superior agency business model (that also means it makes more sense to go straight to their website).
I used to use yelp for reviews, now i use google. Likewise I used to use google for products, now I use Amazon. Flights and hotels I’m mostly using google. In all cases it’s because the product is better.
If only it were that simple. Yelp does not personally review reviews. Nobody from Yelp has ever called me to make sure I got my review right and I wasn't being unreasonable. Ensuring that reviews aren't spam is an algorithmic problem. Yes Yelp has some features which provide hints to the algorithm but at the end of the day it's about ML. For every upvote from a fellow reviewer on Yelp, Google has 100 other data points on me as a reviewer. So who is going to get the algo right, Yelp, or Google?
My personal experience has been that 4.2 stars on Google means the meal will be good, 5 stars on Yelp means it's a trendy trap with bad food and worse service which I will not enjoy.
Go figure.
For travel I usually go to Kayak directly. Their site is simple and useful. But I must admit that seeing all the options on a map is pretty useful and I often use the hotel module in Maps. For me Maps is the best product Google ever made since their initial search engine.
Probably because the blowback would be louder than the message. The heresay I've heard is that they hide the good reviews if you don't pay them, and hide the bad reviews if you do.
So if it wasn’t already clear why Google never allowed any type of content blocking framework in Chrome for mobile and iOS has had it for five years, it should be clear now.
So Google pays Apple a reported $8 billion a year to be the default search engine while Apple still builds in a framework to block those very ads.
As data becomes even more valuable than oil [1], few orgs are as well positioned to capitalize on it than Google. With their massive trove of user activity since almost the dawn of the Internet age, combined with the purchase of Deep Mind, the kind of business and strategic intelligence Google can deduct will be invaluable.
Being more effective at selling ads, as the article addresses, is just the start of it.
[1]: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2017/05/06/the-worlds-most...
I think Google might be suffering from revenue pressure since navigating users to the advertisers' landing page will let the advertiser pay Google directly. And obviously it will harm the user experience since the ratings are actually aggregated from different sellers and will be incomplete on the landing page while the user wants to see all the ratings and reviews when he clicks on them.
Look at the current streaming environment: it's becoming highly fragmented and I predict when the dust settles there will only be 3 major players, there's only so much content an individual can consume and is willing to pay. Google's role as the aggregator for queries will be incredibly difficult to disrupt as long as there is some friction to using another service.
This is the gist of it; Google, despite all the ads, and SEO spam, and other unscrupulous crap, still has the best tech. I use DuckDuckGo as my primary search engine, atleast on desktop, but I still have to swithc to google 1/5ths of my critical info searches.
It's hard to see how that could be, honestly. Nobody browses search result pages for fun. Whether they're succeeding or not, it's hard to picture Google optimizing result pages for anything other than "get the user on to their most relevant (and/or lucrative) destination as absolutely quickly as we can manage."
If I were Yelp, I would not try Stratechery's arguments here. What they should be saying is, "Google's search results for restaurants are crap. If you use us, your valuable time and money will be better spent than if you trust Google." Honestly, this is what I always worry about first when I look at online reviews. Is it honest and is it an accurate predictor of how I will feel if I choose this product? I have to confess, Yelp has not done a much better job engendering that trust in me than Google has. Not that I trust either very much, especially about restaurants. But if Yelp were able to crack that nut, I would be hugely grateful, and a loyal fan for life.
The solution would be very complex but i had the problem identified..Now working to release an enterprise version inspired by this.
They are serving their customers, and they're doing it well.
(Source: was in online travel related business at the time. Was the first to buy links form Matt at SeatGuru, later acquired by TripAdvisor)
Booking Group websites (booking.com and agoda) are still doing great in 2019 as the article states, because they don’t suck
Very much not a rhetorical question.
Now if i could just aggregate all their results into one listing per event/location.
But if you’re in town for business and you happen to have a few extra minutes and you think “hey, what is there to see around here,” TripAdvisor works well enough.
Hides all the red alerts and stressful messages from your favourite booking site"
https://www.chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/no-stress-book...
They manipulate you by showing only positive reviews.
When they ask you for a review, they ask you what you liked about the stay, and what you didn't like.
Then they just show the positive stuff to people.
I've booked on booking.com a handful of times, and every times the reviews were either just wrong, or misleading.
The strategy has always been to covering everything and bonce users between properties.
TripAdvisor and Expedia are each listed on NASDAQ. Perhaps they have some cross-holdings, but they don't appear to be part of a corporate group.
So it's true they were linked at one time, but that's no longer the case. They're distinct businesses with no formal connection.
(Disclosure: I work for TripAdvisor as an engineer, though I wasn't present when all of that went on)
They used to have a clean, easy to use site that was useful. As they've optimized and metricized the site to death, it's impossible to use. Harder to use == shittier reviews == lower visits.
Then they started engaging with you afterward. I was on vacation and looked for a restaurant near some I-95 town, and ended up getting spam emails about "Rate your stay in Stony Creek, VA!", "how was McDonald's in Lumberton, NC". Then I stopped using the app.
Wouldn't survival analysis on interval-censored data handle this problem automatically? All of your observations of failure presumably are actually interval data, where all you know is that the drive failed sometime in between the last good check and the first bad check. Then it doesn't matter if some time periods have large intervals and others have small intervals, that just affects the precision of estimates.